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📊 Prediction Accuracy
25.0%
Within 2 Positions
3.4
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.77+4.03vs Predicted
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2Georgetown University3.39+4.30vs Predicted
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3Boston University3.24+3.88vs Predicted
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4Stanford University3.17+3.36vs Predicted
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5College of Charleston2.90+3.13vs Predicted
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6Harvard University3.60-0.22vs Predicted
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7University of Wisconsin2.08+4.09vs Predicted
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8University of Miami2.08+2.96vs Predicted
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9University of South Florida2.24+1.37vs Predicted
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10University of Hawaii2.89-1.76vs Predicted
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11Yale University3.05-3.44vs Predicted
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12Old Dominion University2.82-3.59vs Predicted
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13Santa Barbara City College2.29-2.70vs Predicted
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14U. S. Merchant Marine Academy2.82-5.74vs Predicted
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15Marquette University1.11-1.22vs Predicted
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16University of California at Santa Barbara3.06-8.47vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.03Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.770.1%1st Place
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6.3Georgetown University3.390.1%1st Place
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6.88Boston University3.240.1%1st Place
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7.36Stanford University3.170.1%1st Place
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8.13College of Charleston2.900.1%1st Place
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5.78Harvard University3.600.1%1st Place
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11.09University of Wisconsin2.080.0%1st Place
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10.96University of Miami2.080.0%1st Place
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10.37University of South Florida2.240.0%1st Place
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8.24University of Hawaii2.890.1%1st Place
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7.56Yale University3.050.1%1st Place
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8.41Old Dominion University2.820.1%1st Place
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10.3Santa Barbara City College2.290.0%1st Place
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8.26U. S. Merchant Marine Academy2.820.1%1st Place
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13.78Marquette University1.110.0%1st Place
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7.53University of California at Santa Barbara3.060.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ty Ingram | 14.4% | 12.7% | 13.8% | 11.1% | 9.2% | 9.2% | 7.3% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 4.1% | 3.3% | 2.2% | 1.3% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| William Logue | 10.6% | 9.3% | 9.3% | 9.6% | 8.6% | 8.9% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 5.2% | 4.4% | 3.1% | 3.1% | 1.3% | 0.2% |
| Ravi Parent | 7.9% | 7.6% | 9.3% | 6.9% | 9.2% | 8.0% | 7.8% | 7.1% | 8.7% | 7.6% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 3.5% | 2.2% | 1.9% | 0.9% |
| Jacob Rosenberg | 6.9% | 7.7% | 7.9% | 8.3% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 7.8% | 8.1% | 7.5% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 4.7% | 2.0% | 0.7% |
| Charles Morano | 5.3% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 8.3% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 8.3% | 6.4% | 7.2% | 5.8% | 4.6% | 1.3% |
| Nick Sertl | 9.9% | 12.0% | 12.5% | 9.0% | 10.0% | 7.8% | 8.5% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 4.1% | 3.3% | 2.6% | 1.7% | 0.8% | 0.1% |
| Charles Bocklet | 3.5% | 2.6% | 2.5% | 3.2% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 3.6% | 3.2% | 4.3% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 7.9% | 9.7% | 13.0% | 15.9% | 12.0% |
| Max Thompson | 2.3% | 3.1% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 2.8% | 3.0% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 7.4% | 8.9% | 11.2% | 17.2% | 10.5% |
| Alison Knoles | 3.1% | 4.0% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 8.2% | 9.3% | 10.3% | 11.6% | 8.9% |
| Charles Eaton IV | 6.6% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 4.5% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 8.7% | 6.9% | 7.6% | 9.1% | 9.2% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 5.1% | 3.4% | 1.7% |
| Casey Klingler | 8.4% | 6.8% | 5.6% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 5.7% | 7.5% | 8.1% | 8.0% | 7.9% | 6.9% | 5.2% | 3.3% | 3.2% | 1.5% |
| Dreugh Phillips | 5.5% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 8.0% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 5.4% | 2.5% |
| Silas Barton | 2.5% | 2.9% | 4.0% | 4.6% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 4.4% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 7.8% | 9.0% | 8.7% | 11.3% | 12.6% | 6.5% |
| Max Neubelt | 5.7% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 8.2% | 5.6% | 7.4% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 7.6% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 4.8% | 1.3% |
| Ryan Clulo | 1.2% | 1.6% | 0.4% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 1.7% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 2.2% | 2.9% | 2.7% | 4.6% | 5.6% | 8.9% | 12.6% | 50.9% |
| Kristopher Swanson | 6.2% | 7.4% | 5.9% | 7.5% | 7.5% | 8.5% | 7.9% | 8.1% | 7.5% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 3.8% | 2.3% | 0.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.