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📊 Prediction Accuracy
35.0%
Within 2 Positions
3.6
Avg Position Diff
20
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1College of Charleston3.64+8.53vs Predicted
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2Roger Williams University4.71+3.45vs Predicted
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3University of Pennsylvania2.79+10.00vs Predicted
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4Brown University4.30+2.98vs Predicted
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5U. S. Naval Academy4.09+2.64vs Predicted
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6Boston College4.92-1.24vs Predicted
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7Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.87+1.95vs Predicted
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8St. Mary's College of Maryland3.92+0.17vs Predicted
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9SUNY Maritime College3.60+0.60vs Predicted
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10Georgetown University4.33-3.20vs Predicted
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11Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.63-1.34vs Predicted
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12University of South Florida3.74-2.65vs Predicted
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13Tufts University3.70-3.33vs Predicted
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14Queen's University1.06+3.91vs Predicted
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15Washington College2.29-0.41vs Predicted
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16University of Miami1.09+1.75vs Predicted
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17Old Dominion University3.30-6.10vs Predicted
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18Texas A&M University at Galveston2.20-2.89vs Predicted
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19University of Vermont2.74-5.91vs Predicted
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20U. S. Merchant Marine Academy3.30-8.90vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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9.53College of Charleston3.640.0%1st Place
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5.45Roger Williams University4.710.1%1st Place
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13.0University of Pennsylvania2.790.0%1st Place
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6.98Brown University4.300.1%1st Place
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7.64U. S. Naval Academy4.090.1%1st Place
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4.76Boston College4.920.2%1st Place
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8.95Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.870.1%1st Place
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8.17St. Mary's College of Maryland3.920.1%1st Place
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9.6SUNY Maritime College3.600.0%1st Place
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6.8Georgetown University4.330.1%1st Place
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9.66Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.630.1%1st Place
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9.35University of South Florida3.740.1%1st Place
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9.67Tufts University3.700.0%1st Place
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17.91Queen's University1.060.0%1st Place
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14.59Washington College2.290.0%1st Place
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17.75University of Miami1.090.0%1st Place
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10.9Old Dominion University3.300.0%1st Place
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15.11Texas A&M University at Galveston2.200.0%1st Place
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13.09University of Vermont2.740.0%1st Place
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11.1U. S. Merchant Marine Academy3.300.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mac Mace | 4.2% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 4.1% | 6.6% | 5.6% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 4.6% | 5.3% | 8.0% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 3.6% | 2.7% | 0.8% | 0.1% |
| Alec Anderson | 13.0% | 11.7% | 11.6% | 9.6% | 11.2% | 9.2% | 7.8% | 6.6% | 3.4% | 4.1% | 5.4% | 1.6% | 2.0% | 1.6% | 1.0% | 0.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Amanda Johnson | 2.4% | 1.8% | 1.0% | 2.0% | 3.4% | 4.3% | 3.0% | 3.3% | 3.7% | 3.7% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 8.4% | 9.5% | 12.2% | 11.3% | 6.0% | 2.2% |
| Tommy Fink | 7.9% | 8.6% | 8.8% | 9.3% | 8.3% | 6.5% | 7.9% | 7.9% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 2.6% | 3.6% | 2.4% | 1.2% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Clark Hayes | 7.3% | 7.4% | 7.6% | 7.9% | 5.9% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 9.2% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 3.9% | 5.2% | 3.9% | 3.6% | 2.1% | 1.2% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Taylor Canfield | 15.8% | 14.3% | 12.4% | 12.0% | 10.3% | 8.5% | 6.9% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 3.8% | 2.0% | 1.4% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Austen Anderson | 5.0% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 7.5% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 2.3% | 1.2% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Joshua Greenslade | 5.5% | 6.5% | 7.9% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 7.5% | 7.9% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 4.4% | 3.7% | 3.9% | 1.9% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Harry Scott | 3.8% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 4.6% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 7.9% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 5.3% | 4.1% | 1.8% | 0.9% | 0.0% |
| Scott Furnary | 8.0% | 9.4% | 9.7% | 8.9% | 8.5% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 8.2% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 4.4% | 3.2% | 3.9% | 1.8% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Eamon Glackin | 5.6% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 6.8% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 7.4% | 8.6% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 4.9% | 3.8% | 2.9% | 1.1% | 0.1% |
| Britton Steele | 5.3% | 4.2% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 5.1% | 3.6% | 1.4% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| Massimo Soriano | 4.1% | 4.2% | 5.2% | 4.6% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 6.8% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 4.4% | 3.3% | 2.0% | 1.0% | 0.2% |
| William Schwenger | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.9% | 1.9% | 1.2% | 1.7% | 2.1% | 3.2% | 3.6% | 6.2% | 11.2% | 23.1% | 41.1% |
| Mildred Conroy | 1.1% | 1.9% | 1.1% | 1.6% | 2.1% | 1.6% | 2.5% | 2.4% | 3.6% | 2.6% | 2.8% | 3.5% | 3.4% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 9.1% | 12.0% | 16.2% | 14.4% | 6.4% |
| Amy Gaylord | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 1.2% | 0.7% | 1.0% | 0.8% | 2.1% | 1.8% | 2.2% | 1.9% | 4.0% | 5.9% | 10.7% | 24.9% | 39.5% |
| Scott Hoffmann | 3.8% | 3.3% | 2.7% | 3.5% | 4.3% | 4.6% | 5.4% | 4.5% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 8.4% | 7.9% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 5.6% | 4.9% | 2.1% | 0.5% |
| Laura Stamets | 1.5% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 1.4% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 1.9% | 2.2% | 1.9% | 2.6% | 3.2% | 3.4% | 4.4% | 4.4% | 7.0% | 8.0% | 14.9% | 15.5% | 15.5% | 7.8% |
| Hunter Mumma | 2.2% | 1.9% | 2.2% | 2.7% | 1.8% | 2.3% | 3.3% | 3.8% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 4.4% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 8.5% | 11.7% | 11.0% | 11.7% | 6.8% | 1.4% |
| Nick Aswad | 2.8% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 3.7% | 3.2% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 8.6% | 7.6% | 8.5% | 6.6% | 4.8% | 1.8% | 0.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.