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📊 Prediction Accuracy
25.0%
Within 2 Positions
4.7
Avg Position Diff
20
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Pennsylvania2.79+11.91vs Predicted
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2U. S. Naval Academy4.09+5.79vs Predicted
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3U. S. Merchant Marine Academy3.30+7.96vs Predicted
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4Roger Williams University4.71+1.49vs Predicted
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5Brown University4.30+1.88vs Predicted
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6Boston College4.92-1.18vs Predicted
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7Georgetown University4.33+0.08vs Predicted
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8Washington College2.29+6.61vs Predicted
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9Texas A&M University at Galveston2.20+6.02vs Predicted
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10Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.87-1.43vs Predicted
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11St. Mary's College of Maryland3.92-2.55vs Predicted
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12College of Charleston3.64-2.21vs Predicted
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13University of Miami1.09+4.95vs Predicted
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14Old Dominion University3.30-3.16vs Predicted
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15University of South Florida3.74-5.87vs Predicted
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16University of Vermont2.74-2.81vs Predicted
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17Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.63-7.59vs Predicted
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18SUNY Maritime College3.60-8.13vs Predicted
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19Tufts University3.70-9.69vs Predicted
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20Queen's University1.06-2.05vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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12.91University of Pennsylvania2.790.0%1st Place
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7.79U. S. Naval Academy4.090.1%1st Place
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10.96U. S. Merchant Marine Academy3.300.0%1st Place
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5.49Roger Williams University4.710.1%1st Place
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6.88Brown University4.300.1%1st Place
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4.82Boston College4.920.2%1st Place
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7.08Georgetown University4.330.1%1st Place
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14.61Washington College2.290.0%1st Place
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15.02Texas A&M University at Galveston2.200.0%1st Place
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8.57Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.870.1%1st Place
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8.45St. Mary's College of Maryland3.920.1%1st Place
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9.79College of Charleston3.640.0%1st Place
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17.95University of Miami1.090.0%1st Place
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10.84Old Dominion University3.300.0%1st Place
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9.13University of South Florida3.740.1%1st Place
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13.19University of Vermont2.740.0%1st Place
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9.41Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.630.0%1st Place
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9.87SUNY Maritime College3.600.0%1st Place
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9.31Tufts University3.700.1%1st Place
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17.95Queen's University1.060.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Amanda Johnson | 2.0% | 2.0% | 2.6% | 2.6% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 3.5% | 3.1% | 3.8% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 3.5% | 5.6% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 10.0% | 12.3% | 11.4% | 6.3% | 1.5% |
| Clark Hayes | 8.1% | 4.6% | 6.4% | 8.4% | 6.4% | 9.0% | 7.6% | 7.9% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 4.0% | 3.2% | 3.3% | 1.3% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Nick Aswad | 3.8% | 2.4% | 3.7% | 4.8% | 4.1% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 3.8% | 4.9% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 7.5% | 8.4% | 7.6% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 2.4% | 0.5% |
| Alec Anderson | 12.8% | 13.9% | 10.2% | 9.5% | 10.0% | 7.6% | 7.6% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 4.4% | 2.8% | 3.3% | 1.5% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Tommy Fink | 8.2% | 9.7% | 8.5% | 7.9% | 7.8% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 7.9% | 7.8% | 6.2% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 2.9% | 3.6% | 2.4% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Taylor Canfield | 15.1% | 14.8% | 13.4% | 11.2% | 9.6% | 8.7% | 5.9% | 7.3% | 3.7% | 4.0% | 1.9% | 1.9% | 0.9% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Scott Furnary | 7.6% | 7.3% | 9.0% | 9.3% | 7.5% | 7.5% | 8.5% | 7.4% | 7.9% | 6.0% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 4.2% | 3.2% | 2.5% | 1.6% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Mildred Conroy | 0.9% | 1.3% | 1.4% | 0.9% | 1.8% | 1.6% | 1.9% | 2.8% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 4.7% | 4.1% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 7.5% | 10.0% | 12.4% | 14.9% | 12.6% | 5.7% |
| Laura Stamets | 0.9% | 1.2% | 1.3% | 0.8% | 1.7% | 1.3% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 1.6% | 3.4% | 4.7% | 3.9% | 3.6% | 4.9% | 6.4% | 7.9% | 12.2% | 18.6% | 15.5% | 6.2% |
| Austen Anderson | 5.3% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 7.6% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 3.8% | 3.7% | 1.8% | 1.4% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Joshua Greenslade | 6.4% | 6.6% | 5.3% | 6.4% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 7.8% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 3.3% | 4.4% | 2.4% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Mac Mace | 4.8% | 4.7% | 3.7% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 8.5% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 5.7% | 4.1% | 1.9% | 0.6% | 0.2% |
| Amy Gaylord | 0.1% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 2.7% | 2.4% | 2.6% | 6.2% | 9.7% | 25.2% | 41.6% |
| Scott Hoffmann | 1.9% | 3.7% | 4.9% | 3.5% | 3.7% | 6.7% | 5.3% | 3.3% | 4.6% | 5.3% | 7.4% | 5.9% | 8.0% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 7.7% | 6.0% | 4.9% | 1.8% | 0.4% |
| Britton Steele | 6.0% | 5.0% | 6.6% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 4.7% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 3.1% | 1.8% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Hunter Mumma | 2.2% | 2.1% | 1.8% | 2.0% | 3.0% | 2.2% | 2.7% | 2.9% | 4.6% | 3.7% | 4.0% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 6.9% | 8.0% | 9.3% | 13.6% | 11.1% | 7.0% | 2.1% |
| Eamon Glackin | 4.6% | 4.7% | 4.4% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 8.0% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 4.8% | 3.7% | 1.5% | 0.9% | 0.0% |
| Harry Scott | 3.8% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 4.9% | 6.2% | 7.5% | 6.3% | 7.6% | 5.7% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 1.9% | 1.2% | 0.1% |
| Massimo Soriano | 5.1% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 6.4% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 7.7% | 5.8% | 7.9% | 4.5% | 3.1% | 1.6% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| William Schwenger | 0.4% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 0.6% | 1.2% | 1.9% | 2.5% | 3.7% | 4.8% | 12.0% | 24.7% | 41.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.