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📊 Prediction Accuracy
31.2%
Within 2 Positions
3.5
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Georgetown University3.39+5.30vs Predicted
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2College of Charleston2.90+6.04vs Predicted
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3Boston University3.24+3.80vs Predicted
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4Harvard University3.60+1.83vs Predicted
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5University of South Florida2.24+5.51vs Predicted
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6Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.77-0.80vs Predicted
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7University of Hawaii2.89+1.27vs Predicted
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8University of Wisconsin2.08+2.90vs Predicted
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9Santa Barbara City College2.29+1.29vs Predicted
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10Yale University3.05-2.32vs Predicted
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11University of California at Santa Barbara3.06-3.46vs Predicted
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12University of Miami2.08-1.03vs Predicted
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13Old Dominion University2.82-4.64vs Predicted
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14Stanford University3.17-6.99vs Predicted
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15U. S. Merchant Marine Academy2.82-6.53vs Predicted
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16Marquette University1.11-2.17vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.3Georgetown University3.390.1%1st Place
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8.04College of Charleston2.900.1%1st Place
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6.8Boston University3.240.1%1st Place
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5.83Harvard University3.600.1%1st Place
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10.51University of South Florida2.240.0%1st Place
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5.2Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.770.1%1st Place
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8.27University of Hawaii2.890.1%1st Place
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10.9University of Wisconsin2.080.0%1st Place
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10.29Santa Barbara City College2.290.0%1st Place
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7.68Yale University3.050.1%1st Place
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7.54University of California at Santa Barbara3.060.1%1st Place
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10.97University of Miami2.080.0%1st Place
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8.36Old Dominion University2.820.1%1st Place
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7.01Stanford University3.170.1%1st Place
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8.47U. S. Merchant Marine Academy2.820.1%1st Place
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13.83Marquette University1.110.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| William Logue | 9.5% | 10.5% | 9.0% | 10.1% | 8.4% | 8.4% | 8.7% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 3.4% | 4.3% | 2.4% | 1.1% | 0.2% |
| Charles Morano | 5.0% | 7.9% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 5.6% | 7.0% | 7.9% | 6.9% | 5.8% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 3.3% | 2.0% |
| Ravi Parent | 9.1% | 6.8% | 9.3% | 8.5% | 7.9% | 8.1% | 7.6% | 8.0% | 7.7% | 7.1% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 3.7% | 2.5% | 1.8% | 0.7% |
| Nick Sertl | 11.1% | 12.1% | 8.9% | 10.4% | 9.3% | 8.5% | 7.7% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 4.3% | 1.9% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 0.2% |
| Alison Knoles | 2.5% | 3.3% | 3.0% | 3.7% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 9.1% | 11.7% | 14.1% | 7.4% |
| Ty Ingram | 12.9% | 13.1% | 13.2% | 9.6% | 11.7% | 8.6% | 7.0% | 5.7% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 3.7% | 1.9% | 2.4% | 1.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Charles Eaton IV | 6.0% | 6.8% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 8.5% | 6.6% | 8.3% | 7.6% | 6.2% | 4.2% | 2.3% |
| Charles Bocklet | 2.7% | 3.0% | 3.4% | 2.8% | 3.3% | 3.7% | 4.3% | 5.6% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 6.3% | 8.1% | 9.5% | 12.1% | 14.6% | 11.1% |
| Silas Barton | 3.2% | 2.7% | 4.7% | 3.3% | 4.3% | 3.8% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 9.7% | 8.9% | 9.6% | 12.4% | 8.1% |
| Casey Klingler | 7.5% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 7.9% | 7.3% | 8.5% | 8.0% | 8.4% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 4.3% | 3.0% | 0.9% |
| Kristopher Swanson | 8.1% | 6.2% | 7.7% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 7.6% | 6.6% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 4.9% | 2.8% | 1.0% |
| Max Thompson | 2.6% | 3.2% | 2.4% | 3.1% | 2.9% | 3.8% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 7.9% | 9.4% | 12.1% | 13.2% | 13.0% |
| Dreugh Phillips | 5.0% | 5.4% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 4.7% | 2.2% |
| Jacob Rosenberg | 8.0% | 6.8% | 8.6% | 8.9% | 7.6% | 8.6% | 7.6% | 7.4% | 7.6% | 7.6% | 4.5% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 2.9% | 2.2% | 0.6% |
| Max Neubelt | 6.2% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 7.4% | 8.9% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 5.0% | 1.4% |
| Ryan Clulo | 0.6% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 1.9% | 2.4% | 2.3% | 4.0% | 3.4% | 5.3% | 7.4% | 16.5% | 48.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.