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📊 Prediction Accuracy
53.8%
Within 2 Positions
2.5
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Georgetown University2.19+5.42vs Predicted
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2College of Charleston3.37+1.49vs Predicted
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3University of Wisconsin1.51+5.39vs Predicted
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4Yale University3.38-0.54vs Predicted
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5Cornell University2.77-0.21vs Predicted
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6Christopher Newport University1.36+2.66vs Predicted
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7U. S. Naval Academy2.14-0.51vs Predicted
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8Jacksonville University1.86-0.72vs Predicted
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9St. Mary's College of Maryland2.31-2.83vs Predicted
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10Old Dominion University0.28+1.05vs Predicted
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11Northwestern University0.47-0.39vs Predicted
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12University of Pennsylvania2.43-6.07vs Predicted
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13University of South Florida1.59-4.74vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.42Georgetown University2.190.1%1st Place
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3.49College of Charleston3.370.2%1st Place
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8.39University of Wisconsin1.510.0%1st Place
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3.46Yale University3.380.2%1st Place
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4.79Cornell University2.770.1%1st Place
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8.66Christopher Newport University1.360.0%1st Place
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6.49U. S. Naval Academy2.140.1%1st Place
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7.28Jacksonville University1.860.1%1st Place
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6.17St. Mary's College of Maryland2.310.1%1st Place
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11.05Old Dominion University0.280.0%1st Place
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10.61Northwestern University0.470.0%1st Place
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5.93University of Pennsylvania2.430.1%1st Place
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8.26University of South Florida1.590.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lola Bushnell | 6.1% | 6.2% | 8.9% | 9.9% | 9.4% | 9.5% | 10.6% | 10.8% | 10.4% | 7.6% | 5.6% | 3.5% | 1.5% |
| Alie Toppa | 21.1% | 20.1% | 17.2% | 13.4% | 9.7% | 7.2% | 5.1% | 3.1% | 1.6% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Andrea Sullivan | 2.5% | 3.2% | 4.0% | 4.9% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 6.4% | 9.9% | 10.2% | 12.5% | 13.8% | 11.7% | 6.7% |
| Christine Klingler | 23.1% | 18.9% | 15.7% | 12.9% | 10.1% | 8.1% | 5.9% | 2.9% | 1.3% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Gabby Rizika | 13.1% | 12.6% | 13.1% | 11.7% | 10.5% | 11.2% | 9.3% | 6.8% | 5.6% | 3.1% | 2.3% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| Samara Leith | 2.9% | 3.2% | 3.7% | 5.4% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 7.5% | 7.7% | 10.8% | 12.9% | 15.1% | 13.8% | 7.7% |
| Jessica McJones | 7.6% | 6.7% | 7.9% | 7.6% | 8.7% | 11.0% | 9.9% | 9.7% | 10.3% | 8.2% | 6.8% | 4.9% | 0.7% |
| Paula Resto | 5.1% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 7.5% | 7.9% | 10.2% | 11.5% | 10.7% | 11.7% | 9.7% | 6.2% | 2.1% |
| Ellie Ungar | 7.0% | 7.9% | 8.6% | 8.5% | 10.9% | 10.9% | 9.9% | 10.4% | 9.5% | 8.0% | 4.4% | 3.5% | 0.5% |
| Jocelyn Rovniak | 0.9% | 1.2% | 1.9% | 1.6% | 2.3% | 1.9% | 2.0% | 3.2% | 4.6% | 5.9% | 10.8% | 19.8% | 43.9% |
| Emily Guo | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.0% | 2.0% | 3.1% | 2.9% | 4.1% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 9.5% | 13.0% | 22.7% | 30.5% |
| Lenox Butcher | 7.5% | 8.7% | 8.8% | 10.6% | 11.2% | 9.4% | 11.1% | 10.1% | 9.5% | 5.5% | 4.3% | 2.7% | 0.6% |
| Delaney Brown | 2.2% | 4.2% | 4.1% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 7.6% | 8.0% | 9.6% | 10.6% | 13.4% | 13.6% | 10.3% | 5.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.