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📊 Prediction Accuracy
46.2%
Within 2 Positions
2.8
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Cornell University2.77+3.92vs Predicted
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2University of Pennsylvania2.44+3.73vs Predicted
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3St. Mary's College of Maryland2.31+3.14vs Predicted
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4Christopher Newport University1.36+4.67vs Predicted
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5College of Charleston3.37-1.50vs Predicted
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6Georgetown University2.19+0.35vs Predicted
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7University of South Florida1.59+0.96vs Predicted
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8University of Wisconsin1.51+0.19vs Predicted
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9U. S. Naval Academy2.14-2.41vs Predicted
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10Old Dominion University0.28+0.96vs Predicted
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11Yale University3.38-7.62vs Predicted
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12Northwestern University0.23-0.84vs Predicted
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13Jacksonville University1.86-5.55vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.92Cornell University2.770.1%1st Place
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5.73University of Pennsylvania2.440.1%1st Place
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6.14St. Mary's College of Maryland2.310.1%1st Place
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8.67Christopher Newport University1.360.0%1st Place
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3.5College of Charleston3.370.2%1st Place
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6.35Georgetown University2.190.1%1st Place
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7.96University of South Florida1.590.0%1st Place
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8.19University of Wisconsin1.510.0%1st Place
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6.59U. S. Naval Academy2.140.1%1st Place
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10.96Old Dominion University0.280.0%1st Place
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3.38Yale University3.380.2%1st Place
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11.16Northwestern University0.230.0%1st Place
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7.45Jacksonville University1.860.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gabby Rizika | 11.2% | 12.2% | 12.6% | 11.5% | 12.0% | 10.8% | 10.2% | 7.9% | 5.8% | 3.5% | 1.3% | 0.9% | 0.1% |
| Ava Esquier | 8.4% | 9.3% | 9.4% | 9.6% | 12.2% | 11.3% | 10.1% | 8.4% | 8.8% | 6.7% | 3.5% | 2.0% | 0.3% |
| Ellie Ungar | 6.3% | 7.3% | 10.4% | 8.3% | 10.1% | 10.4% | 11.2% | 11.2% | 10.3% | 7.0% | 5.0% | 2.1% | 0.4% |
| Samara Leith | 2.6% | 2.5% | 4.1% | 4.1% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 7.4% | 8.7% | 9.4% | 12.4% | 15.8% | 15.0% | 6.4% |
| Alie Toppa | 22.2% | 18.5% | 17.7% | 12.4% | 10.1% | 8.2% | 5.0% | 2.3% | 1.9% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Lola Bushnell | 7.1% | 7.7% | 7.7% | 8.0% | 8.5% | 11.5% | 12.3% | 9.5% | 8.3% | 8.7% | 6.8% | 3.1% | 0.8% |
| Delaney Brown | 3.9% | 4.5% | 4.6% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 7.3% | 10.0% | 11.6% | 12.3% | 14.3% | 9.3% | 3.9% |
| Andrea Sullivan | 3.4% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 6.4% | 7.9% | 9.5% | 12.5% | 13.2% | 14.2% | 9.1% | 5.4% |
| Jessica McJones | 7.0% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 10.4% | 9.6% | 8.6% | 10.1% | 11.5% | 10.4% | 7.6% | 7.5% | 4.5% | 1.0% |
| Jocelyn Rovniak | 0.7% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 2.3% | 2.7% | 4.0% | 3.7% | 7.4% | 11.4% | 24.1% | 37.2% |
| Christine Klingler | 22.7% | 20.8% | 14.7% | 15.4% | 9.7% | 7.3% | 4.0% | 2.7% | 1.6% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Susan Riley | 0.3% | 1.3% | 1.0% | 1.3% | 1.8% | 2.2% | 3.0% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 5.7% | 10.0% | 22.7% | 42.5% |
| Paula Resto | 4.2% | 4.4% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 7.2% | 8.9% | 8.8% | 10.1% | 11.7% | 13.4% | 9.5% | 7.2% | 2.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.