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📊 Prediction Accuracy
46.2%
Within 2 Positions
2.3
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Cornell University2.77+3.95vs Predicted
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2University of Wisconsin1.51+6.31vs Predicted
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3Yale University3.38+0.53vs Predicted
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4U. S. Naval Academy2.14+2.61vs Predicted
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5University of Pennsylvania2.43+0.72vs Predicted
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6St. Mary's College of Maryland2.31+0.06vs Predicted
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7College of Charleston3.37-3.50vs Predicted
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8Christopher Newport University1.36+0.66vs Predicted
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9Georgetown University2.19-2.49vs Predicted
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10University of South Florida1.59-1.96vs Predicted
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11Jacksonville University1.86-3.84vs Predicted
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12Old Dominion University0.28-0.88vs Predicted
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13Northwestern University0.47-2.16vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.95Cornell University2.770.1%1st Place
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8.31University of Wisconsin1.510.0%1st Place
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3.53Yale University3.380.2%1st Place
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6.61U. S. Naval Academy2.140.1%1st Place
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5.72University of Pennsylvania2.430.1%1st Place
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6.06St. Mary's College of Maryland2.310.1%1st Place
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3.5College of Charleston3.370.2%1st Place
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8.66Christopher Newport University1.360.0%1st Place
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6.51Georgetown University2.190.1%1st Place
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8.04University of South Florida1.590.0%1st Place
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7.16Jacksonville University1.860.0%1st Place
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11.12Old Dominion University0.280.0%1st Place
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10.84Northwestern University0.470.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gabby Rizika | 11.4% | 12.6% | 11.6% | 13.2% | 10.5% | 11.1% | 8.8% | 8.1% | 5.9% | 3.7% | 2.4% | 0.5% | 0.2% |
| Andrea Sullivan | 3.3% | 3.6% | 4.3% | 4.1% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 8.8% | 12.6% | 12.9% | 13.1% | 12.8% | 4.8% |
| Christine Klingler | 21.7% | 17.6% | 17.9% | 11.6% | 11.9% | 7.8% | 6.2% | 3.0% | 1.6% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Jessica McJones | 6.6% | 6.8% | 5.6% | 9.4% | 10.2% | 8.8% | 10.8% | 9.6% | 10.3% | 9.5% | 7.8% | 3.5% | 1.1% |
| Lenox Butcher | 8.9% | 9.4% | 10.7% | 10.1% | 9.9% | 10.0% | 9.3% | 10.4% | 8.5% | 6.1% | 4.3% | 2.0% | 0.4% |
| Ellie Ungar | 6.9% | 9.5% | 7.7% | 9.7% | 10.3% | 11.1% | 10.6% | 10.3% | 7.9% | 7.8% | 4.6% | 3.3% | 0.3% |
| Alie Toppa | 21.3% | 19.2% | 17.3% | 13.4% | 10.2% | 7.7% | 4.6% | 3.2% | 2.1% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Samara Leith | 2.2% | 3.7% | 3.8% | 5.0% | 4.0% | 5.4% | 7.0% | 9.1% | 10.8% | 12.1% | 16.7% | 13.9% | 6.3% |
| Lola Bushnell | 6.9% | 6.5% | 8.1% | 8.3% | 8.6% | 10.1% | 10.9% | 10.3% | 9.4% | 8.9% | 7.0% | 3.9% | 1.1% |
| Delaney Brown | 4.4% | 4.1% | 3.9% | 4.8% | 6.2% | 7.8% | 9.1% | 8.2% | 10.9% | 12.5% | 12.1% | 10.4% | 5.6% |
| Paula Resto | 4.5% | 5.4% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 7.7% | 9.7% | 10.1% | 11.2% | 10.2% | 11.3% | 7.4% | 6.5% | 2.5% |
| Jocelyn Rovniak | 0.9% | 0.7% | 1.1% | 2.0% | 1.7% | 2.1% | 2.4% | 3.7% | 4.4% | 6.2% | 10.6% | 21.4% | 42.8% |
| Emily Guo | 1.0% | 0.9% | 1.4% | 1.5% | 1.9% | 2.3% | 3.5% | 4.1% | 5.4% | 8.1% | 13.3% | 21.7% | 34.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.