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📊 Prediction Accuracy
31.2%
Within 2 Positions
3.3
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Hawaii2.89+7.04vs Predicted
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2Harvard University3.60+3.64vs Predicted
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3University of California at Santa Barbara3.06+4.50vs Predicted
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4U. S. Merchant Marine Academy2.82+4.51vs Predicted
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5Santa Barbara City College2.29+5.32vs Predicted
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6Stanford University3.17+1.22vs Predicted
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7Georgetown University3.39-0.51vs Predicted
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8Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.77-3.00vs Predicted
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9College of Charleston2.90-0.95vs Predicted
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10Yale University3.05-2.33vs Predicted
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11Old Dominion University2.82-2.55vs Predicted
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12University of South Florida2.24-1.54vs Predicted
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13University of Wisconsin2.08-2.07vs Predicted
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14Boston University3.24-7.22vs Predicted
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15Marquette University1.11-1.18vs Predicted
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16University of Miami2.08-4.89vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.04University of Hawaii2.890.0%1st Place
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5.64Harvard University3.600.1%1st Place
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7.5University of California at Santa Barbara3.060.1%1st Place
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8.51U. S. Merchant Marine Academy2.820.0%1st Place
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10.32Santa Barbara City College2.290.0%1st Place
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7.22Stanford University3.170.1%1st Place
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6.49Georgetown University3.390.1%1st Place
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5.0Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.770.1%1st Place
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8.05College of Charleston2.900.1%1st Place
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7.67Yale University3.050.1%1st Place
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8.45Old Dominion University2.820.1%1st Place
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10.46University of South Florida2.240.0%1st Place
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10.93University of Wisconsin2.080.0%1st Place
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6.78Boston University3.240.1%1st Place
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13.82Marquette University1.110.0%1st Place
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11.11University of Miami2.080.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Charles Eaton IV | 4.7% | 7.6% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 8.3% | 5.2% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 8.0% | 7.6% | 7.5% | 5.9% | 3.9% | 1.2% |
| Nick Sertl | 11.7% | 12.1% | 12.1% | 10.0% | 8.7% | 7.9% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 4.5% | 3.2% | 2.4% | 1.4% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Kristopher Swanson | 7.2% | 6.1% | 7.5% | 6.4% | 8.0% | 7.0% | 8.2% | 7.4% | 7.9% | 8.1% | 7.7% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 3.7% | 2.4% | 1.2% |
| Max Neubelt | 4.9% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 8.0% | 7.6% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 2.0% |
| Silas Barton | 2.8% | 3.2% | 2.9% | 4.4% | 3.8% | 5.5% | 4.4% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 7.4% | 6.2% | 8.5% | 8.6% | 12.0% | 12.3% | 6.9% |
| Jacob Rosenberg | 6.7% | 7.7% | 8.4% | 8.4% | 8.4% | 6.8% | 8.6% | 6.1% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 4.6% | 2.6% | 0.7% |
| William Logue | 10.9% | 9.1% | 7.8% | 8.5% | 7.8% | 9.4% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 8.2% | 6.1% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 4.4% | 2.2% | 1.6% | 0.1% |
| Ty Ingram | 14.8% | 13.5% | 12.6% | 10.2% | 8.7% | 9.4% | 9.0% | 6.7% | 4.2% | 3.5% | 2.5% | 2.2% | 1.7% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Charles Morano | 5.9% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 7.9% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 6.3% | 5.2% | 4.0% | 2.6% |
| Casey Klingler | 6.9% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 9.2% | 8.7% | 7.9% | 7.6% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 4.4% | 2.7% | 1.2% |
| Dreugh Phillips | 5.9% | 6.1% | 4.7% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 4.8% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 7.4% | 7.6% | 8.0% | 7.8% | 6.8% | 8.1% | 4.8% | 2.0% |
| Alison Knoles | 3.5% | 2.9% | 3.3% | 3.7% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 6.4% | 8.2% | 8.8% | 10.3% | 13.8% | 9.1% |
| Charles Bocklet | 2.0% | 2.0% | 3.8% | 3.0% | 4.4% | 3.8% | 4.6% | 4.1% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 7.3% | 8.0% | 10.3% | 12.3% | 13.2% | 11.1% |
| Ravi Parent | 8.7% | 7.1% | 8.8% | 8.7% | 8.3% | 8.6% | 8.3% | 8.2% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 2.9% | 1.6% | 0.4% |
| Ryan Clulo | 1.4% | 1.4% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 1.5% | 1.4% | 0.8% | 1.5% | 2.2% | 3.3% | 2.5% | 4.4% | 5.5% | 7.2% | 15.3% | 50.3% |
| Max Thompson | 2.0% | 2.9% | 2.0% | 3.4% | 3.4% | 3.6% | 5.0% | 4.0% | 4.4% | 5.1% | 6.6% | 8.8% | 10.9% | 11.9% | 14.8% | 11.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.