← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
30.8%
Within 2 Positions
3.0
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1College of Charleston3.09+3.39vs Predicted
-
2Yale University3.33+1.79vs Predicted
-
3Cornell University1.70+5.47vs Predicted
-
4U. S. Naval Academy2.33+2.55vs Predicted
-
5Georgetown University2.04+2.25vs Predicted
-
6Northwestern University1.00+4.17vs Predicted
-
7St. Mary's College of Maryland2.49-1.07vs Predicted
-
8University of South Florida2.73-2.67vs Predicted
-
9Christopher Newport University1.71-0.54vs Predicted
-
10Jacksonville University1.30-0.55vs Predicted
-
11Old Dominion University2.14-4.11vs Predicted
-
12University of Wisconsin2.12-4.68vs Predicted
-
13University of Pennsylvania2.22-6.00vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
4.39College of Charleston3.090.2%1st Place
-
3.79Yale University3.330.2%1st Place
-
8.47Cornell University1.700.0%1st Place
-
6.55U. S. Naval Academy2.330.1%1st Place
-
7.25Georgetown University2.040.1%1st Place
-
10.17Northwestern University1.000.0%1st Place
-
5.93St. Mary's College of Maryland2.490.1%1st Place
-
5.33University of South Florida2.730.1%1st Place
-
8.46Christopher Newport University1.710.0%1st Place
-
9.45Jacksonville University1.300.0%1st Place
-
6.89Old Dominion University2.140.1%1st Place
-
7.32University of Wisconsin2.120.1%1st Place
-
7.0University of Pennsylvania2.220.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Paris Henken | 16.4% | 15.3% | 13.7% | 11.1% | 11.8% | 8.2% | 8.6% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 2.0% | 1.3% | 1.3% | 0.2% |
| Louisa Nordstrom | 19.9% | 18.8% | 15.3% | 13.0% | 9.1% | 7.9% | 6.5% | 4.3% | 2.6% | 1.6% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.2% |
| Gillian Boehringer | 3.0% | 4.3% | 3.9% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 9.4% | 11.3% | 12.3% | 11.4% | 11.6% |
| Hannah Hughes | 6.9% | 8.4% | 7.2% | 9.5% | 8.3% | 9.8% | 9.2% | 7.9% | 9.2% | 9.3% | 6.5% | 5.1% | 2.7% |
| Macey McCann | 6.4% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 8.5% | 8.3% | 8.4% | 9.0% | 11.4% | 8.4% | 8.9% | 4.1% |
| Katherine O'Donnell | 1.8% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 3.7% | 3.0% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 7.2% | 10.9% | 18.5% | 32.2% |
| Greer Wattson | 9.9% | 8.7% | 9.9% | 9.8% | 9.1% | 9.4% | 9.1% | 8.6% | 8.1% | 7.5% | 6.2% | 2.1% | 1.6% |
| Sarah Streater | 11.2% | 10.8% | 11.0% | 11.7% | 11.1% | 10.1% | 8.2% | 8.2% | 6.8% | 4.5% | 3.1% | 2.4% | 0.9% |
| Amanda Attardi | 4.2% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 3.9% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 7.6% | 9.8% | 8.6% | 9.2% | 12.3% | 12.4% | 12.3% |
| Shaynah True | 3.5% | 2.7% | 2.8% | 3.3% | 3.6% | 4.6% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 8.6% | 8.1% | 11.6% | 17.1% | 22.2% |
| Olivia Windemuller | 5.6% | 7.0% | 8.1% | 7.9% | 8.3% | 8.9% | 9.0% | 9.4% | 9.3% | 8.5% | 8.1% | 6.2% | 3.7% |
| Kate Klement | 5.9% | 4.9% | 6.5% | 7.4% | 8.4% | 7.8% | 8.0% | 8.7% | 9.9% | 10.4% | 10.2% | 7.0% | 4.9% |
| Carolyn Kearney | 5.3% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 8.1% | 9.2% | 9.3% | 10.3% | 7.7% | 9.0% | 8.7% | 7.2% | 3.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.