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📊 Prediction Accuracy
53.8%
Within 2 Positions
1.9
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1College of Charleston3.37+2.41vs Predicted
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2U. S. Naval Academy2.14+4.29vs Predicted
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3Cornell University2.77+1.70vs Predicted
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4Yale University3.38-0.64vs Predicted
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5St. Mary's College of Maryland2.31+0.78vs Predicted
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6Christopher Newport University1.36+2.26vs Predicted
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7University of South Florida1.59+0.58vs Predicted
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8University of Wisconsin1.51-0.13vs Predicted
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9University of Pennsylvania2.44-3.44vs Predicted
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10Jacksonville University0.30+0.59vs Predicted
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11Georgetown University2.19-5.03vs Predicted
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12Northwestern University0.23-1.14vs Predicted
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13Old Dominion University0.28-2.21vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.41College of Charleston3.370.2%1st Place
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6.29U. S. Naval Academy2.140.1%1st Place
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4.7Cornell University2.770.1%1st Place
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3.36Yale University3.380.2%1st Place
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5.78St. Mary's College of Maryland2.310.1%1st Place
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8.26Christopher Newport University1.360.0%1st Place
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7.58University of South Florida1.590.0%1st Place
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7.87University of Wisconsin1.510.0%1st Place
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5.56University of Pennsylvania2.440.1%1st Place
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10.59Jacksonville University0.300.0%1st Place
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5.97Georgetown University2.190.1%1st Place
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10.86Northwestern University0.230.0%1st Place
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10.79Old Dominion University0.280.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alie Toppa | 22.6% | 19.4% | 16.0% | 14.3% | 10.1% | 7.7% | 5.4% | 2.4% | 0.9% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jessica McJones | 6.3% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 9.1% | 10.8% | 12.3% | 10.4% | 10.2% | 10.8% | 8.6% | 4.9% | 2.3% | 0.3% |
| Gabby Rizika | 10.6% | 14.1% | 13.0% | 13.4% | 11.4% | 11.4% | 10.8% | 6.1% | 5.1% | 2.9% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Christine Klingler | 22.6% | 19.9% | 17.8% | 12.1% | 10.5% | 7.8% | 4.6% | 2.7% | 1.4% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.1% |
| Ellie Ungar | 8.8% | 7.8% | 9.6% | 9.8% | 11.4% | 10.3% | 11.2% | 9.9% | 10.2% | 5.7% | 3.8% | 1.3% | 0.2% |
| Samara Leith | 3.0% | 3.3% | 4.7% | 3.6% | 4.8% | 7.4% | 8.3% | 9.5% | 14.4% | 13.5% | 12.9% | 10.7% | 3.9% |
| Delaney Brown | 4.3% | 4.2% | 5.4% | 7.4% | 4.9% | 7.2% | 10.0% | 11.9% | 11.2% | 14.2% | 9.8% | 7.7% | 1.8% |
| Andrea Sullivan | 3.7% | 3.6% | 4.6% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 8.7% | 12.7% | 12.1% | 14.9% | 12.1% | 7.2% | 2.4% |
| Ava Esquier | 8.6% | 9.6% | 9.5% | 11.3% | 11.8% | 10.8% | 10.3% | 10.1% | 7.9% | 5.8% | 2.9% | 1.3% | 0.1% |
| Courtney Purcell | 1.0% | 1.0% | 1.6% | 1.5% | 2.9% | 2.5% | 3.3% | 4.2% | 6.2% | 9.0% | 16.1% | 23.4% | 27.3% |
| Lola Bushnell | 6.9% | 8.7% | 8.4% | 8.3% | 11.7% | 12.3% | 10.7% | 11.8% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 4.1% | 1.2% | 0.6% |
| Susan Riley | 0.6% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.7% | 1.9% | 2.3% | 3.2% | 4.6% | 5.4% | 7.1% | 16.2% | 22.0% | 33.0% |
| Jocelyn Rovniak | 1.0% | 0.8% | 1.0% | 1.9% | 1.7% | 1.7% | 3.1% | 3.9% | 6.6% | 9.4% | 16.1% | 22.5% | 30.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.