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📊 Prediction Accuracy
63.6%
Within 2 Positions
1.9
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1St. Mary's College of Maryland2.31+4.55vs Predicted
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2University of Pennsylvania2.44+3.11vs Predicted
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3Yale University3.38+0.27vs Predicted
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4College of Charleston3.37-0.71vs Predicted
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5Georgetown University2.19+0.72vs Predicted
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6Cornell University2.77-1.51vs Predicted
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7University of Wisconsin1.51+0.10vs Predicted
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8Old Dominion University0.28+1.44vs Predicted
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9U. S. Naval Academy2.14-3.06vs Predicted
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10University of South Florida1.59-3.03vs Predicted
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11Northwestern University0.47-1.89vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.55St. Mary's College of Maryland2.310.1%1st Place
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5.11University of Pennsylvania2.440.1%1st Place
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3.27Yale University3.380.2%1st Place
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3.29College of Charleston3.370.2%1st Place
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5.72Georgetown University2.190.1%1st Place
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4.49Cornell University2.770.1%1st Place
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7.1University of Wisconsin1.510.1%1st Place
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9.44Old Dominion University0.280.0%1st Place
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5.94U. S. Naval Academy2.140.1%1st Place
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6.97University of South Florida1.590.0%1st Place
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9.11Northwestern University0.470.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ellie Ungar | 5.8% | 9.9% | 9.2% | 10.6% | 12.0% | 13.4% | 13.9% | 12.0% | 7.2% | 5.1% | 0.9% |
| Ava Esquier | 9.2% | 10.0% | 10.9% | 13.3% | 12.6% | 11.1% | 11.2% | 11.3% | 6.9% | 2.8% | 0.7% |
| Christine Klingler | 21.8% | 21.6% | 17.4% | 12.8% | 11.0% | 8.3% | 3.9% | 2.2% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Alie Toppa | 23.6% | 19.0% | 17.4% | 14.2% | 9.9% | 7.5% | 4.4% | 2.7% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Lola Bushnell | 8.2% | 7.8% | 9.9% | 9.2% | 10.5% | 11.4% | 11.4% | 12.8% | 11.1% | 6.1% | 1.6% |
| Gabby Rizika | 13.2% | 12.8% | 14.1% | 12.8% | 13.8% | 10.8% | 7.8% | 7.2% | 4.8% | 2.3% | 0.4% |
| Andrea Sullivan | 5.1% | 3.7% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 8.7% | 7.8% | 11.9% | 13.0% | 17.5% | 14.4% | 7.5% |
| Jocelyn Rovniak | 1.3% | 1.1% | 1.0% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 4.2% | 6.4% | 12.4% | 20.1% | 46.0% |
| Jessica McJones | 6.5% | 7.5% | 7.7% | 10.5% | 8.9% | 12.9% | 14.3% | 11.6% | 11.1% | 6.5% | 2.5% |
| Delaney Brown | 4.1% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 10.4% | 11.3% | 13.8% | 15.7% | 15.5% | 5.3% |
| Emily Guo | 1.2% | 1.0% | 2.2% | 2.8% | 3.3% | 3.5% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 11.6% | 26.6% | 35.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.