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📊 Prediction Accuracy
56.2%
Within 2 Positions
2.5
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Harvard University3.60+4.55vs Predicted
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2Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.77+3.10vs Predicted
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3Yale University3.05+4.58vs Predicted
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4Boston University3.24+3.03vs Predicted
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5Georgetown University3.39+1.42vs Predicted
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6Stanford University3.17+1.27vs Predicted
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7Old Dominion University2.82+1.51vs Predicted
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8University of California at Santa Barbara3.06-0.59vs Predicted
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9College of Charleston2.90-0.95vs Predicted
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10Santa Barbara City College2.29+0.40vs Predicted
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11University of Miami2.08-0.08vs Predicted
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12University of South Florida2.24-1.53vs Predicted
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13University of Wisconsin2.08-2.00vs Predicted
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14University of Hawaii2.89-5.99vs Predicted
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15U. S. Merchant Marine Academy2.82-6.51vs Predicted
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16Marquette University1.11-2.19vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.55Harvard University3.600.1%1st Place
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5.1Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.770.2%1st Place
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7.58Yale University3.050.1%1st Place
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7.03Boston University3.240.1%1st Place
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6.42Georgetown University3.390.1%1st Place
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7.27Stanford University3.170.1%1st Place
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8.51Old Dominion University2.820.1%1st Place
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7.41University of California at Santa Barbara3.060.1%1st Place
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8.05College of Charleston2.900.1%1st Place
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10.4Santa Barbara City College2.290.0%1st Place
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10.92University of Miami2.080.0%1st Place
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10.47University of South Florida2.240.0%1st Place
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11.0University of Wisconsin2.080.0%1st Place
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8.01University of Hawaii2.890.1%1st Place
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8.49U. S. Merchant Marine Academy2.820.1%1st Place
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13.81Marquette University1.110.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nick Sertl | 12.6% | 12.0% | 10.3% | 11.2% | 10.4% | 8.4% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 4.7% | 4.2% | 3.3% | 1.7% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 0.1% |
| Ty Ingram | 15.3% | 13.6% | 11.4% | 11.4% | 8.3% | 7.6% | 7.9% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 4.2% | 3.7% | 1.6% | 1.2% | 1.5% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Casey Klingler | 7.1% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 8.9% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 8.4% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 4.4% | 4.0% | 3.1% | 0.7% |
| Ravi Parent | 6.8% | 9.3% | 9.5% | 6.3% | 7.7% | 8.2% | 7.7% | 7.7% | 8.6% | 5.6% | 4.9% | 6.3% | 5.0% | 4.2% | 1.6% | 0.6% |
| William Logue | 9.2% | 9.3% | 8.5% | 9.8% | 8.7% | 8.7% | 9.0% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 4.2% | 1.6% | 0.9% | 0.4% |
| Jacob Rosenberg | 6.6% | 7.2% | 8.0% | 9.3% | 7.1% | 8.4% | 6.8% | 9.1% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 4.9% | 6.0% | 4.5% | 1.8% | 1.4% |
| Dreugh Phillips | 5.6% | 6.7% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 7.8% | 6.5% | 7.7% | 7.5% | 8.4% | 7.2% | 4.9% | 2.5% |
| Kristopher Swanson | 7.2% | 7.8% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 7.5% | 8.0% | 6.4% | 7.5% | 9.4% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 5.0% | 4.3% | 2.2% | 1.1% |
| Charles Morano | 6.1% | 5.5% | 7.7% | 4.5% | 7.6% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 8.9% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 3.6% | 2.6% |
| Silas Barton | 3.3% | 3.0% | 3.7% | 3.6% | 3.5% | 4.1% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 6.1% | 4.9% | 8.1% | 10.5% | 10.0% | 11.7% | 11.4% | 6.9% |
| Max Thompson | 3.0% | 3.0% | 2.9% | 3.4% | 3.7% | 3.6% | 5.1% | 3.4% | 3.2% | 7.5% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 9.6% | 11.1% | 15.6% | 11.9% |
| Alison Knoles | 3.3% | 3.4% | 3.1% | 2.7% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 4.4% | 5.6% | 4.2% | 6.7% | 7.8% | 7.1% | 8.1% | 11.4% | 12.1% | 10.3% |
| Charles Bocklet | 2.0% | 2.2% | 3.0% | 3.6% | 4.2% | 3.1% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 4.4% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 7.9% | 10.9% | 9.7% | 15.3% | 11.5% |
| Charles Eaton IV | 6.1% | 4.6% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 8.2% | 8.2% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 3.5% | 1.4% |
| Max Neubelt | 5.4% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 5.8% | 7.6% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 7.9% | 6.9% | 5.2% | 1.7% |
| Ryan Clulo | 0.4% | 1.3% | 1.2% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 1.5% | 1.7% | 1.9% | 2.4% | 2.8% | 2.7% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 8.6% | 17.4% | 46.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.