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📊 Prediction Accuracy
38.5%
Within 2 Positions
2.4
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1College of Charleston3.09+3.45vs Predicted
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2University of South Florida2.73+3.38vs Predicted
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3St. Mary's College of Maryland2.49+3.09vs Predicted
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4University of Wisconsin2.12+3.15vs Predicted
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5U. S. Naval Academy2.33+1.39vs Predicted
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6Georgetown University2.04+1.33vs Predicted
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7Yale University3.33-3.21vs Predicted
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8Old Dominion University2.14-0.96vs Predicted
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9Cornell University1.70-0.53vs Predicted
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10Christopher Newport University1.71-1.67vs Predicted
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11University of Pennsylvania2.22-4.40vs Predicted
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12Jacksonville University1.30-2.37vs Predicted
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13Northwestern University1.00-2.64vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.45College of Charleston3.090.2%1st Place
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5.38University of South Florida2.730.1%1st Place
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6.09St. Mary's College of Maryland2.490.1%1st Place
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7.15University of Wisconsin2.120.1%1st Place
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6.39U. S. Naval Academy2.330.1%1st Place
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7.33Georgetown University2.040.1%1st Place
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3.79Yale University3.330.2%1st Place
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7.04Old Dominion University2.140.1%1st Place
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8.47Cornell University1.700.0%1st Place
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8.33Christopher Newport University1.710.0%1st Place
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6.6University of Pennsylvania2.220.1%1st Place
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9.63Jacksonville University1.300.0%1st Place
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10.36Northwestern University1.000.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Paris Henken | 15.2% | 14.9% | 13.0% | 12.5% | 12.4% | 8.9% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 4.2% | 3.0% | 1.3% | 0.9% | 0.1% |
| Sarah Streater | 11.3% | 10.2% | 11.4% | 11.2% | 10.6% | 9.6% | 9.1% | 7.7% | 8.0% | 4.4% | 3.5% | 2.3% | 0.7% |
| Greer Wattson | 7.3% | 8.5% | 11.0% | 9.6% | 9.0% | 9.5% | 10.0% | 9.6% | 7.8% | 7.1% | 5.7% | 3.4% | 1.5% |
| Kate Klement | 6.0% | 6.8% | 5.4% | 8.0% | 8.6% | 7.9% | 9.0% | 9.0% | 9.0% | 8.4% | 10.1% | 7.2% | 4.6% |
| Hannah Hughes | 8.0% | 7.9% | 9.8% | 7.7% | 9.2% | 8.8% | 8.1% | 9.1% | 9.0% | 9.5% | 6.0% | 5.0% | 1.9% |
| Macey McCann | 5.9% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 7.7% | 7.7% | 8.7% | 8.8% | 9.6% | 10.0% | 9.2% | 8.6% | 4.8% |
| Louisa Nordstrom | 21.1% | 18.1% | 14.5% | 12.2% | 10.5% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 4.3% | 2.5% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Olivia Windemuller | 6.3% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 6.3% | 9.9% | 8.5% | 10.2% | 9.7% | 9.5% | 9.1% | 6.8% | 2.9% |
| Gillian Boehringer | 3.9% | 4.8% | 3.4% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 8.8% | 8.7% | 11.9% | 11.5% | 13.3% | 11.0% |
| Amanda Attardi | 4.9% | 4.4% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 8.0% | 8.4% | 10.4% | 11.1% | 13.2% | 11.2% |
| Carolyn Kearney | 6.7% | 7.4% | 8.9% | 8.9% | 7.2% | 10.0% | 9.8% | 7.8% | 10.0% | 7.3% | 8.1% | 5.6% | 2.3% |
| Shaynah True | 1.9% | 3.0% | 2.9% | 3.3% | 3.7% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 10.0% | 12.5% | 16.5% | 23.8% |
| Katherine O'Donnell | 1.5% | 1.7% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 2.6% | 3.2% | 4.1% | 4.9% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 10.8% | 16.9% | 35.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.