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📊 Prediction Accuracy
30.8%
Within 2 Positions
3.6
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Wisconsin1.51+7.23vs Predicted
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2Jacksonville University1.86+5.32vs Predicted
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3University of South Florida1.59+5.14vs Predicted
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4Christopher Newport University1.36+4.66vs Predicted
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5Georgetown University2.19+1.25vs Predicted
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6Yale University3.38-2.54vs Predicted
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7U. S. Naval Academy2.14-0.50vs Predicted
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8Cornell University2.77-3.16vs Predicted
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9College of Charleston3.37-5.44vs Predicted
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10University of Pennsylvania2.44-4.25vs Predicted
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11Old Dominion University0.28-0.09vs Predicted
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12St. Mary's College of Maryland2.31-5.85vs Predicted
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13Northwestern University0.23-1.78vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.23University of Wisconsin1.510.0%1st Place
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7.32Jacksonville University1.860.1%1st Place
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8.14University of South Florida1.590.0%1st Place
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8.66Christopher Newport University1.360.0%1st Place
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6.25Georgetown University2.190.1%1st Place
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3.46Yale University3.380.2%1st Place
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6.5U. S. Naval Academy2.140.1%1st Place
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4.84Cornell University2.770.1%1st Place
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3.56College of Charleston3.370.2%1st Place
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5.75University of Pennsylvania2.440.1%1st Place
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10.91Old Dominion University0.280.0%1st Place
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6.15St. Mary's College of Maryland2.310.1%1st Place
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11.22Northwestern University0.230.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Andrea Sullivan | 3.2% | 3.6% | 4.6% | 4.1% | 6.1% | 8.4% | 6.8% | 9.1% | 10.2% | 14.1% | 13.7% | 11.2% | 4.9% |
| Paula Resto | 5.1% | 4.8% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 7.5% | 8.0% | 10.1% | 11.5% | 9.7% | 12.4% | 9.9% | 6.6% | 2.0% |
| Delaney Brown | 3.2% | 3.3% | 3.9% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 7.0% | 8.4% | 9.5% | 10.4% | 13.8% | 14.2% | 10.2% | 4.0% |
| Samara Leith | 2.1% | 3.6% | 3.5% | 4.4% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 7.9% | 7.3% | 10.0% | 11.8% | 17.3% | 13.9% | 6.7% |
| Lola Bushnell | 7.9% | 6.8% | 9.3% | 8.7% | 9.8% | 8.6% | 9.9% | 12.1% | 10.1% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 2.8% | 1.2% |
| Christine Klingler | 21.4% | 20.3% | 17.0% | 13.2% | 9.5% | 7.5% | 4.5% | 3.9% | 2.2% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Jessica McJones | 7.3% | 6.4% | 7.8% | 8.5% | 9.0% | 9.2% | 10.7% | 9.5% | 11.4% | 9.0% | 6.7% | 3.7% | 0.8% |
| Gabby Rizika | 11.4% | 13.8% | 11.3% | 12.0% | 11.4% | 11.7% | 10.7% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 3.2% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 0.1% |
| Alie Toppa | 20.6% | 20.1% | 16.3% | 13.0% | 9.9% | 8.4% | 5.1% | 3.4% | 1.7% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Ava Esquier | 8.5% | 9.0% | 10.2% | 10.1% | 11.8% | 10.3% | 9.3% | 9.0% | 8.4% | 7.1% | 3.5% | 2.3% | 0.5% |
| Jocelyn Rovniak | 0.7% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 1.9% | 2.2% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 4.8% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 11.0% | 23.9% | 35.8% |
| Ellie Ungar | 7.8% | 6.5% | 8.7% | 9.8% | 9.5% | 11.2% | 10.8% | 9.9% | 10.1% | 7.7% | 5.0% | 2.3% | 0.7% |
| Susan Riley | 0.8% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 1.9% | 1.4% | 2.9% | 3.6% | 3.7% | 6.1% | 11.3% | 22.1% | 43.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.