← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
25.0%
Within 2 Positions
3.4
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Georgetown University3.39+5.28vs Predicted
-
2Harvard University3.60+3.60vs Predicted
-
3Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.77+2.12vs Predicted
-
4Stanford University3.17+3.34vs Predicted
-
5College of Charleston2.90+3.14vs Predicted
-
6Yale University3.05+1.65vs Predicted
-
7University of South Florida2.24+3.56vs Predicted
-
8Santa Barbara City College2.29+2.20vs Predicted
-
9University of Wisconsin2.08+1.96vs Predicted
-
10Old Dominion University2.82-1.51vs Predicted
-
11University of Hawaii2.89-2.83vs Predicted
-
12University of Miami2.08-1.04vs Predicted
-
13University of California at Santa Barbara3.06-5.55vs Predicted
-
14U. S. Merchant Marine Academy2.82-5.71vs Predicted
-
15Boston University3.24-8.02vs Predicted
-
16Marquette University1.11-2.20vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
6.28Georgetown University3.390.1%1st Place
-
5.6Harvard University3.600.1%1st Place
-
5.12Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.770.1%1st Place
-
7.34Stanford University3.170.1%1st Place
-
8.14College of Charleston2.900.1%1st Place
-
7.65Yale University3.050.1%1st Place
-
10.56University of South Florida2.240.0%1st Place
-
10.2Santa Barbara City College2.290.0%1st Place
-
10.96University of Wisconsin2.080.0%1st Place
-
8.49Old Dominion University2.820.1%1st Place
-
8.17University of Hawaii2.890.1%1st Place
-
10.96University of Miami2.080.0%1st Place
-
7.45University of California at Santa Barbara3.060.1%1st Place
-
8.29U. S. Merchant Marine Academy2.820.1%1st Place
-
6.98Boston University3.240.1%1st Place
-
13.8Marquette University1.110.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| William Logue | 9.1% | 11.4% | 8.4% | 10.5% | 8.7% | 8.3% | 6.8% | 8.1% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 4.6% | 3.6% | 2.4% | 1.4% | 0.1% |
| Nick Sertl | 12.3% | 12.2% | 12.2% | 8.8% | 9.4% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 5.5% | 4.2% | 2.6% | 2.3% | 1.1% | 1.0% | 0.1% |
| Ty Ingram | 14.2% | 12.9% | 10.0% | 12.4% | 9.8% | 8.9% | 8.4% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 4.3% | 2.3% | 1.7% | 1.4% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Jacob Rosenberg | 7.0% | 7.8% | 9.7% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 8.2% | 7.2% | 7.7% | 7.1% | 5.6% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 3.9% | 2.3% | 0.8% |
| Charles Morano | 5.7% | 5.7% | 4.7% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 8.1% | 7.8% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 8.1% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 4.1% | 1.5% |
| Casey Klingler | 6.2% | 5.3% | 8.6% | 7.9% | 6.5% | 8.9% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 4.5% | 3.8% | 0.9% |
| Alison Knoles | 3.6% | 2.9% | 3.8% | 3.0% | 4.8% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 4.6% | 5.9% | 7.6% | 7.7% | 9.4% | 11.7% | 13.5% | 9.2% |
| Silas Barton | 3.3% | 3.0% | 4.7% | 2.7% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 4.1% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 7.9% | 8.4% | 12.3% | 11.7% | 7.1% |
| Charles Bocklet | 2.7% | 3.0% | 2.8% | 2.6% | 3.3% | 4.0% | 3.3% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 9.0% | 8.8% | 12.6% | 13.6% | 11.3% |
| Dreugh Phillips | 5.8% | 6.1% | 4.9% | 4.3% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 7.5% | 7.6% | 9.9% | 7.7% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 4.1% | 2.3% |
| Charles Eaton IV | 6.8% | 5.4% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 8.4% | 5.7% | 4.1% | 1.7% |
| Max Thompson | 3.1% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 2.7% | 3.2% | 4.8% | 4.1% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 7.5% | 9.5% | 9.9% | 15.4% | 12.7% |
| Kristopher Swanson | 5.8% | 7.5% | 7.9% | 7.9% | 8.5% | 6.1% | 8.4% | 6.7% | 8.0% | 7.4% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 3.1% | 0.5% |
| Max Neubelt | 5.6% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 7.8% | 6.3% | 7.4% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 8.2% | 7.4% | 7.6% | 6.3% | 4.0% | 2.0% |
| Ravi Parent | 8.0% | 7.9% | 6.9% | 9.5% | 8.4% | 8.1% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 5.9% | 7.9% | 6.1% | 4.7% | 2.6% | 1.6% | 0.6% |
| Ryan Clulo | 0.8% | 0.9% | 1.4% | 0.5% | 0.9% | 1.3% | 2.4% | 1.8% | 2.5% | 3.1% | 2.6% | 4.8% | 4.2% | 7.7% | 16.0% | 49.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.