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📊 Prediction Accuracy
37.5%
Within 2 Positions
3.3
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Boston University3.24+5.75vs Predicted
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2University of California at Santa Barbara3.06+5.47vs Predicted
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3Santa Barbara City College2.29+7.34vs Predicted
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4Harvard University3.60+1.81vs Predicted
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5U. S. Merchant Marine Academy2.82+3.41vs Predicted
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6Stanford University3.17+1.28vs Predicted
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7University of Hawaii2.89+1.29vs Predicted
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8Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.77-3.00vs Predicted
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9Yale University3.05-1.52vs Predicted
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10College of Charleston2.90-1.75vs Predicted
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11Georgetown University3.39-4.62vs Predicted
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12University of South Florida2.24-1.58vs Predicted
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13University of Wisconsin2.08-2.02vs Predicted
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14Old Dominion University2.82-5.77vs Predicted
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15University of Miami2.08-3.87vs Predicted
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16Marquette University1.11-2.22vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.75Boston University3.240.1%1st Place
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7.47University of California at Santa Barbara3.060.1%1st Place
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10.34Santa Barbara City College2.290.0%1st Place
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5.81Harvard University3.600.1%1st Place
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8.41U. S. Merchant Marine Academy2.820.1%1st Place
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7.28Stanford University3.170.1%1st Place
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8.29University of Hawaii2.890.1%1st Place
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5.0Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.770.1%1st Place
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7.48Yale University3.050.1%1st Place
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8.25College of Charleston2.900.1%1st Place
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6.38Georgetown University3.390.1%1st Place
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10.42University of South Florida2.240.0%1st Place
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10.98University of Wisconsin2.080.0%1st Place
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8.23Old Dominion University2.820.1%1st Place
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11.13University of Miami2.080.0%1st Place
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13.78Marquette University1.110.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ravi Parent | 8.2% | 9.4% | 7.8% | 9.6% | 8.6% | 7.1% | 7.9% | 7.6% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 7.6% | 5.5% | 4.3% | 2.4% | 1.9% | 0.3% |
| Kristopher Swanson | 6.9% | 8.0% | 7.2% | 7.7% | 8.8% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 3.3% | 1.3% |
| Silas Barton | 4.0% | 3.0% | 3.0% | 3.2% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 4.4% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 11.0% | 12.1% | 10.5% | 7.4% |
| Nick Sertl | 10.6% | 12.4% | 10.4% | 9.8% | 7.9% | 8.8% | 7.7% | 7.8% | 6.8% | 5.6% | 4.5% | 3.3% | 2.5% | 1.2% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Max Neubelt | 5.3% | 4.8% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 8.4% | 6.2% | 7.4% | 8.0% | 7.2% | 8.5% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 4.7% | 2.1% |
| Jacob Rosenberg | 6.4% | 7.3% | 8.6% | 8.2% | 8.4% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 7.7% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 4.1% | 2.5% | 0.9% |
| Charles Eaton IV | 6.0% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 4.9% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 8.0% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 4.1% | 2.3% |
| Ty Ingram | 14.9% | 13.6% | 12.6% | 9.9% | 8.3% | 12.7% | 6.8% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 3.9% | 2.4% | 2.2% | 1.7% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Casey Klingler | 6.7% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 6.1% | 7.7% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 8.5% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 3.9% | 2.6% | 1.5% |
| Charles Morano | 6.0% | 5.4% | 4.5% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 7.2% | 8.2% | 8.7% | 7.7% | 7.6% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 4.2% | 1.4% |
| William Logue | 11.0% | 7.8% | 10.7% | 8.8% | 6.7% | 8.9% | 8.0% | 7.8% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 5.5% | 4.1% | 3.4% | 2.5% | 1.2% | 0.3% |
| Alison Knoles | 3.1% | 3.9% | 2.8% | 2.8% | 5.1% | 4.3% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 9.7% | 10.2% | 12.9% | 9.8% |
| Charles Bocklet | 2.1% | 1.9% | 2.8% | 3.9% | 4.7% | 3.6% | 3.0% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 7.5% | 9.0% | 9.2% | 11.1% | 14.7% | 11.1% |
| Dreugh Phillips | 5.7% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 7.4% | 6.2% | 8.2% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 8.4% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 3.4% | 2.1% |
| Max Thompson | 2.4% | 2.8% | 3.3% | 2.0% | 2.9% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 8.4% | 9.3% | 10.7% | 18.0% | 10.9% |
| Ryan Clulo | 0.7% | 1.1% | 1.0% | 1.0% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 1.7% | 1.9% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 3.5% | 3.7% | 5.8% | 8.6% | 15.0% | 48.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.