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📊 Prediction Accuracy
46.2%
Within 2 Positions
2.8
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of South Florida1.59+7.11vs Predicted
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2University of Wisconsin1.51+6.26vs Predicted
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3Cornell University2.77+1.92vs Predicted
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4Yale University3.38-0.53vs Predicted
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5College of Charleston3.37-1.54vs Predicted
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6Christopher Newport University1.36+2.66vs Predicted
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7U. S. Naval Academy2.14-0.50vs Predicted
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8University of Pennsylvania2.43-2.26vs Predicted
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9St. Mary's College of Maryland2.31-2.81vs Predicted
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10Georgetown University2.19-3.58vs Predicted
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11Old Dominion University0.28-0.01vs Predicted
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12Northwestern University0.47-1.21vs Predicted
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13Jacksonville University1.86-5.51vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.11University of South Florida1.590.0%1st Place
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8.26University of Wisconsin1.510.0%1st Place
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4.92Cornell University2.770.1%1st Place
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3.47Yale University3.380.2%1st Place
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3.46College of Charleston3.370.2%1st Place
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8.66Christopher Newport University1.360.0%1st Place
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6.5U. S. Naval Academy2.140.1%1st Place
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5.74University of Pennsylvania2.430.1%1st Place
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6.19St. Mary's College of Maryland2.310.1%1st Place
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6.42Georgetown University2.190.1%1st Place
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10.99Old Dominion University0.280.0%1st Place
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10.79Northwestern University0.470.0%1st Place
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7.49Jacksonville University1.860.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Delaney Brown | 3.4% | 3.9% | 3.2% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 7.9% | 7.6% | 12.2% | 12.4% | 13.0% | 11.0% | 4.6% |
| Andrea Sullivan | 3.2% | 3.7% | 4.2% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 7.8% | 8.4% | 9.5% | 13.4% | 13.6% | 12.0% | 5.9% |
| Gabby Rizika | 10.9% | 12.0% | 13.2% | 10.8% | 12.8% | 12.5% | 8.9% | 6.9% | 5.5% | 4.0% | 1.3% | 1.1% | 0.1% |
| Christine Klingler | 22.8% | 19.1% | 16.2% | 12.9% | 9.3% | 8.1% | 5.8% | 3.9% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Alie Toppa | 22.5% | 19.0% | 18.1% | 13.0% | 8.6% | 7.8% | 4.3% | 3.2% | 1.8% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Samara Leith | 2.3% | 4.3% | 3.2% | 4.6% | 4.1% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 9.1% | 10.1% | 11.8% | 15.1% | 14.4% | 7.6% |
| Jessica McJones | 7.1% | 7.1% | 8.0% | 7.6% | 8.3% | 9.5% | 12.3% | 9.6% | 8.8% | 10.6% | 6.6% | 3.0% | 1.5% |
| Lenox Butcher | 8.1% | 10.5% | 9.7% | 8.8% | 9.8% | 10.3% | 12.3% | 9.9% | 9.4% | 5.9% | 3.5% | 1.4% | 0.4% |
| Ellie Ungar | 6.9% | 7.9% | 7.5% | 10.8% | 10.3% | 8.7% | 12.0% | 10.6% | 9.0% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 1.8% | 1.1% |
| Lola Bushnell | 7.3% | 5.7% | 7.9% | 9.1% | 11.4% | 10.0% | 9.2% | 9.9% | 10.4% | 8.0% | 5.4% | 4.5% | 1.2% |
| Jocelyn Rovniak | 0.9% | 1.0% | 0.9% | 1.3% | 2.0% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 4.4% | 5.6% | 6.4% | 10.8% | 21.6% | 39.6% |
| Emily Guo | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.7% | 2.3% | 1.4% | 2.6% | 2.7% | 4.6% | 5.6% | 8.0% | 12.0% | 21.4% | 35.7% |
| Paula Resto | 3.7% | 4.7% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 8.7% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 11.9% | 11.2% | 11.4% | 10.9% | 7.7% | 2.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.