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📊 Prediction Accuracy
46.2%
Within 2 Positions
2.1
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Yale University3.33+2.81vs Predicted
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2College of Charleston3.09+2.38vs Predicted
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3St. Mary's College of Maryland2.49+3.03vs Predicted
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4U. S. Naval Academy2.33+2.45vs Predicted
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5University of Pennsylvania2.22+1.66vs Predicted
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6University of Wisconsin2.12+0.96vs Predicted
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7University of South Florida2.73-1.75vs Predicted
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8Christopher Newport University1.71+0.17vs Predicted
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9Cornell University1.70-0.58vs Predicted
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10Old Dominion University2.14-3.03vs Predicted
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11Northwestern University1.00-1.02vs Predicted
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12Georgetown University2.04-4.52vs Predicted
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13Jacksonville University0.93-2.55vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.81Yale University3.330.2%1st Place
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4.38College of Charleston3.090.2%1st Place
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6.03St. Mary's College of Maryland2.490.1%1st Place
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6.45U. S. Naval Academy2.330.1%1st Place
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6.66University of Pennsylvania2.220.1%1st Place
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6.96University of Wisconsin2.120.1%1st Place
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5.25University of South Florida2.730.1%1st Place
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8.17Christopher Newport University1.710.0%1st Place
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8.42Cornell University1.700.0%1st Place
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6.97Old Dominion University2.140.1%1st Place
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9.98Northwestern University1.000.0%1st Place
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7.48Georgetown University2.040.1%1st Place
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10.45Jacksonville University0.930.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Louisa Nordstrom | 20.0% | 17.7% | 16.3% | 12.1% | 9.8% | 8.1% | 6.4% | 4.2% | 2.8% | 1.4% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Paris Henken | 15.4% | 15.1% | 14.5% | 12.6% | 9.9% | 10.0% | 8.1% | 6.0% | 3.8% | 2.2% | 1.2% | 1.0% | 0.2% |
| Greer Wattson | 7.2% | 9.0% | 11.0% | 10.0% | 8.0% | 10.1% | 11.1% | 8.7% | 8.6% | 6.9% | 4.5% | 3.1% | 1.8% |
| Hannah Hughes | 7.5% | 7.9% | 6.4% | 10.8% | 9.8% | 7.7% | 10.1% | 9.3% | 9.2% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 4.3% | 2.3% |
| Carolyn Kearney | 7.6% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 8.5% | 8.7% | 8.9% | 7.6% | 10.3% | 9.5% | 7.8% | 8.3% | 5.0% | 3.1% |
| Kate Klement | 6.8% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 7.6% | 8.2% | 7.6% | 9.8% | 9.4% | 9.8% | 8.5% | 8.8% | 7.1% | 3.1% |
| Sarah Streater | 11.1% | 12.9% | 11.3% | 9.1% | 11.8% | 9.3% | 9.5% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 4.6% | 3.0% | 2.0% | 0.6% |
| Amanda Attardi | 4.2% | 4.7% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 4.6% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 9.5% | 9.5% | 11.2% | 12.1% | 13.1% | 7.2% |
| Gillian Boehringer | 3.8% | 4.4% | 4.3% | 4.6% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 7.3% | 9.1% | 9.4% | 9.6% | 13.9% | 12.8% | 9.7% |
| Olivia Windemuller | 7.4% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 8.5% | 10.1% | 8.0% | 8.8% | 7.9% | 11.9% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 4.3% |
| Katherine O'Donnell | 2.0% | 1.4% | 2.2% | 3.1% | 4.6% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 4.3% | 6.4% | 9.1% | 12.9% | 17.8% | 27.2% |
| Macey McCann | 5.6% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 7.6% | 7.9% | 9.0% | 6.7% | 7.9% | 9.4% | 11.3% | 10.4% | 8.1% | 5.6% |
| Kelsy Waack | 1.4% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 3.3% | 4.1% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 8.1% | 9.7% | 18.9% | 34.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.