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📊 Prediction Accuracy
31.6%
Within 2 Positions
3.5
Avg Position Diff
19
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Tufts University3.37+8.63vs Predicted
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2Georgetown University4.74+2.75vs Predicted
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3St. Mary's College of Maryland3.05+7.93vs Predicted
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4University of South Florida4.17+2.47vs Predicted
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5Old Dominion University3.67+3.60vs Predicted
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6University of Miami3.69+2.25vs Predicted
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7University of Pennsylvania2.68+5.33vs Predicted
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8Brown University3.98-0.60vs Predicted
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9U. S. Naval Academy3.33+0.55vs Predicted
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10College of Charleston3.78-2.16vs Predicted
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11Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.42-1.56vs Predicted
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12U. S. Merchant Marine Academy3.02-0.64vs Predicted
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13Boston College4.43-7.65vs Predicted
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14SUNY Maritime College3.28-3.92vs Predicted
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15Roger Williams University3.61-6.50vs Predicted
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16Texas A&M University at Galveston2.83-4.38vs Predicted
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17University of Vermont2.55-4.31vs Predicted
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18Washington College0.57-0.39vs Predicted
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19Queen's University0.43-1.39vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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9.63Tufts University3.370.0%1st Place
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4.75Georgetown University4.740.2%1st Place
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10.93St. Mary's College of Maryland3.050.0%1st Place
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6.47University of South Florida4.170.1%1st Place
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8.6Old Dominion University3.670.0%1st Place
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8.25University of Miami3.690.1%1st Place
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12.33University of Pennsylvania2.680.0%1st Place
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7.4Brown University3.980.1%1st Place
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9.55U. S. Naval Academy3.330.1%1st Place
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7.84College of Charleston3.780.1%1st Place
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9.44Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.420.0%1st Place
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11.36U. S. Merchant Marine Academy3.020.0%1st Place
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5.35Boston College4.430.1%1st Place
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10.08SUNY Maritime College3.280.0%1st Place
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8.5Roger Williams University3.610.1%1st Place
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11.62Texas A&M University at Galveston2.830.0%1st Place
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12.69University of Vermont2.550.0%1st Place
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17.61Washington College0.570.0%1st Place
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17.61Queen's University0.430.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| William Hutchings | 3.7% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 4.7% | 1.7% | 0.3% |
| Chris Barnard | 16.2% | 14.7% | 12.3% | 12.6% | 10.0% | 7.7% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 3.2% | 2.8% | 1.3% | 1.3% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| John Wallace | 3.5% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 2.8% | 3.4% | 3.9% | 4.4% | 4.8% | 4.4% | 6.4% | 4.9% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 8.0% | 8.3% | 9.7% | 9.0% | 2.6% | 0.8% |
| Zachary Marks | 9.1% | 8.7% | 9.2% | 8.9% | 9.1% | 9.5% | 7.9% | 6.4% | 8.3% | 6.9% | 4.1% | 4.0% | 3.5% | 1.9% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Gavin Rudolph | 4.4% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 3.7% | 4.9% | 1.0% | 0.8% | 0.0% |
| David Hernandez | 6.0% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 5.3% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 5.7% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 4.7% | 3.6% | 3.9% | 2.8% | 0.2% | 0.2% |
| Michael Russom | 2.8% | 2.0% | 2.3% | 2.1% | 2.6% | 3.4% | 3.7% | 4.4% | 3.9% | 3.4% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 6.6% | 7.8% | 11.6% | 11.8% | 14.0% | 5.9% | 1.4% |
| Colin Smith | 7.6% | 7.3% | 7.6% | 8.2% | 7.4% | 8.6% | 7.4% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 3.9% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 1.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Alejandro Ravelo | 5.2% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 7.7% | 7.1% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 1.6% | 0.1% |
| Erik Bowers | 6.8% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 7.9% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 8.2% | 7.9% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 4.2% | 3.5% | 2.0% | 1.4% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| David Alfonso | 4.3% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 6.8% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 7.7% | 7.9% | 6.7% | 4.8% | 6.1% | 3.6% | 1.1% | 0.1% |
| Evan Siepert | 3.0% | 3.3% | 2.9% | 2.1% | 3.9% | 3.3% | 4.0% | 4.9% | 4.1% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 8.1% | 10.4% | 10.6% | 8.4% | 3.5% | 0.5% |
| Anne Haeger | 12.3% | 13.3% | 11.6% | 11.1% | 9.6% | 8.0% | 7.8% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 3.9% | 3.1% | 2.0% | 2.0% | 1.2% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Randall Hartranft | 4.7% | 2.9% | 3.7% | 4.3% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 4.8% | 8.6% | 9.5% | 6.7% | 4.4% | 1.8% | 0.2% |
| Cameron Pimentel | 5.9% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 7.5% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 4.2% | 3.9% | 3.3% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Jonathan Atwood | 1.9% | 2.9% | 3.4% | 3.0% | 3.0% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 3.1% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 7.7% | 9.9% | 9.6% | 10.4% | 5.4% | 0.5% |
| Steven Pelissier | 2.1% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 2.6% | 2.4% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 3.4% | 4.6% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 9.8% | 10.4% | 17.8% | 9.0% | 1.2% |
| Karl Kurland | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 1.5% | 1.3% | 2.2% | 3.5% | 7.0% | 34.9% | 44.3% |
| Joshua Brown | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.6% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 2.6% | 5.8% | 30.2% | 50.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.