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📊 Prediction Accuracy
56.2%
Within 2 Positions
2.6
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Yale University3.05+6.44vs Predicted
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2Harvard University3.60+3.63vs Predicted
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3Boston University3.24+3.89vs Predicted
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4Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.77+1.24vs Predicted
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5Georgetown University3.39+1.40vs Predicted
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6University of California at Santa Barbara3.06+1.63vs Predicted
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7College of Charleston2.90+1.18vs Predicted
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8Stanford University3.17-1.00vs Predicted
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9Old Dominion University2.82-0.67vs Predicted
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10University of South Florida2.24+0.59vs Predicted
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11University of Wisconsin2.08-0.07vs Predicted
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12University of Hawaii2.89-3.86vs Predicted
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13Marquette University1.11+0.70vs Predicted
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14University of Miami2.08-3.10vs Predicted
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15U. S. Merchant Marine Academy2.82-6.46vs Predicted
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16Santa Barbara City College2.29-5.56vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.44Yale University3.050.1%1st Place
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5.63Harvard University3.600.1%1st Place
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6.89Boston University3.240.1%1st Place
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5.24Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.770.1%1st Place
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6.4Georgetown University3.390.1%1st Place
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7.63University of California at Santa Barbara3.060.1%1st Place
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8.18College of Charleston2.900.1%1st Place
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7.0Stanford University3.170.1%1st Place
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8.33Old Dominion University2.820.1%1st Place
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10.59University of South Florida2.240.0%1st Place
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10.93University of Wisconsin2.080.0%1st Place
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8.14University of Hawaii2.890.1%1st Place
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13.7Marquette University1.110.0%1st Place
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10.9University of Miami2.080.0%1st Place
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8.54U. S. Merchant Marine Academy2.820.1%1st Place
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10.44Santa Barbara City College2.290.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Casey Klingler | 6.8% | 6.9% | 8.4% | 7.1% | 7.7% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 8.8% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 3.7% | 2.7% | 1.2% |
| Nick Sertl | 12.1% | 12.7% | 10.2% | 10.3% | 8.9% | 7.7% | 8.6% | 6.9% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 3.8% | 3.0% | 2.2% | 1.7% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Ravi Parent | 9.0% | 7.0% | 8.3% | 8.0% | 7.6% | 8.0% | 8.0% | 8.9% | 7.9% | 7.0% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 4.3% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 0.3% |
| Ty Ingram | 12.5% | 13.5% | 12.1% | 11.0% | 9.6% | 8.2% | 7.5% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 3.7% | 2.1% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| William Logue | 9.3% | 9.4% | 9.0% | 9.1% | 9.6% | 7.9% | 7.7% | 8.0% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 3.7% | 2.5% | 0.8% | 0.3% |
| Kristopher Swanson | 6.1% | 6.1% | 7.9% | 8.0% | 8.4% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 7.7% | 8.0% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 3.4% | 1.3% |
| Charles Morano | 6.8% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 5.3% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 5.6% | 7.9% | 7.5% | 8.4% | 7.4% | 6.6% | 4.0% | 1.5% |
| Jacob Rosenberg | 7.6% | 9.3% | 8.7% | 6.4% | 8.0% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 7.7% | 8.6% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 2.9% | 1.9% | 0.8% |
| Dreugh Phillips | 5.3% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 7.8% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 8.7% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 2.2% |
| Alison Knoles | 3.1% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 3.2% | 3.7% | 3.5% | 4.1% | 4.7% | 5.4% | 4.7% | 8.4% | 8.6% | 11.0% | 12.6% | 12.2% | 7.9% |
| Charles Bocklet | 3.4% | 3.4% | 1.8% | 3.1% | 4.5% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 3.4% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 8.2% | 12.2% | 15.5% | 12.1% |
| Charles Eaton IV | 6.0% | 5.3% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 8.1% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 4.3% | 2.2% |
| Ryan Clulo | 0.9% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 2.1% | 2.7% | 2.1% | 3.7% | 2.8% | 4.1% | 4.4% | 9.5% | 14.2% | 48.2% |
| Max Thompson | 3.1% | 2.2% | 2.8% | 2.7% | 2.8% | 3.9% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 8.1% | 10.3% | 9.6% | 14.9% | 11.3% |
| Max Neubelt | 5.5% | 4.8% | 4.1% | 7.1% | 5.9% | 8.2% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 7.4% | 7.7% | 8.9% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 5.2% | 2.3% |
| Silas Barton | 2.5% | 3.4% | 3.3% | 4.1% | 3.8% | 4.6% | 3.9% | 4.9% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 7.9% | 9.6% | 8.8% | 11.3% | 11.7% | 8.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.