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📊 Prediction Accuracy
37.5%
Within 2 Positions
3.2
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Boston University3.24+5.75vs Predicted
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2Harvard University3.60+3.63vs Predicted
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3University of Hawaii2.89+5.17vs Predicted
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4Yale University3.05+3.72vs Predicted
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5Georgetown University3.39+1.44vs Predicted
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6Santa Barbara City College2.29+4.33vs Predicted
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7College of Charleston2.90+1.19vs Predicted
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8Stanford University3.17-0.98vs Predicted
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9University of California at Santa Barbara3.06-1.55vs Predicted
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10University of South Florida2.24+0.57vs Predicted
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11University of Miami2.08-0.03vs Predicted
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12Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.77-6.81vs Predicted
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13Old Dominion University2.82-4.64vs Predicted
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14U. S. Merchant Marine Academy2.82-5.75vs Predicted
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15University of Wisconsin2.08-3.85vs Predicted
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16Marquette University1.11-2.18vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.75Boston University3.240.1%1st Place
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5.63Harvard University3.600.1%1st Place
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8.17University of Hawaii2.890.1%1st Place
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7.72Yale University3.050.1%1st Place
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6.44Georgetown University3.390.1%1st Place
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10.33Santa Barbara City College2.290.0%1st Place
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8.19College of Charleston2.900.1%1st Place
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7.02Stanford University3.170.1%1st Place
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7.45University of California at Santa Barbara3.060.1%1st Place
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10.57University of South Florida2.240.0%1st Place
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10.97University of Miami2.080.0%1st Place
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5.19Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.770.1%1st Place
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8.36Old Dominion University2.820.0%1st Place
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8.25U. S. Merchant Marine Academy2.820.1%1st Place
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11.15University of Wisconsin2.080.0%1st Place
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13.82Marquette University1.110.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ravi Parent | 8.2% | 9.7% | 8.7% | 7.2% | 9.3% | 8.3% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 7.7% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 4.1% | 4.4% | 3.4% | 2.1% | 0.3% |
| Nick Sertl | 12.6% | 11.4% | 11.2% | 10.8% | 9.0% | 7.6% | 7.3% | 5.4% | 7.5% | 5.6% | 4.3% | 3.0% | 2.1% | 1.3% | 0.8% | 0.1% |
| Charles Eaton IV | 6.1% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 8.1% | 8.0% | 9.6% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 4.3% | 1.7% |
| Casey Klingler | 5.8% | 7.8% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 7.7% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 5.1% | 2.8% | 1.1% |
| William Logue | 9.2% | 8.0% | 9.5% | 9.4% | 9.7% | 8.6% | 8.1% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 4.6% | 1.4% | 0.9% | 0.3% |
| Silas Barton | 3.0% | 2.0% | 3.7% | 3.7% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 6.6% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 8.0% | 12.3% | 12.0% | 8.5% |
| Charles Morano | 6.2% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 7.5% | 7.7% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 7.6% | 8.5% | 6.2% | 3.6% | 2.0% |
| Jacob Rosenberg | 7.8% | 9.1% | 6.5% | 8.2% | 8.2% | 7.4% | 7.5% | 8.2% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 3.5% | 3.7% | 1.7% | 0.6% |
| Kristopher Swanson | 7.0% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 7.9% | 8.5% | 7.8% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 8.2% | 4.9% | 6.7% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 2.3% | 1.5% |
| Alison Knoles | 3.3% | 3.6% | 3.0% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 7.2% | 9.6% | 10.6% | 12.8% | 10.9% | 8.8% |
| Max Thompson | 3.3% | 3.3% | 1.7% | 4.5% | 3.3% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 3.9% | 3.8% | 4.5% | 8.2% | 6.7% | 9.4% | 11.5% | 16.0% | 12.0% |
| Ty Ingram | 13.5% | 13.0% | 13.4% | 10.8% | 8.9% | 7.8% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 3.9% | 3.8% | 1.4% | 1.7% | 1.2% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Dreugh Phillips | 4.6% | 5.0% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 5.6% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 7.6% | 7.7% | 8.3% | 7.4% | 6.6% | 8.0% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 2.0% |
| Max Neubelt | 5.8% | 4.5% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 7.6% | 6.7% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 5.8% | 8.7% | 6.9% | 5.8% | 4.9% | 1.6% |
| Charles Bocklet | 3.0% | 2.1% | 3.4% | 1.7% | 2.4% | 3.5% | 4.3% | 5.3% | 4.7% | 5.9% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 9.5% | 12.2% | 16.9% | 10.5% |
| Ryan Clulo | 0.6% | 1.1% | 1.0% | 1.0% | 1.2% | 1.3% | 1.3% | 2.2% | 1.9% | 2.4% | 4.5% | 3.9% | 5.7% | 7.7% | 15.2% | 49.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.