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📊 Prediction Accuracy
31.2%
Within 2 Positions
3.0
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Boston University3.24+5.76vs Predicted
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2Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.77+3.11vs Predicted
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3Harvard University3.60+2.67vs Predicted
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4University of California at Santa Barbara3.06+3.63vs Predicted
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5Yale University3.05+2.58vs Predicted
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6University of South Florida2.24+4.53vs Predicted
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7Georgetown University3.39-0.55vs Predicted
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8Stanford University3.17-0.97vs Predicted
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9University of Wisconsin2.08+1.92vs Predicted
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10U. S. Merchant Marine Academy2.82-1.54vs Predicted
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11College of Charleston2.90-2.86vs Predicted
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12Old Dominion University2.82-3.55vs Predicted
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13University of Miami2.08-2.01vs Predicted
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14Marquette University1.11-0.36vs Predicted
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15Santa Barbara City College2.29-4.55vs Predicted
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16University of Hawaii2.89-7.80vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.76Boston University3.240.1%1st Place
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5.11Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.770.1%1st Place
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5.67Harvard University3.600.1%1st Place
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7.63University of California at Santa Barbara3.060.1%1st Place
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7.58Yale University3.050.1%1st Place
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10.53University of South Florida2.240.0%1st Place
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6.45Georgetown University3.390.1%1st Place
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7.03Stanford University3.170.1%1st Place
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10.92University of Wisconsin2.080.0%1st Place
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8.46U. S. Merchant Marine Academy2.820.1%1st Place
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8.14College of Charleston2.900.1%1st Place
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8.45Old Dominion University2.820.1%1st Place
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10.99University of Miami2.080.0%1st Place
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13.64Marquette University1.110.0%1st Place
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10.45Santa Barbara City College2.290.0%1st Place
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8.2University of Hawaii2.890.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ravi Parent | 7.0% | 10.7% | 8.4% | 8.3% | 9.2% | 7.5% | 7.9% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 7.6% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 3.4% | 2.6% | 1.4% | 1.2% |
| Ty Ingram | 14.5% | 14.6% | 11.7% | 10.1% | 9.2% | 8.2% | 7.3% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 3.9% | 2.8% | 2.7% | 1.4% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Nick Sertl | 12.5% | 9.4% | 11.3% | 10.7% | 8.8% | 8.8% | 10.0% | 7.0% | 5.8% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 2.5% | 2.3% | 1.4% | 0.8% | 0.2% |
| Kristopher Swanson | 5.5% | 9.3% | 6.3% | 7.9% | 6.1% | 7.5% | 6.0% | 7.5% | 8.6% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 3.0% | 1.1% |
| Casey Klingler | 6.5% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 7.9% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 7.7% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 5.8% | 4.6% | 3.3% | 0.5% |
| Alison Knoles | 2.7% | 2.0% | 3.2% | 4.8% | 3.4% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 9.1% | 10.2% | 13.0% | 10.0% |
| William Logue | 10.7% | 8.3% | 9.5% | 8.5% | 9.2% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 6.4% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 4.3% | 2.5% | 1.0% | 0.3% |
| Jacob Rosenberg | 7.9% | 8.8% | 8.1% | 6.6% | 7.9% | 9.5% | 6.3% | 7.6% | 8.4% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 4.6% | 4.7% | 4.2% | 2.4% | 0.4% |
| Charles Bocklet | 2.6% | 2.9% | 3.6% | 3.2% | 3.0% | 3.0% | 3.7% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 7.3% | 6.3% | 7.9% | 9.0% | 12.2% | 14.9% | 10.6% |
| Max Neubelt | 6.1% | 4.7% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 7.6% | 8.9% | 7.5% | 8.3% | 8.4% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 4.2% | 2.5% |
| Charles Morano | 6.8% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 8.4% | 5.3% | 7.2% | 8.4% | 7.5% | 8.2% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 4.9% | 1.5% |
| Dreugh Phillips | 5.2% | 6.3% | 4.8% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 5.1% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 8.1% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 2.0% |
| Max Thompson | 2.2% | 2.1% | 3.2% | 3.9% | 4.1% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 3.5% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 8.1% | 9.9% | 9.5% | 13.6% | 13.7% |
| Ryan Clulo | 1.1% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 1.3% | 1.8% | 1.3% | 1.3% | 1.9% | 2.7% | 1.8% | 4.3% | 3.8% | 6.4% | 8.9% | 14.6% | 46.9% |
| Silas Barton | 3.2% | 3.0% | 3.9% | 3.0% | 3.5% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 4.5% | 6.3% | 8.1% | 6.7% | 10.5% | 12.9% | 11.7% | 7.7% |
| Charles Eaton IV | 5.5% | 4.9% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 7.6% | 7.5% | 5.9% | 4.2% | 1.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.