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📊 Prediction Accuracy
41.2%
Within 2 Positions
3.4
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1SUNY Maritime College4.15+4.78vs Predicted
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2University of Rhode Island3.59+5.74vs Predicted
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3U. S. Naval Academy4.34+2.26vs Predicted
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4Washington College4.25+1.69vs Predicted
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5St. Mary's College of Maryland3.56+2.92vs Predicted
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6University of South Florida4.10+0.17vs Predicted
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7Georgetown University4.33-1.57vs Predicted
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8University of California at Santa Barbara2.87+2.19vs Predicted
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9College of Charleston3.64-1.41vs Predicted
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10Eckerd College3.24-0.88vs Predicted
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12Tulane University2.14+0.51vs Predicted
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13University of Texas2.50-1.47vs Predicted
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14Salve Regina University3.92-7.40vs Predicted
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15Old Dominion University2.47-3.51vs Predicted
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16Clemson University2.34-3.89vs Predicted
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17University of Wisconsin2.72-6.13vs Predicted
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18Salve Regina University3.92-11.40vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.78SUNY Maritime College4.150.1%1st Place
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7.74University of Rhode Island3.590.1%1st Place
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5.26U. S. Naval Academy4.340.1%1st Place
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5.69Washington College4.250.1%1st Place
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7.92St. Mary's College of Maryland3.560.1%1st Place
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6.17University of South Florida4.100.1%1st Place
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5.43Georgetown University4.330.1%1st Place
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10.19University of California at Santa Barbara2.870.0%1st Place
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7.59College of Charleston3.640.1%1st Place
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9.12Eckerd College3.240.0%1st Place
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12.51Tulane University2.140.0%1st Place
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11.53University of Texas2.500.0%1st Place
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6.6Salve Regina University3.920.1%1st Place
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11.49Old Dominion University2.470.0%1st Place
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12.11Clemson University2.340.0%1st Place
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10.87University of Wisconsin2.720.0%1st Place
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6.6Salve Regina University3.920.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Shawn Murray | 10.2% | 12.4% | 10.2% | 9.0% | 8.9% | 10.3% | 8.0% | 8.1% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 4.1% | 4.3% | 1.6% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Mike Warren | 6.1% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 5.9% | 7.2% | 7.9% | 8.1% | 7.6% | 7.3% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 4.6% | 2.9% | 1.3% | 0.0% |
| Robert Vann | 13.8% | 11.0% | 10.6% | 11.4% | 10.5% | 8.1% | 9.2% | 8.2% | 5.8% | 4.6% | 2.0% | 2.4% | 1.4% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Joseph Blouin | 11.0% | 11.2% | 9.7% | 11.5% | 9.6% | 9.3% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 6.8% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 3.1% | 1.5% | 1.3% | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Frederick Whitman | 5.2% | 5.2% | 7.1% | 5.8% | 8.1% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 8.5% | 7.6% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 4.7% | 3.0% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Mitchell Hall | 9.4% | 9.5% | 10.4% | 10.0% | 8.5% | 9.5% | 8.0% | 7.5% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 2.3% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Scott Furnary | 14.4% | 10.3% | 9.7% | 11.4% | 9.9% | 8.3% | 8.2% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 3.9% | 2.4% | 1.6% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Nicholas Kaschak | 2.7% | 3.0% | 4.0% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 8.1% | 5.8% | 9.7% | 10.7% | 11.3% | 9.8% | 6.0% | 0.0% |
| Mac Mace | 6.0% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 8.8% | 7.0% | 7.9% | 8.1% | 8.4% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 4.7% | 4.2% | 2.3% | 1.5% | 0.0% |
| Spencer Verney | 4.6% | 4.0% | 5.0% | 4.3% | 3.8% | 5.6% | 6.4% | 5.3% | 8.6% | 7.5% | 11.7% | 10.1% | 8.8% | 6.9% | 4.7% | 2.7% | 0.0% |
| Chris Raff | 1.7% | 1.7% | 1.5% | 1.4% | 3.1% | 1.7% | 3.2% | 3.3% | 3.2% | 3.4% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 8.6% | 11.6% | 18.1% | 27.0% | 0.0% |
| Scott Proctor | 1.8% | 1.7% | 2.9% | 2.6% | 2.8% | 2.5% | 3.7% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 10.2% | 12.1% | 13.8% | 16.5% | 0.0% |
| Peter Pellegrini | 7.1% | 9.8% | 8.8% | 8.3% | 8.7% | 8.4% | 8.7% | 7.9% | 7.6% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 4.1% | 1.6% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Kevin Shockey | 2.1% | 2.1% | 2.0% | 2.4% | 2.7% | 3.5% | 2.8% | 5.3% | 4.3% | 5.2% | 6.9% | 8.9% | 11.3% | 12.1% | 13.4% | 15.0% | 0.0% |
| Harrison Cabiness | 2.1% | 1.7% | 1.3% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 2.9% | 3.0% | 3.3% | 4.0% | 4.4% | 7.1% | 8.6% | 7.7% | 13.2% | 18.0% | 19.0% | 0.0% |
| Brendan Boylan | 1.8% | 2.0% | 3.5% | 3.0% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 8.9% | 9.5% | 10.4% | 12.1% | 11.0% | 9.6% | 0.0% |
| Peter Pellegrini | 7.1% | 9.8% | 8.8% | 8.3% | 8.7% | 8.4% | 8.7% | 7.9% | 7.6% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 4.1% | 1.6% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.