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📊 Prediction Accuracy
72.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.7
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1St. Mary's College of Maryland2.31+4.54vs Predicted
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2Yale University3.38+1.17vs Predicted
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3Cornell University2.77+1.55vs Predicted
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4U. S. Naval Academy2.14+2.02vs Predicted
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5University of Pennsylvania2.44+0.15vs Predicted
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6Georgetown University2.19-0.24vs Predicted
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7College of Charleston3.37-3.93vs Predicted
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8University of Wisconsin1.51-0.90vs Predicted
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9University of South Florida1.59-1.88vs Predicted
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10Old Dominion University0.28-0.56vs Predicted
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11Northwestern University0.47-1.93vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.54St. Mary's College of Maryland2.310.1%1st Place
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3.17Yale University3.380.2%1st Place
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4.55Cornell University2.770.1%1st Place
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6.02U. S. Naval Academy2.140.1%1st Place
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5.15University of Pennsylvania2.440.1%1st Place
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5.76Georgetown University2.190.1%1st Place
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3.07College of Charleston3.370.3%1st Place
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7.1University of Wisconsin1.510.0%1st Place
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7.12University of South Florida1.590.0%1st Place
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9.44Old Dominion University0.280.0%1st Place
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9.07Northwestern University0.470.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ellie Ungar | 6.5% | 8.8% | 9.2% | 10.9% | 12.3% | 14.1% | 12.5% | 12.0% | 8.8% | 4.0% | 0.9% |
| Christine Klingler | 23.6% | 20.7% | 18.9% | 13.7% | 9.2% | 6.2% | 4.9% | 2.0% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Gabby Rizika | 11.4% | 12.8% | 12.7% | 14.7% | 13.3% | 11.4% | 10.3% | 7.5% | 4.9% | 0.9% | 0.1% |
| Jessica McJones | 5.8% | 7.0% | 8.5% | 8.3% | 10.3% | 13.3% | 13.4% | 13.3% | 11.0% | 6.9% | 2.2% |
| Ava Esquier | 8.8% | 10.5% | 11.6% | 12.5% | 11.6% | 11.4% | 12.1% | 9.8% | 6.9% | 4.3% | 0.5% |
| Lola Bushnell | 6.7% | 8.6% | 8.5% | 9.9% | 11.9% | 12.3% | 11.3% | 12.1% | 10.7% | 6.0% | 2.0% |
| Alie Toppa | 26.4% | 21.8% | 16.0% | 13.9% | 10.0% | 5.3% | 3.4% | 1.4% | 1.4% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Andrea Sullivan | 4.4% | 3.1% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 8.2% | 9.9% | 11.2% | 13.5% | 15.2% | 15.9% | 6.9% |
| Delaney Brown | 4.3% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 6.9% | 8.8% | 12.6% | 14.8% | 16.6% | 13.8% | 7.3% |
| Jocelyn Rovniak | 1.0% | 0.8% | 2.0% | 1.8% | 2.9% | 3.6% | 3.7% | 6.2% | 10.8% | 20.2% | 47.0% |
| Emily Guo | 1.1% | 1.6% | 1.9% | 2.7% | 3.4% | 3.7% | 4.6% | 7.4% | 13.0% | 27.5% | 33.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.