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📊 Prediction Accuracy
75.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.0
Avg Position Diff
4
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.26+2.05vs Predicted
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2University of California at Berkeley0.74+0.02vs Predicted
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3University of Southern California0.90-1.31vs Predicted
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4Arizona State University-0.39-0.76vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.05Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.269.8%1st Place
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2.02University of California at Berkeley0.7432.1%1st Place
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1.69University of Southern California0.9050.0%1st Place
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3.24Arizona State University-0.398.2%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 |
---|---|---|---|---|
Florence Duff | 9.8% | 13.8% | 37.9% | 38.6% |
Katherine Olsen | 32.1% | 39.6% | 22.7% | 5.6% |
Morgana Manti | 50.0% | 34.7% | 12.0% | 3.3% |
Sadie Hoberman | 8.2% | 11.9% | 27.5% | 52.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.