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📊 Prediction Accuracy
52.6%
Within 2 Positions
3.2
Avg Position Diff
19
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Tufts University3.37+8.51vs Predicted
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2U. S. Naval Academy3.33+7.64vs Predicted
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3Georgetown University4.74+1.58vs Predicted
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4SUNY Maritime College3.28+5.86vs Predicted
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5Roger Williams University3.61+3.74vs Predicted
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6University of South Florida4.17+0.34vs Predicted
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7Brown University3.98+0.05vs Predicted
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8Boston College4.43-2.37vs Predicted
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9St. Mary's College of Maryland3.05+1.59vs Predicted
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10University of Miami3.69-1.94vs Predicted
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11U. S. Merchant Marine Academy3.02-0.15vs Predicted
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12Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.22-1.61vs Predicted
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13University of Pennsylvania2.68-0.99vs Predicted
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14Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.42-4.63vs Predicted
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15Old Dominion University3.67-6.77vs Predicted
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16Texas A&M University at Galveston2.83-4.47vs Predicted
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17Queen's University0.43+0.66vs Predicted
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18University of Vermont2.55-5.36vs Predicted
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19Washington College0.57-1.68vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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9.51Tufts University3.370.0%1st Place
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9.64U. S. Naval Academy3.330.0%1st Place
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4.58Georgetown University4.740.2%1st Place
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9.86SUNY Maritime College3.280.0%1st Place
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8.74Roger Williams University3.610.0%1st Place
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6.34University of South Florida4.170.1%1st Place
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7.05Brown University3.980.1%1st Place
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5.63Boston College4.430.1%1st Place
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10.59St. Mary's College of Maryland3.050.0%1st Place
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8.06University of Miami3.690.1%1st Place
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10.85U. S. Merchant Marine Academy3.020.0%1st Place
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10.39Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.220.0%1st Place
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12.01University of Pennsylvania2.680.0%1st Place
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9.37Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.420.1%1st Place
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8.23Old Dominion University3.670.1%1st Place
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11.53Texas A&M University at Galveston2.830.0%1st Place
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17.66Queen's University0.430.0%1st Place
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12.64University of Vermont2.550.0%1st Place
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17.32Washington College0.570.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| William Hutchings | 3.5% | 4.0% | 6.5% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 5.7% | 3.9% | 1.9% | 0.2% |
| Alejandro Ravelo | 4.1% | 4.6% | 4.4% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 6.9% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 7.9% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 5.3% | 6.7% | 4.7% | 1.5% | 0.1% |
| Chris Barnard | 17.9% | 14.7% | 12.2% | 12.3% | 10.5% | 7.6% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 4.1% | 2.4% | 2.0% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Randall Hartranft | 3.6% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 4.4% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 7.5% | 8.3% | 8.0% | 6.5% | 7.4% | 6.4% | 4.5% | 1.8% | 0.0% |
| Cameron Pimentel | 4.7% | 4.7% | 5.8% | 7.6% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 8.1% | 6.4% | 7.5% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 4.6% | 5.7% | 4.6% | 2.6% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Zachary Marks | 11.8% | 10.1% | 8.7% | 9.8% | 7.7% | 7.9% | 7.6% | 7.1% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 3.9% | 3.9% | 3.2% | 2.5% | 1.8% | 1.3% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Colin Smith | 8.0% | 7.9% | 9.4% | 6.2% | 9.4% | 7.5% | 8.1% | 8.0% | 5.6% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 4.8% | 4.6% | 3.0% | 1.7% | 1.7% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Anne Haeger | 11.8% | 11.8% | 11.7% | 10.5% | 8.8% | 9.2% | 7.7% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 4.7% | 4.1% | 2.6% | 2.1% | 1.2% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| John Wallace | 3.7% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 3.3% | 4.6% | 4.1% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 8.0% | 7.7% | 8.3% | 7.5% | 6.6% | 3.3% | 0.9% |
| David Hernandez | 5.6% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 7.6% | 8.3% | 5.6% | 7.3% | 8.1% | 6.3% | 8.1% | 6.2% | 4.0% | 4.9% | 3.9% | 2.8% | 1.7% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Evan Siepert | 3.5% | 3.1% | 2.7% | 4.1% | 3.4% | 4.4% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 7.7% | 6.3% | 7.4% | 6.5% | 8.2% | 8.0% | 9.1% | 3.4% | 0.4% |
| Timothy Zacher | 3.2% | 4.6% | 3.3% | 4.3% | 3.7% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 6.7% | 9.9% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 5.7% | 8.2% | 6.5% | 2.2% | 0.3% |
| Michael Russom | 2.9% | 2.7% | 2.3% | 2.4% | 3.3% | 4.3% | 3.5% | 3.4% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 3.8% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 9.3% | 10.0% | 10.2% | 13.9% | 5.2% | 1.4% |
| David Alfonso | 5.1% | 3.4% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 6.1% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 8.8% | 6.4% | 5.4% | 2.8% | 1.3% | 0.1% |
| Gavin Rudolph | 6.0% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 8.2% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 5.0% | 7.3% | 5.5% | 7.3% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 4.3% | 5.2% | 3.3% | 2.2% | 1.2% | 0.0% |
| Jonathan Atwood | 2.3% | 3.0% | 3.5% | 3.2% | 2.8% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 3.9% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 6.5% | 7.9% | 9.8% | 10.1% | 11.2% | 4.6% | 0.8% |
| Joshua Brown | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.5% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 0.8% | 1.2% | 3.0% | 3.2% | 5.5% | 27.7% | 52.8% |
| Steven Pelissier | 1.7% | 1.8% | 1.5% | 3.2% | 2.5% | 2.7% | 3.7% | 3.4% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 10.4% | 15.8% | 9.1% | 2.2% |
| Karl Kurland | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 1.2% | 1.3% | 1.4% | 1.5% | 1.7% | 3.8% | 7.5% | 35.9% | 40.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.