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📊 Prediction Accuracy
30.8%
Within 2 Positions
2.9
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Pennsylvania2.22+5.77vs Predicted
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2U. S. Naval Academy2.33+4.48vs Predicted
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3University of Wisconsin2.12+4.12vs Predicted
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4Yale University3.33-0.20vs Predicted
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5Cornell University1.70+3.14vs Predicted
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6Georgetown University2.04+1.22vs Predicted
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7Old Dominion University2.14-0.09vs Predicted
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8College of Charleston3.09-3.71vs Predicted
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9St. Mary's College of Maryland2.49-2.94vs Predicted
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10University of South Florida2.73-4.71vs Predicted
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11Northwestern University1.00-1.00vs Predicted
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12Christopher Newport University1.71-3.55vs Predicted
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13Jacksonville University0.93-2.54vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.77University of Pennsylvania2.220.1%1st Place
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6.48U. S. Naval Academy2.330.1%1st Place
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7.12University of Wisconsin2.120.1%1st Place
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3.8Yale University3.330.2%1st Place
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8.14Cornell University1.700.0%1st Place
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7.22Georgetown University2.040.1%1st Place
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6.91Old Dominion University2.140.1%1st Place
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4.29College of Charleston3.090.2%1st Place
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6.06St. Mary's College of Maryland2.490.1%1st Place
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5.29University of South Florida2.730.1%1st Place
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10.0Northwestern University1.000.0%1st Place
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8.45Christopher Newport University1.710.0%1st Place
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10.46Jacksonville University0.930.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Carolyn Kearney | 7.2% | 5.8% | 7.9% | 8.9% | 9.0% | 7.1% | 8.7% | 10.2% | 10.0% | 8.3% | 9.1% | 5.2% | 2.6% |
| Hannah Hughes | 6.5% | 8.0% | 8.2% | 9.7% | 9.2% | 9.5% | 8.1% | 9.7% | 8.7% | 8.3% | 7.6% | 4.9% | 1.6% |
| Kate Klement | 5.4% | 5.3% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 6.6% | 11.4% | 8.1% | 8.4% | 10.7% | 9.3% | 8.9% | 6.6% | 3.9% |
| Louisa Nordstrom | 20.3% | 19.0% | 15.3% | 11.4% | 9.7% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 4.8% | 2.3% | 1.9% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Gillian Boehringer | 4.9% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 7.7% | 9.0% | 11.7% | 11.6% | 13.7% | 7.3% |
| Macey McCann | 5.8% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 7.7% | 7.3% | 8.6% | 8.7% | 9.9% | 9.5% | 9.4% | 8.7% | 7.8% | 4.5% |
| Olivia Windemuller | 6.6% | 7.5% | 8.1% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 8.2% | 9.8% | 7.9% | 9.2% | 10.3% | 8.7% | 6.8% | 2.9% |
| Paris Henken | 15.2% | 17.6% | 12.3% | 10.7% | 13.4% | 9.1% | 9.3% | 5.6% | 2.8% | 2.1% | 1.4% | 0.3% | 0.2% |
| Greer Wattson | 9.2% | 7.9% | 10.3% | 8.5% | 9.5% | 9.0% | 10.5% | 10.1% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 6.1% | 3.6% | 1.2% |
| Sarah Streater | 11.8% | 11.1% | 12.6% | 10.7% | 10.2% | 8.6% | 8.8% | 8.0% | 6.6% | 4.6% | 4.1% | 2.1% | 0.8% |
| Katherine O'Donnell | 2.4% | 1.3% | 2.0% | 3.7% | 2.7% | 5.1% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 7.0% | 9.2% | 9.9% | 18.5% | 28.6% |
| Amanda Attardi | 3.3% | 4.4% | 3.5% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 10.0% | 9.9% | 13.5% | 12.8% | 10.4% |
| Kelsy Waack | 1.4% | 1.9% | 1.6% | 2.3% | 2.6% | 3.0% | 3.1% | 5.8% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 9.8% | 17.5% | 35.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.