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📊 Prediction Accuracy
46.2%
Within 2 Positions
2.0
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1College of Charleston3.37+2.40vs Predicted
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2Georgetown University2.19+4.17vs Predicted
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3University of Pennsylvania2.44+2.50vs Predicted
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4Yale University3.38-0.66vs Predicted
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5Cornell University2.77-0.43vs Predicted
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6U. S. Naval Academy2.14+0.18vs Predicted
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7University of South Florida1.59+0.60vs Predicted
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8Jacksonville University0.30+2.59vs Predicted
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9St. Mary's College of Maryland2.31-3.14vs Predicted
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10Northwestern University0.23+0.77vs Predicted
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11Old Dominion University0.28-0.45vs Predicted
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12University of Wisconsin1.51-3.93vs Predicted
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13Christopher Newport University1.36-4.60vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.4College of Charleston3.370.2%1st Place
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6.17Georgetown University2.190.1%1st Place
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5.5University of Pennsylvania2.440.1%1st Place
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3.34Yale University3.380.2%1st Place
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4.57Cornell University2.770.1%1st Place
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6.18U. S. Naval Academy2.140.1%1st Place
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7.6University of South Florida1.590.0%1st Place
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10.59Jacksonville University0.300.0%1st Place
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5.86St. Mary's College of Maryland2.310.1%1st Place
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10.77Northwestern University0.230.0%1st Place
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10.55Old Dominion University0.280.0%1st Place
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8.07University of Wisconsin1.510.0%1st Place
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8.4Christopher Newport University1.360.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alie Toppa | 22.6% | 19.2% | 17.5% | 12.9% | 10.1% | 7.3% | 5.8% | 2.0% | 1.8% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Lola Bushnell | 6.0% | 7.1% | 8.9% | 9.7% | 10.3% | 10.7% | 12.4% | 10.1% | 10.1% | 7.6% | 4.4% | 2.3% | 0.4% |
| Ava Esquier | 8.2% | 9.3% | 9.8% | 12.3% | 11.2% | 11.9% | 10.5% | 10.7% | 7.8% | 5.1% | 2.1% | 0.9% | 0.2% |
| Christine Klingler | 23.8% | 20.1% | 15.4% | 13.9% | 9.8% | 7.7% | 4.3% | 3.1% | 1.3% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Gabby Rizika | 13.4% | 14.1% | 12.9% | 11.1% | 12.2% | 11.0% | 10.4% | 7.5% | 3.3% | 2.7% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Jessica McJones | 6.9% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 10.6% | 9.6% | 12.2% | 10.1% | 11.7% | 8.8% | 8.7% | 5.0% | 1.5% | 0.6% |
| Delaney Brown | 4.7% | 3.7% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 9.9% | 9.9% | 12.4% | 13.5% | 11.5% | 6.9% | 1.8% |
| Courtney Purcell | 0.8% | 1.3% | 2.2% | 1.9% | 2.2% | 2.0% | 2.6% | 3.9% | 6.9% | 10.6% | 15.0% | 21.4% | 29.2% |
| Ellie Ungar | 7.0% | 9.6% | 9.0% | 10.0% | 10.4% | 11.0% | 10.5% | 10.6% | 9.9% | 6.7% | 3.4% | 1.6% | 0.3% |
| Susan Riley | 0.9% | 1.0% | 1.5% | 2.2% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 2.8% | 4.0% | 5.5% | 8.8% | 14.1% | 21.7% | 33.3% |
| Jocelyn Rovniak | 0.8% | 1.2% | 0.9% | 1.5% | 2.5% | 2.7% | 4.3% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 9.3% | 16.6% | 23.8% | 25.2% |
| Andrea Sullivan | 2.8% | 3.6% | 5.2% | 3.5% | 7.5% | 6.6% | 7.8% | 11.8% | 12.9% | 12.9% | 12.9% | 8.0% | 4.5% |
| Samara Leith | 2.1% | 2.7% | 4.4% | 4.4% | 5.0% | 7.3% | 8.6% | 9.4% | 13.4% | 13.2% | 13.9% | 11.2% | 4.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.