Race 8B

odu-women-interconference

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

23.1%
Within 2 Positions
3.4
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
Alie Toppa 23.1% 19.6% 17.1% 12.2% 10.4% 8.6% 4.2% 2.7% 1.5% 0.3% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
Ellie Ungar 7.0% 8.1% 9.5% 10.8% 10.9% 11.3% 11.5% 10.4% 9.2% 6.5% 3.2% 1.3% 0.3%
Jocelyn Rovniak 0.9% 0.7% 1.1% 1.5% 1.4% 2.2% 2.8% 4.8% 6.5% 8.8% 16.5% 23.4% 29.4%
Gabby Rizika 11.9% 13.8% 12.1% 12.7% 12.7% 10.3% 8.7% 8.1% 5.5% 2.5% 1.1% 0.5% 0.1%
Lola Bushnell 7.7% 6.6% 10.0% 9.5% 10.1% 11.3% 11.0% 11.7% 8.1% 7.4% 4.9% 1.5% 0.2%
Samara Leith 2.7% 3.7% 4.1% 4.5% 5.7% 6.7% 8.6% 9.9% 11.2% 15.3% 14.3% 9.4% 3.9%
Courtney Purcell 1.1% 1.8% 1.6% 1.9% 1.5% 2.6% 4.1% 4.3% 7.1% 8.9% 13.5% 24.2% 27.4%
Christine Klingler 24.2% 19.4% 15.4% 15.0% 11.3% 6.3% 4.8% 1.6% 1.0% 0.9% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
Ava Esquier 8.9% 9.2% 10.3% 10.5% 11.4% 11.4% 11.1% 9.4% 8.4% 4.9% 3.4% 1.0% 0.1%
Susan Riley 0.7% 1.3% 1.0% 1.9% 2.8% 2.3% 3.1% 3.5% 5.2% 8.8% 15.1% 21.5% 32.8%
Jessica McJones 6.0% 7.9% 8.6% 10.1% 8.8% 11.3% 13.2% 11.1% 9.7% 6.6% 5.1% 1.3% 0.3%
Andrea Sullivan 2.7% 4.5% 4.2% 3.2% 7.5% 7.1% 7.6% 10.8% 14.7% 15.2% 12.3% 7.4% 2.8%
Delaney Brown 3.1% 3.4% 5.0% 6.2% 5.5% 8.6% 9.3% 11.7% 11.9% 13.9% 10.2% 8.5% 2.7%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.