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📊 Prediction Accuracy
31.2%
Within 2 Positions
3.1
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Georgetown University3.39+5.29vs Predicted
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2Yale University3.05+5.45vs Predicted
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3University of Hawaii2.89+5.16vs Predicted
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4Boston University3.24+3.04vs Predicted
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5Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.77+0.19vs Predicted
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6University of South Florida2.24+4.57vs Predicted
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7University of California at Santa Barbara3.06+0.63vs Predicted
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8Old Dominion University2.82+0.30vs Predicted
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9Harvard University3.60-3.39vs Predicted
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10Santa Barbara City College2.29+0.42vs Predicted
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11College of Charleston2.90-2.91vs Predicted
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12University of Miami2.08-1.02vs Predicted
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13U. S. Merchant Marine Academy2.82-4.67vs Predicted
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14Stanford University3.17-7.03vs Predicted
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15University of Wisconsin2.08-3.85vs Predicted
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16Marquette University1.11-2.18vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.29Georgetown University3.390.1%1st Place
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7.45Yale University3.050.1%1st Place
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8.16University of Hawaii2.890.1%1st Place
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7.04Boston University3.240.1%1st Place
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5.19Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.770.1%1st Place
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10.57University of South Florida2.240.0%1st Place
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7.63University of California at Santa Barbara3.060.1%1st Place
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8.3Old Dominion University2.820.1%1st Place
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5.61Harvard University3.600.1%1st Place
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10.42Santa Barbara City College2.290.0%1st Place
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8.09College of Charleston2.900.1%1st Place
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10.98University of Miami2.080.0%1st Place
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8.33U. S. Merchant Marine Academy2.820.0%1st Place
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6.97Stanford University3.170.1%1st Place
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11.15University of Wisconsin2.080.0%1st Place
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13.82Marquette University1.110.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| William Logue | 9.2% | 11.0% | 8.6% | 9.4% | 9.1% | 9.4% | 7.8% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 3.7% | 2.0% | 1.3% | 0.1% |
| Casey Klingler | 7.0% | 7.6% | 7.7% | 7.2% | 7.9% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 8.6% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 4.0% | 3.3% | 1.2% |
| Charles Eaton IV | 6.3% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 8.0% | 6.7% | 9.6% | 8.2% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 4.1% | 1.4% |
| Ravi Parent | 7.5% | 9.0% | 7.6% | 8.0% | 7.8% | 6.9% | 7.8% | 8.7% | 7.4% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 4.2% | 1.1% | 0.7% |
| Ty Ingram | 12.9% | 12.5% | 12.5% | 11.7% | 9.8% | 8.3% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 2.9% | 2.0% | 1.8% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Alison Knoles | 2.5% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 4.6% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 6.5% | 7.7% | 5.2% | 6.5% | 8.4% | 12.6% | 12.5% | 9.8% |
| Kristopher Swanson | 7.3% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 8.4% | 7.7% | 7.3% | 7.6% | 7.9% | 5.4% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 4.7% | 3.2% | 0.9% |
| Dreugh Phillips | 5.6% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 8.3% | 7.0% | 8.8% | 7.3% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 2.1% |
| Nick Sertl | 13.2% | 10.6% | 11.9% | 9.9% | 8.1% | 9.2% | 8.0% | 7.8% | 4.8% | 4.3% | 4.1% | 3.1% | 2.9% | 1.2% | 0.7% | 0.2% |
| Silas Barton | 3.1% | 4.0% | 3.2% | 3.4% | 3.7% | 3.7% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 6.6% | 7.7% | 9.9% | 10.3% | 10.7% | 11.7% | 7.7% |
| Charles Morano | 6.9% | 6.5% | 4.5% | 6.5% | 7.5% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 7.8% | 7.2% | 8.4% | 7.8% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 3.9% | 1.2% |
| Max Thompson | 2.7% | 3.4% | 2.2% | 2.7% | 3.1% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 8.6% | 12.4% | 14.6% | 12.6% |
| Max Neubelt | 4.3% | 5.0% | 7.7% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 8.1% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 4.2% | 2.1% |
| Jacob Rosenberg | 8.1% | 6.3% | 9.4% | 7.8% | 10.3% | 7.6% | 6.5% | 7.7% | 7.8% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 7.0% | 2.5% | 1.3% | 0.6% |
| Charles Bocklet | 2.7% | 2.5% | 2.4% | 2.8% | 2.7% | 3.3% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 4.1% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 7.9% | 9.2% | 12.2% | 17.7% | 10.4% |
| Ryan Clulo | 0.7% | 0.8% | 1.2% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 1.5% | 1.7% | 2.0% | 2.6% | 2.1% | 4.4% | 3.9% | 4.9% | 8.1% | 15.4% | 49.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.