← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
46.2%
Within 2 Positions
2.4
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Yale University3.33+2.83vs Predicted
-
2U. S. Naval Academy2.33+4.50vs Predicted
-
3Old Dominion University2.14+4.18vs Predicted
-
4University of Pennsylvania2.22+2.89vs Predicted
-
5St. Mary's College of Maryland2.49+0.95vs Predicted
-
6College of Charleston3.09-1.64vs Predicted
-
7University of South Florida2.73-1.69vs Predicted
-
8University of Wisconsin2.12-0.93vs Predicted
-
9Jacksonville University1.30+0.54vs Predicted
-
10Cornell University1.70-1.65vs Predicted
-
11Georgetown University2.04-3.85vs Predicted
-
12Christopher Newport University1.71-3.50vs Predicted
-
13Northwestern University1.00-2.64vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
3.83Yale University3.330.2%1st Place
-
6.5U. S. Naval Academy2.330.1%1st Place
-
7.18Old Dominion University2.140.0%1st Place
-
6.89University of Pennsylvania2.220.1%1st Place
-
5.95St. Mary's College of Maryland2.490.1%1st Place
-
4.36College of Charleston3.090.2%1st Place
-
5.31University of South Florida2.730.1%1st Place
-
7.07University of Wisconsin2.120.1%1st Place
-
9.54Jacksonville University1.300.0%1st Place
-
8.35Cornell University1.700.0%1st Place
-
7.15Georgetown University2.040.1%1st Place
-
8.5Christopher Newport University1.710.0%1st Place
-
10.36Northwestern University1.000.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Louisa Nordstrom | 20.5% | 17.3% | 15.3% | 11.3% | 11.7% | 7.7% | 6.7% | 4.4% | 2.0% | 2.1% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Hannah Hughes | 6.9% | 7.4% | 8.8% | 8.0% | 10.1% | 10.6% | 7.8% | 8.8% | 8.7% | 8.2% | 7.5% | 5.1% | 2.1% |
| Olivia Windemuller | 4.6% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 8.6% | 7.2% | 9.9% | 7.5% | 9.7% | 10.4% | 10.6% | 7.6% | 7.3% | 3.9% |
| Carolyn Kearney | 6.4% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 9.1% | 8.1% | 7.6% | 8.8% | 9.4% | 8.8% | 9.4% | 8.3% | 6.6% | 3.4% |
| Greer Wattson | 9.6% | 9.0% | 9.8% | 10.6% | 8.5% | 8.5% | 8.9% | 9.2% | 8.8% | 7.7% | 4.8% | 3.1% | 1.5% |
| Paris Henken | 17.0% | 14.4% | 14.8% | 12.2% | 9.9% | 8.1% | 8.6% | 5.4% | 4.2% | 2.8% | 1.3% | 1.2% | 0.1% |
| Sarah Streater | 11.5% | 11.5% | 10.8% | 10.1% | 11.1% | 10.4% | 8.9% | 7.6% | 7.1% | 4.9% | 3.9% | 1.4% | 0.8% |
| Kate Klement | 6.2% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 9.1% | 8.6% | 7.9% | 10.0% | 10.3% | 8.6% | 8.8% | 7.6% | 3.3% |
| Shaynah True | 2.7% | 3.3% | 3.5% | 3.0% | 4.2% | 3.6% | 4.4% | 5.5% | 7.9% | 9.5% | 13.2% | 16.5% | 22.7% |
| Gillian Boehringer | 4.3% | 4.8% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 4.4% | 7.3% | 7.7% | 7.6% | 9.6% | 9.6% | 11.8% | 12.6% | 11.1% |
| Macey McCann | 5.3% | 7.3% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 7.7% | 7.7% | 10.8% | 9.2% | 8.8% | 8.7% | 9.2% | 7.1% | 4.7% |
| Amanda Attardi | 3.3% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 7.7% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 9.7% | 12.4% | 13.6% | 12.0% |
| Katherine O'Donnell | 1.7% | 1.4% | 2.2% | 2.6% | 2.5% | 3.4% | 4.3% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 8.2% | 10.6% | 17.5% | 34.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.