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📊 Prediction Accuracy
54.5%
Within 2 Positions
2.4
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of South Florida1.59+6.21vs Predicted
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2College of Charleston3.37+1.19vs Predicted
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3Cornell University2.77+1.61vs Predicted
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4U. S. Naval Academy2.14+2.03vs Predicted
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5Yale University3.38-1.84vs Predicted
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6Georgetown University2.19-0.26vs Predicted
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7Northwestern University0.47+2.04vs Predicted
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8University of Wisconsin1.51-0.87vs Predicted
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9St. Mary's College of Maryland2.31-3.49vs Predicted
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10Old Dominion University0.28-0.61vs Predicted
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11University of Pennsylvania2.44-6.00vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.21University of South Florida1.590.0%1st Place
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3.19College of Charleston3.370.2%1st Place
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4.61Cornell University2.770.1%1st Place
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6.03U. S. Naval Academy2.140.1%1st Place
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3.16Yale University3.380.3%1st Place
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5.74Georgetown University2.190.1%1st Place
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9.04Northwestern University0.470.0%1st Place
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7.13University of Wisconsin1.510.0%1st Place
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5.51St. Mary's College of Maryland2.310.1%1st Place
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9.39Old Dominion University0.280.0%1st Place
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5.0University of Pennsylvania2.440.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Delaney Brown | 3.2% | 3.3% | 4.5% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 9.5% | 11.1% | 15.3% | 19.1% | 13.8% | 6.2% |
| Alie Toppa | 23.1% | 21.7% | 17.8% | 12.5% | 11.4% | 6.3% | 4.4% | 2.0% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Gabby Rizika | 10.7% | 11.9% | 14.3% | 14.5% | 11.8% | 13.1% | 9.4% | 8.3% | 4.5% | 1.1% | 0.4% |
| Jessica McJones | 6.1% | 6.4% | 9.2% | 8.0% | 10.3% | 11.7% | 15.6% | 11.9% | 12.6% | 5.7% | 2.5% |
| Christine Klingler | 25.3% | 21.6% | 15.9% | 12.8% | 9.6% | 7.3% | 4.0% | 2.5% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Lola Bushnell | 7.3% | 8.6% | 7.3% | 11.1% | 11.2% | 12.3% | 12.1% | 11.5% | 11.3% | 5.7% | 1.6% |
| Emily Guo | 1.6% | 2.6% | 2.4% | 2.1% | 2.4% | 2.6% | 6.0% | 7.9% | 10.8% | 26.4% | 35.2% |
| Andrea Sullivan | 4.6% | 3.0% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 8.8% | 10.3% | 11.0% | 12.3% | 15.9% | 15.5% | 7.8% |
| Ellie Ungar | 8.0% | 8.5% | 9.6% | 10.9% | 12.7% | 11.5% | 11.5% | 12.3% | 9.2% | 4.5% | 1.3% |
| Jocelyn Rovniak | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.9% | 2.2% | 2.7% | 3.2% | 4.1% | 6.9% | 9.1% | 23.9% | 44.0% |
| Ava Esquier | 9.2% | 11.3% | 11.3% | 13.7% | 12.3% | 12.2% | 10.8% | 9.1% | 6.0% | 3.1% | 1.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.