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📊 Prediction Accuracy
38.5%
Within 2 Positions
2.9
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1College of Charleston3.09+3.39vs Predicted
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2Yale University3.33+1.78vs Predicted
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3Georgetown University2.04+4.43vs Predicted
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4U. S. Naval Academy2.33+2.57vs Predicted
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5Jacksonville University1.30+4.38vs Predicted
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6Christopher Newport University1.71+2.25vs Predicted
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7University of South Florida2.73-1.71vs Predicted
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8University of Wisconsin2.12-0.91vs Predicted
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9St. Mary's College of Maryland2.49-2.90vs Predicted
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10Cornell University1.70-1.68vs Predicted
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11Northwestern University1.00-0.87vs Predicted
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12Old Dominion University2.14-4.72vs Predicted
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13University of Pennsylvania2.22-6.02vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.39College of Charleston3.090.2%1st Place
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3.78Yale University3.330.2%1st Place
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7.43Georgetown University2.040.0%1st Place
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6.57U. S. Naval Academy2.330.1%1st Place
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9.38Jacksonville University1.300.0%1st Place
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8.25Christopher Newport University1.710.0%1st Place
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5.29University of South Florida2.730.1%1st Place
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7.09University of Wisconsin2.120.1%1st Place
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6.1St. Mary's College of Maryland2.490.1%1st Place
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8.32Cornell University1.700.0%1st Place
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10.13Northwestern University1.000.0%1st Place
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7.28Old Dominion University2.140.1%1st Place
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6.98University of Pennsylvania2.220.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Paris Henken | 15.5% | 15.6% | 14.3% | 12.1% | 11.1% | 8.2% | 8.3% | 5.7% | 3.2% | 3.4% | 1.4% | 1.1% | 0.1% |
| Louisa Nordstrom | 20.3% | 18.7% | 16.2% | 12.2% | 8.7% | 7.5% | 6.6% | 4.2% | 3.3% | 1.0% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Macey McCann | 4.8% | 5.5% | 7.5% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 7.9% | 8.5% | 8.6% | 10.4% | 11.0% | 8.3% | 8.5% | 5.5% |
| Hannah Hughes | 6.9% | 8.0% | 7.1% | 9.7% | 9.1% | 8.7% | 9.2% | 7.9% | 9.3% | 10.2% | 6.4% | 4.7% | 2.8% |
| Shaynah True | 3.3% | 3.0% | 2.9% | 4.1% | 3.5% | 5.1% | 6.4% | 5.4% | 7.1% | 8.4% | 12.1% | 16.3% | 22.4% |
| Amanda Attardi | 4.7% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 7.2% | 8.5% | 8.0% | 10.3% | 10.9% | 13.9% | 9.9% |
| Sarah Streater | 11.9% | 11.4% | 10.8% | 10.2% | 10.5% | 11.3% | 7.9% | 8.0% | 7.1% | 5.4% | 3.0% | 2.1% | 0.4% |
| Kate Klement | 6.1% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 8.2% | 7.8% | 9.1% | 10.8% | 9.8% | 7.8% | 10.2% | 6.6% | 3.7% |
| Greer Wattson | 8.4% | 8.1% | 9.9% | 10.3% | 9.8% | 8.8% | 9.5% | 8.9% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 4.4% | 1.5% |
| Gillian Boehringer | 4.4% | 4.7% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 7.5% | 6.8% | 8.7% | 8.9% | 8.5% | 12.4% | 12.5% | 11.2% |
| Katherine O'Donnell | 2.0% | 1.4% | 2.3% | 2.7% | 3.9% | 5.6% | 3.5% | 4.1% | 6.7% | 7.9% | 11.5% | 14.8% | 33.6% |
| Olivia Windemuller | 6.1% | 5.0% | 6.3% | 7.7% | 8.9% | 8.3% | 6.5% | 9.8% | 9.9% | 9.9% | 8.7% | 7.5% | 5.4% |
| Carolyn Kearney | 5.6% | 7.4% | 7.6% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 10.5% | 9.4% | 9.0% | 9.5% | 8.1% | 6.9% | 3.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.