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📊 Prediction Accuracy
37.5%
Within 2 Positions
3.4
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.77+4.06vs Predicted
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2Marquette University1.11+11.60vs Predicted
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3Harvard University3.60+2.61vs Predicted
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4Stanford University3.17+3.33vs Predicted
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5University of South Florida2.24+5.55vs Predicted
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6Georgetown University3.39+0.41vs Predicted
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7Boston University3.24-0.04vs Predicted
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8Yale University3.05-0.58vs Predicted
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9University of California at Santa Barbara3.06-1.55vs Predicted
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10College of Charleston2.90-1.86vs Predicted
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11University of Hawaii2.89-2.80vs Predicted
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12Santa Barbara City College2.29-1.67vs Predicted
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13Old Dominion University2.82-4.63vs Predicted
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14University of Wisconsin2.08-3.04vs Predicted
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15University of Miami2.08-3.85vs Predicted
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16U. S. Merchant Marine Academy2.82-7.54vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.06Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.770.1%1st Place
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13.6Marquette University1.110.0%1st Place
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5.61Harvard University3.600.1%1st Place
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7.33Stanford University3.170.1%1st Place
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10.55University of South Florida2.240.0%1st Place
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6.41Georgetown University3.390.1%1st Place
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6.96Boston University3.240.1%1st Place
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7.42Yale University3.050.1%1st Place
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7.45University of California at Santa Barbara3.060.1%1st Place
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8.14College of Charleston2.900.1%1st Place
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8.2University of Hawaii2.890.1%1st Place
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10.33Santa Barbara City College2.290.0%1st Place
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8.37Old Dominion University2.820.0%1st Place
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10.96University of Wisconsin2.080.0%1st Place
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11.15University of Miami2.080.0%1st Place
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8.46U. S. Merchant Marine Academy2.820.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ty Ingram | 14.3% | 13.8% | 12.5% | 10.4% | 11.6% | 7.6% | 6.3% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 3.4% | 2.0% | 1.4% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Ryan Clulo | 1.2% | 0.5% | 1.2% | 1.9% | 1.4% | 1.6% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 2.8% | 2.6% | 3.4% | 4.2% | 5.7% | 8.0% | 14.0% | 48.1% |
| Nick Sertl | 12.3% | 11.4% | 9.0% | 10.8% | 10.3% | 8.5% | 8.9% | 7.7% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 3.3% | 2.7% | 2.3% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Jacob Rosenberg | 6.2% | 7.9% | 9.1% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 6.4% | 8.4% | 6.5% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 4.9% | 6.1% | 4.1% | 2.9% | 0.6% |
| Alison Knoles | 2.9% | 2.3% | 3.8% | 3.2% | 4.1% | 4.2% | 4.4% | 5.3% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 8.4% | 9.4% | 13.0% | 12.4% | 7.9% |
| William Logue | 8.5% | 9.0% | 11.0% | 9.1% | 8.6% | 8.5% | 8.5% | 7.8% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 4.3% | 4.4% | 2.8% | 0.7% | 0.5% |
| Ravi Parent | 9.2% | 7.2% | 8.4% | 8.1% | 7.3% | 8.6% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 5.2% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 4.9% | 3.1% | 1.6% | 0.6% |
| Casey Klingler | 6.8% | 8.4% | 7.0% | 7.7% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 8.1% | 5.9% | 8.6% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 5.2% | 4.1% | 2.8% | 1.1% |
| Kristopher Swanson | 7.0% | 8.4% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 8.1% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 8.2% | 5.9% | 7.6% | 7.6% | 5.6% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 3.4% | 1.2% |
| Charles Morano | 5.9% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 8.2% | 8.3% | 8.9% | 8.3% | 6.0% | 5.0% | 4.3% | 0.9% |
| Charles Eaton IV | 6.5% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 8.0% | 7.2% | 8.6% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 4.1% | 1.6% |
| Silas Barton | 3.6% | 3.5% | 2.4% | 4.5% | 3.5% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 4.3% | 7.3% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 8.6% | 9.5% | 10.2% | 13.2% | 8.4% |
| Dreugh Phillips | 4.7% | 5.2% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 7.6% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 7.9% | 7.6% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 2.5% |
| Charles Bocklet | 2.9% | 2.7% | 2.0% | 3.4% | 3.6% | 3.6% | 4.3% | 5.4% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 7.2% | 8.5% | 9.3% | 10.9% | 15.6% | 10.9% |
| Max Thompson | 3.1% | 2.3% | 2.7% | 2.7% | 2.4% | 4.1% | 3.6% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 11.6% | 11.7% | 14.8% | 12.8% |
| Max Neubelt | 4.9% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 6.7% | 5.5% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 6.5% | 8.7% | 6.7% | 8.2% | 6.5% | 7.4% | 3.9% | 2.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.