Race 1B

odu-women-interconference

← Back to Regatta

📊 Prediction Accuracy

38.5%
Within 2 Positions
2.8
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
Ellie Ungar 7.5% 7.2% 8.7% 10.3% 10.8% 10.3% 9.8% 10.8% 9.2% 8.0% 3.9% 3.1% 0.4%
Alie Toppa 22.1% 18.8% 17.5% 13.7% 10.0% 6.1% 5.7% 3.4% 1.3% 0.8% 0.2% 0.4% 0.0%
Lola Bushnell 4.9% 7.8% 8.0% 8.7% 9.5% 10.4% 11.6% 9.7% 9.9% 8.9% 7.3% 2.8% 0.5%
Andrea Sullivan 2.3% 3.9% 4.6% 4.5% 5.4% 6.9% 9.0% 8.4% 11.0% 13.6% 13.3% 12.0% 5.1%
Paula Resto 5.8% 5.0% 5.7% 7.5% 7.2% 9.1% 7.7% 10.7% 13.0% 10.0% 10.8% 5.9% 1.6%
Jessica McJones 6.2% 8.3% 6.8% 7.9% 10.5% 9.6% 10.0% 9.8% 10.3% 8.9% 7.6% 3.4% 0.7%
Christine Klingler 23.9% 18.8% 16.0% 11.6% 9.6% 9.2% 4.9% 3.3% 1.5% 0.8% 0.4% 0.0% 0.0%
Gabby Rizika 11.9% 11.8% 11.9% 11.6% 12.2% 11.8% 10.3% 8.4% 4.9% 2.8% 1.6% 0.7% 0.1%
Samara Leith 2.8% 3.8% 4.1% 3.5% 5.0% 4.6% 6.4% 9.6% 9.0% 14.2% 16.4% 13.1% 7.5%
Jocelyn Rovniak 0.8% 1.3% 1.6% 1.8% 1.6% 2.7% 2.6% 3.3% 4.8% 6.7% 11.6% 24.7% 36.5%
Delaney Brown 3.7% 3.0% 4.9% 7.5% 6.2% 6.9% 7.9% 10.0% 12.5% 12.5% 11.4% 9.7% 3.8%
Ava Esquier 7.3% 9.5% 9.1% 10.3% 9.7% 11.0% 11.9% 9.3% 8.7% 6.3% 4.8% 1.6% 0.5%
Susan Riley 0.8% 0.8% 1.1% 1.1% 2.3% 1.4% 2.2% 3.3% 3.9% 6.5% 10.7% 22.6% 43.3%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.