← Back to Regatta

📊 Prediction Accuracy

72.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.7
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11
Ellie Ungar 6.5% 8.8% 9.2% 10.9% 12.3% 14.1% 12.5% 12.0% 8.8% 4.0% 0.9%
Christine Klingler 23.6% 20.7% 18.9% 13.7% 9.2% 6.2% 4.9% 2.0% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0%
Gabby Rizika 11.4% 12.8% 12.7% 14.7% 13.3% 11.4% 10.3% 7.5% 4.9% 0.9% 0.1%
Jessica McJones 5.8% 7.0% 8.5% 8.3% 10.3% 13.3% 13.4% 13.3% 11.0% 6.9% 2.2%
Ava Esquier 8.8% 10.5% 11.6% 12.5% 11.6% 11.4% 12.1% 9.8% 6.9% 4.3% 0.5%
Lola Bushnell 6.7% 8.6% 8.5% 9.9% 11.9% 12.3% 11.3% 12.1% 10.7% 6.0% 2.0%
Alie Toppa 26.4% 21.8% 16.0% 13.9% 10.0% 5.3% 3.4% 1.4% 1.4% 0.4% 0.0%
Andrea Sullivan 4.4% 3.1% 5.6% 6.1% 8.2% 9.9% 11.2% 13.5% 15.2% 15.9% 6.9%
Delaney Brown 4.3% 4.3% 5.1% 5.5% 6.9% 8.8% 12.6% 14.8% 16.6% 13.8% 7.3%
Jocelyn Rovniak 1.0% 0.8% 2.0% 1.8% 2.9% 3.6% 3.7% 6.2% 10.8% 20.2% 47.0%
Emily Guo 1.1% 1.6% 1.9% 2.7% 3.4% 3.7% 4.6% 7.4% 13.0% 27.5% 33.1%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.