← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
18.8%
Within 2 Positions
3.2
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Boston University3.24+5.73vs Predicted
-
2Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.77+3.08vs Predicted
-
3College of Charleston2.90+5.11vs Predicted
-
4Georgetown University3.39+2.55vs Predicted
-
5Yale University3.05+2.60vs Predicted
-
6Harvard University3.60-0.22vs Predicted
-
7Santa Barbara City College2.29+3.42vs Predicted
-
8University of Miami2.08+2.89vs Predicted
-
9University of California at Santa Barbara3.06-1.54vs Predicted
-
10Stanford University3.17-2.79vs Predicted
-
11Old Dominion University2.82-2.61vs Predicted
-
12University of South Florida2.24-1.54vs Predicted
-
13University of Hawaii2.89-4.88vs Predicted
-
14University of Wisconsin2.08-3.16vs Predicted
-
15U. S. Merchant Marine Academy2.82-6.49vs Predicted
-
16Marquette University1.11-2.16vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
6.73Boston University3.240.1%1st Place
-
5.08Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.770.1%1st Place
-
8.11College of Charleston2.900.1%1st Place
-
6.55Georgetown University3.390.1%1st Place
-
7.6Yale University3.050.1%1st Place
-
5.78Harvard University3.600.1%1st Place
-
10.42Santa Barbara City College2.290.0%1st Place
-
10.89University of Miami2.080.0%1st Place
-
7.46University of California at Santa Barbara3.060.1%1st Place
-
7.21Stanford University3.170.1%1st Place
-
8.39Old Dominion University2.820.1%1st Place
-
10.46University of South Florida2.240.0%1st Place
-
8.12University of Hawaii2.890.1%1st Place
-
10.84University of Wisconsin2.080.0%1st Place
-
8.51U. S. Merchant Marine Academy2.820.1%1st Place
-
13.84Marquette University1.110.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ravi Parent | 8.4% | 9.8% | 8.0% | 10.2% | 6.2% | 9.0% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 2.5% | 1.8% | 0.3% |
| Ty Ingram | 14.9% | 14.9% | 10.7% | 10.8% | 9.6% | 8.6% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 4.1% | 2.7% | 2.4% | 1.7% | 0.6% | 0.8% | 0.0% |
| Charles Morano | 6.6% | 4.4% | 7.6% | 5.6% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 5.7% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 8.2% | 8.6% | 7.3% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 4.3% | 1.6% |
| William Logue | 7.8% | 11.0% | 8.5% | 9.1% | 8.2% | 7.8% | 8.8% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 5.0% | 3.9% | 1.9% | 1.6% | 0.4% |
| Casey Klingler | 6.6% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 9.2% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 7.7% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 8.3% | 7.2% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 2.6% | 0.8% |
| Nick Sertl | 10.5% | 10.5% | 13.7% | 8.8% | 9.9% | 8.9% | 7.6% | 6.6% | 4.2% | 5.5% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 2.5% | 1.5% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Silas Barton | 3.7% | 3.4% | 3.8% | 3.5% | 4.1% | 3.6% | 4.2% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 7.6% | 10.2% | 12.5% | 13.1% | 7.6% |
| Max Thompson | 2.2% | 2.8% | 3.7% | 2.8% | 3.8% | 3.3% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 8.4% | 9.2% | 11.0% | 16.1% | 10.3% |
| Kristopher Swanson | 7.3% | 6.6% | 8.0% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 7.6% | 9.5% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 7.9% | 6.8% | 4.0% | 4.1% | 3.1% | 1.6% |
| Jacob Rosenberg | 7.5% | 7.3% | 6.0% | 8.1% | 7.9% | 7.8% | 8.0% | 9.7% | 8.4% | 6.9% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 4.9% | 3.7% | 1.5% | 1.0% |
| Dreugh Phillips | 6.4% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 8.4% | 8.2% | 7.7% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 2.2% |
| Alison Knoles | 3.4% | 3.4% | 2.3% | 2.7% | 4.6% | 5.3% | 4.4% | 6.4% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 7.9% | 9.7% | 9.9% | 12.0% | 10.1% |
| Charles Eaton IV | 5.7% | 5.1% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 7.4% | 6.5% | 8.8% | 7.8% | 7.9% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 4.3% | 1.7% |
| Charles Bocklet | 2.7% | 2.8% | 2.4% | 3.4% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 8.2% | 9.5% | 12.0% | 14.4% | 10.1% |
| Max Neubelt | 5.8% | 4.4% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 7.8% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 7.9% | 8.4% | 6.9% | 7.9% | 7.8% | 4.5% | 2.1% |
| Ryan Clulo | 0.5% | 1.4% | 1.2% | 0.6% | 0.8% | 1.3% | 1.8% | 2.3% | 2.9% | 2.2% | 2.0% | 4.2% | 6.1% | 8.6% | 13.9% | 50.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.