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📊 Prediction Accuracy
18.8%
Within 2 Positions
3.8
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of California at Santa Barbara3.06+6.40vs Predicted
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2Georgetown University3.39+4.33vs Predicted
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3Boston University3.24+3.88vs Predicted
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4Yale University3.05+3.74vs Predicted
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5University of Hawaii2.89+3.21vs Predicted
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6College of Charleston2.90+2.17vs Predicted
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7University of Miami2.08+4.04vs Predicted
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8U. S. Merchant Marine Academy2.82+0.29vs Predicted
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9University of Wisconsin2.08+1.97vs Predicted
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10Santa Barbara City College2.29+0.45vs Predicted
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11Stanford University3.17-3.83vs Predicted
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12Old Dominion University2.82-3.57vs Predicted
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13Harvard University3.60-7.36vs Predicted
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14University of South Florida2.24-3.67vs Predicted
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15Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.77-9.88vs Predicted
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16Marquette University1.11-2.17vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.4University of California at Santa Barbara3.060.1%1st Place
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6.33Georgetown University3.390.1%1st Place
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6.88Boston University3.240.1%1st Place
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7.74Yale University3.050.1%1st Place
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8.21University of Hawaii2.890.1%1st Place
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8.17College of Charleston2.900.1%1st Place
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11.04University of Miami2.080.0%1st Place
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8.29U. S. Merchant Marine Academy2.820.1%1st Place
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10.97University of Wisconsin2.080.0%1st Place
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10.45Santa Barbara City College2.290.0%1st Place
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7.17Stanford University3.170.1%1st Place
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8.43Old Dominion University2.820.1%1st Place
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5.64Harvard University3.600.1%1st Place
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10.33University of South Florida2.240.0%1st Place
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5.12Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.770.2%1st Place
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13.83Marquette University1.110.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kristopher Swanson | 6.1% | 8.0% | 7.7% | 7.6% | 8.0% | 8.6% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 7.6% | 7.3% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 4.2% | 3.1% | 0.9% |
| William Logue | 9.5% | 10.9% | 8.4% | 9.9% | 8.2% | 8.0% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 3.9% | 3.5% | 1.9% | 1.4% | 0.4% |
| Ravi Parent | 7.9% | 8.5% | 7.0% | 10.3% | 8.2% | 7.2% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 8.5% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 4.9% | 3.5% | 3.2% | 1.7% | 0.7% |
| Casey Klingler | 6.2% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 7.4% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 2.8% | 1.2% |
| Charles Eaton IV | 5.6% | 5.0% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 7.5% | 5.6% | 8.6% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 7.6% | 5.8% | 7.7% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 3.6% | 1.9% |
| Charles Morano | 5.7% | 4.4% | 7.6% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 7.6% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 7.9% | 6.6% | 8.4% | 4.6% | 7.7% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 1.6% |
| Max Thompson | 3.3% | 2.3% | 3.1% | 3.4% | 3.1% | 3.9% | 3.2% | 5.4% | 4.0% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 8.4% | 8.0% | 12.7% | 16.0% | 12.1% |
| Max Neubelt | 5.5% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 7.4% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 8.1% | 8.6% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 4.3% | 2.2% |
| Charles Bocklet | 3.1% | 2.6% | 3.3% | 2.4% | 3.1% | 4.0% | 3.4% | 4.6% | 4.7% | 6.2% | 7.6% | 7.1% | 10.6% | 12.9% | 13.2% | 11.2% |
| Silas Barton | 3.0% | 3.5% | 3.2% | 3.7% | 3.2% | 4.1% | 5.1% | 3.8% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 9.8% | 11.8% | 9.6% | 11.3% | 8.2% |
| Jacob Rosenberg | 8.4% | 7.6% | 8.6% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 5.7% | 7.9% | 8.9% | 8.0% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 3.9% | 1.9% | 0.8% |
| Dreugh Phillips | 5.4% | 5.8% | 4.5% | 6.3% | 8.4% | 6.0% | 8.0% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 7.7% | 7.6% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 5.1% | 2.3% |
| Nick Sertl | 11.0% | 12.1% | 11.8% | 8.8% | 9.9% | 9.2% | 7.9% | 7.3% | 5.4% | 4.8% | 4.4% | 3.5% | 2.6% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Alison Knoles | 3.2% | 3.4% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 3.4% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 4.5% | 6.1% | 7.2% | 9.1% | 8.4% | 10.9% | 13.9% | 6.6% |
| Ty Ingram | 15.3% | 11.1% | 11.5% | 11.4% | 10.1% | 8.9% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 4.6% | 3.5% | 1.9% | 1.4% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Ryan Clulo | 0.8% | 1.0% | 0.8% | 1.0% | 1.0% | 1.6% | 1.7% | 2.1% | 1.5% | 3.9% | 2.8% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 6.8% | 15.7% | 49.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.