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📊 Prediction Accuracy

30.8%
Within 2 Positions
3.0
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
Paris Henken 16.4% 15.3% 13.7% 11.1% 11.8% 8.2% 8.6% 5.3% 4.8% 2.0% 1.3% 1.3% 0.2%
Louisa Nordstrom 19.9% 18.8% 15.3% 13.0% 9.1% 7.9% 6.5% 4.3% 2.6% 1.6% 0.4% 0.4% 0.2%
Gillian Boehringer 3.0% 4.3% 3.9% 5.2% 6.0% 6.7% 7.1% 7.8% 9.4% 11.3% 12.3% 11.4% 11.6%
Hannah Hughes 6.9% 8.4% 7.2% 9.5% 8.3% 9.8% 9.2% 7.9% 9.2% 9.3% 6.5% 5.1% 2.7%
Macey McCann 6.4% 5.8% 6.9% 6.8% 7.1% 8.5% 8.3% 8.4% 9.0% 11.4% 8.4% 8.9% 4.1%
Katherine O'Donnell 1.8% 2.1% 2.2% 3.4% 3.5% 3.7% 3.0% 5.5% 6.0% 7.2% 10.9% 18.5% 32.2%
Greer Wattson 9.9% 8.7% 9.9% 9.8% 9.1% 9.4% 9.1% 8.6% 8.1% 7.5% 6.2% 2.1% 1.6%
Sarah Streater 11.2% 10.8% 11.0% 11.7% 11.1% 10.1% 8.2% 8.2% 6.8% 4.5% 3.1% 2.4% 0.9%
Amanda Attardi 4.2% 4.2% 4.7% 3.9% 5.6% 5.2% 7.6% 9.8% 8.6% 9.2% 12.3% 12.4% 12.3%
Shaynah True 3.5% 2.7% 2.8% 3.3% 3.6% 4.6% 6.1% 5.8% 8.6% 8.1% 11.6% 17.1% 22.2%
Olivia Windemuller 5.6% 7.0% 8.1% 7.9% 8.3% 8.9% 9.0% 9.4% 9.3% 8.5% 8.1% 6.2% 3.7%
Kate Klement 5.9% 4.9% 6.5% 7.4% 8.4% 7.8% 8.0% 8.7% 9.9% 10.4% 10.2% 7.0% 4.9%
Carolyn Kearney 5.3% 7.0% 7.8% 7.0% 8.1% 9.2% 9.3% 10.3% 7.7% 9.0% 8.7% 7.2% 3.4%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.