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📊 Prediction Accuracy
23.1%
Within 2 Positions
2.7
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Yale University3.33+2.83vs Predicted
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2Georgetown University2.04+5.45vs Predicted
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3University of South Florida2.73+2.44vs Predicted
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4St. Mary's College of Maryland2.49+2.08vs Predicted
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5University of Pennsylvania2.22+1.72vs Predicted
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6Old Dominion University2.14+1.01vs Predicted
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7Jacksonville University1.30+2.34vs Predicted
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8College of Charleston3.09-3.65vs Predicted
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9U. S. Naval Academy2.33-2.41vs Predicted
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10Cornell University1.70-1.66vs Predicted
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11Christopher Newport University1.71-2.81vs Predicted
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12University of Wisconsin2.12-4.73vs Predicted
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13Northwestern University1.00-2.61vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.83Yale University3.330.2%1st Place
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7.45Georgetown University2.040.0%1st Place
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5.44University of South Florida2.730.1%1st Place
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6.08St. Mary's College of Maryland2.490.1%1st Place
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6.72University of Pennsylvania2.220.1%1st Place
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7.01Old Dominion University2.140.1%1st Place
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9.34Jacksonville University1.300.0%1st Place
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4.35College of Charleston3.090.2%1st Place
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6.59U. S. Naval Academy2.330.1%1st Place
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8.34Cornell University1.700.1%1st Place
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8.19Christopher Newport University1.710.0%1st Place
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7.27University of Wisconsin2.120.1%1st Place
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10.39Northwestern University1.000.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Louisa Nordstrom | 20.0% | 17.4% | 16.3% | 12.3% | 9.4% | 8.7% | 6.1% | 4.6% | 2.1% | 2.0% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Macey McCann | 4.9% | 6.4% | 5.2% | 6.9% | 8.8% | 7.4% | 8.0% | 9.2% | 9.1% | 9.8% | 10.1% | 9.1% | 5.1% |
| Sarah Streater | 9.8% | 11.9% | 12.1% | 8.9% | 10.6% | 9.2% | 10.4% | 7.5% | 7.7% | 5.8% | 3.2% | 2.6% | 0.3% |
| Greer Wattson | 8.8% | 8.7% | 8.5% | 10.1% | 10.0% | 9.7% | 8.9% | 8.7% | 8.0% | 7.4% | 6.2% | 3.9% | 1.1% |
| Carolyn Kearney | 7.2% | 7.3% | 8.7% | 8.8% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 8.7% | 10.5% | 7.9% | 10.2% | 7.7% | 5.2% | 3.5% |
| Olivia Windemuller | 6.5% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 8.1% | 8.4% | 8.7% | 7.4% | 8.9% | 10.3% | 8.6% | 8.0% | 8.0% | 3.8% |
| Shaynah True | 3.5% | 3.2% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 12.7% | 17.7% | 20.9% |
| Paris Henken | 15.5% | 16.2% | 13.0% | 12.5% | 9.7% | 11.6% | 8.6% | 4.7% | 3.7% | 2.1% | 1.3% | 1.0% | 0.1% |
| Hannah Hughes | 7.8% | 7.3% | 8.4% | 6.4% | 10.2% | 9.0% | 9.5% | 9.2% | 8.7% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 4.9% | 3.3% |
| Gillian Boehringer | 5.0% | 3.9% | 4.1% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 8.1% | 10.6% | 9.1% | 11.5% | 12.2% | 11.6% |
| Amanda Attardi | 3.6% | 3.8% | 5.3% | 6.8% | 5.2% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 9.1% | 9.9% | 10.2% | 11.6% | 11.2% | 9.3% |
| Kate Klement | 5.6% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 8.5% | 7.4% | 7.5% | 8.8% | 8.3% | 9.0% | 11.0% | 9.1% | 8.4% | 4.2% |
| Katherine O'Donnell | 1.8% | 1.4% | 2.5% | 2.3% | 2.1% | 3.4% | 4.3% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 8.5% | 10.2% | 15.4% | 36.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.