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📊 Prediction Accuracy
38.5%
Within 2 Positions
2.2
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Yale University3.33+2.80vs Predicted
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2University of South Florida2.73+3.32vs Predicted
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3Christopher Newport University1.71+5.36vs Predicted
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4College of Charleston3.09+0.37vs Predicted
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5Georgetown University2.04+2.20vs Predicted
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6St. Mary's College of Maryland2.49-0.11vs Predicted
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7University of Wisconsin2.12-0.06vs Predicted
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8Cornell University1.70+0.20vs Predicted
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9University of Pennsylvania2.22-2.16vs Predicted
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10U. S. Naval Academy2.33-3.57vs Predicted
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11Northwestern University1.00-1.01vs Predicted
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12Old Dominion University2.14-4.82vs Predicted
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13Jacksonville University0.93-2.52vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.8Yale University3.330.2%1st Place
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5.32University of South Florida2.730.1%1st Place
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8.36Christopher Newport University1.710.0%1st Place
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4.37College of Charleston3.090.2%1st Place
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7.2Georgetown University2.040.1%1st Place
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5.89St. Mary's College of Maryland2.490.1%1st Place
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6.94University of Wisconsin2.120.1%1st Place
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8.2Cornell University1.700.0%1st Place
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6.84University of Pennsylvania2.220.1%1st Place
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6.43U. S. Naval Academy2.330.1%1st Place
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9.99Northwestern University1.000.0%1st Place
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7.18Old Dominion University2.140.1%1st Place
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10.48Jacksonville University0.930.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Louisa Nordstrom | 20.6% | 17.9% | 15.2% | 12.1% | 11.1% | 6.1% | 7.6% | 4.2% | 2.3% | 1.5% | 1.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Sarah Streater | 9.8% | 13.1% | 11.0% | 11.2% | 9.0% | 11.3% | 9.5% | 7.8% | 6.2% | 5.0% | 3.6% | 1.9% | 0.6% |
| Amanda Attardi | 3.5% | 3.8% | 3.8% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 7.6% | 7.4% | 8.4% | 8.7% | 10.2% | 14.1% | 11.8% | 9.2% |
| Paris Henken | 15.7% | 15.7% | 14.1% | 11.9% | 10.5% | 9.2% | 6.6% | 7.7% | 4.2% | 2.5% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Macey McCann | 7.1% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 9.4% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 8.9% | 11.5% | 8.5% | 10.2% | 7.4% | 4.2% |
| Greer Wattson | 9.4% | 8.4% | 10.8% | 9.7% | 8.3% | 11.3% | 10.1% | 7.6% | 8.0% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 2.6% | 1.3% |
| Kate Klement | 7.1% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 7.7% | 6.4% | 10.5% | 8.9% | 10.1% | 9.9% | 7.9% | 7.2% | 2.9% |
| Gillian Boehringer | 4.1% | 5.4% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 9.0% | 9.5% | 10.4% | 11.4% | 14.1% | 7.7% |
| Carolyn Kearney | 5.8% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 9.2% | 7.7% | 8.8% | 9.2% | 9.8% | 9.6% | 9.3% | 7.7% | 5.7% | 3.0% |
| Hannah Hughes | 8.0% | 7.9% | 8.1% | 8.5% | 9.6% | 10.9% | 7.4% | 8.6% | 8.5% | 8.6% | 6.1% | 4.6% | 3.2% |
| Katherine O'Donnell | 1.8% | 1.7% | 2.5% | 3.1% | 4.4% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 9.2% | 11.3% | 19.0% | 27.5% |
| Olivia Windemuller | 5.7% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 8.1% | 8.2% | 8.0% | 8.2% | 9.2% | 9.2% | 11.1% | 8.4% | 7.1% | 4.4% |
| Kelsy Waack | 1.4% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 2.2% | 3.1% | 2.7% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 6.1% | 7.4% | 10.8% | 17.8% | 35.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.