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📊 Prediction Accuracy
41.2%
Within 2 Positions
3.3
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of South Florida2.24+9.85vs Predicted
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2U. S. Merchant Marine Academy2.82+6.80vs Predicted
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3Harvard University3.60+2.94vs Predicted
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4Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.77+1.39vs Predicted
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5University of California at Santa Barbara3.06+2.71vs Predicted
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6Boston University3.24+1.40vs Predicted
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7College of Charleston2.90+1.60vs Predicted
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8Georgetown University3.39-1.39vs Predicted
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9Stanford University3.17-1.29vs Predicted
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10University of Miami2.08+1.65vs Predicted
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11Yale University3.05-2.85vs Predicted
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12U. S. Naval Academy2.76-2.90vs Predicted
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13Old Dominion University2.82-4.03vs Predicted
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14University of Hawaii2.89-5.23vs Predicted
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15Santa Barbara City College2.29-4.04vs Predicted
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16Marquette University1.11-1.35vs Predicted
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17University of Wisconsin2.08-5.26vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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10.85University of South Florida2.240.0%1st Place
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8.8U. S. Merchant Marine Academy2.820.1%1st Place
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5.94Harvard University3.600.1%1st Place
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5.39Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.770.1%1st Place
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7.71University of California at Santa Barbara3.060.1%1st Place
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7.4Boston University3.240.1%1st Place
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8.6College of Charleston2.900.1%1st Place
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6.61Georgetown University3.390.1%1st Place
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7.71Stanford University3.170.1%1st Place
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11.65University of Miami2.080.0%1st Place
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8.15Yale University3.050.1%1st Place
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9.1U. S. Naval Academy2.760.1%1st Place
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8.97Old Dominion University2.820.1%1st Place
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8.77University of Hawaii2.890.1%1st Place
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10.96Santa Barbara City College2.290.0%1st Place
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14.65Marquette University1.110.0%1st Place
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11.74University of Wisconsin2.080.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alison Knoles | 3.8% | 2.5% | 3.5% | 4.6% | 3.1% | 2.9% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 8.1% | 11.9% | 13.4% | 6.2% |
| Max Neubelt | 5.7% | 4.8% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 8.3% | 7.6% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 4.6% | 1.3% |
| Nick Sertl | 11.4% | 11.2% | 9.5% | 10.5% | 8.7% | 8.0% | 8.7% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 3.2% | 2.6% | 1.6% | 1.0% | 0.6% | 0.2% |
| Ty Ingram | 13.6% | 13.0% | 10.6% | 9.1% | 10.6% | 8.0% | 8.6% | 6.4% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 2.4% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 1.4% | 0.7% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Kristopher Swanson | 7.5% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 8.0% | 7.8% | 5.9% | 7.2% | 6.1% | 7.3% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 4.0% | 3.2% | 0.8% |
| Ravi Parent | 7.4% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 8.2% | 9.8% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 7.7% | 7.4% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 3.9% | 3.0% | 1.8% | 0.6% |
| Charles Morano | 5.4% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 4.5% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 8.9% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 4.5% | 3.7% | 1.3% |
| William Logue | 10.0% | 8.7% | 11.4% | 8.8% | 7.7% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 2.4% | 2.9% | 1.0% | 0.2% |
| Jacob Rosenberg | 5.9% | 6.4% | 7.6% | 8.5% | 6.3% | 8.6% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 3.1% | 1.6% | 1.0% |
| Max Thompson | 2.2% | 2.2% | 2.7% | 2.3% | 3.1% | 4.4% | 3.0% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 7.2% | 8.3% | 9.4% | 9.5% | 14.3% | 10.7% |
| Casey Klingler | 6.6% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 7.3% | 5.4% | 7.7% | 6.1% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 4.1% | 3.5% | 0.7% |
| Jimmy Madigan | 5.0% | 4.3% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 5.9% | 8.6% | 7.2% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 2.8% |
| Dreugh Phillips | 5.1% | 5.9% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 5.3% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 5.8% | 8.2% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 4.7% | 2.5% |
| Charles Eaton IV | 5.1% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 6.9% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 7.7% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 3.9% | 1.7% |
| Silas Barton | 2.7% | 4.0% | 3.4% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 3.4% | 5.2% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 8.1% | 10.6% | 10.9% | 10.5% | 8.1% |
| Ryan Clulo | 1.2% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 1.2% | 1.5% | 1.6% | 1.3% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 3.5% | 3.3% | 4.5% | 5.8% | 8.0% | 13.0% | 49.5% |
| Charles Bocklet | 1.4% | 2.9% | 2.7% | 3.3% | 3.3% | 4.0% | 2.8% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 5.4% | 6.7% | 7.9% | 12.5% | 14.8% | 12.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.