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📊 Prediction Accuracy
25.0%
Within 2 Positions
3.5
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Yale University3.05+6.41vs Predicted
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2Georgetown University3.39+4.33vs Predicted
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3Boston University3.24+3.82vs Predicted
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4University of South Florida2.24+6.60vs Predicted
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5University of California at Santa Barbara3.06+2.51vs Predicted
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6College of Charleston2.90+2.16vs Predicted
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7Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.77-1.79vs Predicted
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8University of Hawaii2.89+0.05vs Predicted
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9University of Wisconsin2.08+2.00vs Predicted
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10Stanford University3.17-2.79vs Predicted
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11Harvard University3.60-5.26vs Predicted
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12University of Miami2.08-1.00vs Predicted
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13U. S. Merchant Marine Academy2.82-4.67vs Predicted
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14Old Dominion University2.82-5.69vs Predicted
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15Santa Barbara City College2.29-4.50vs Predicted
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16Marquette University1.11-2.19vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.41Yale University3.050.1%1st Place
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6.33Georgetown University3.390.1%1st Place
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6.82Boston University3.240.1%1st Place
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10.6University of South Florida2.240.0%1st Place
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7.51University of California at Santa Barbara3.060.1%1st Place
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8.16College of Charleston2.900.0%1st Place
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5.21Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.770.1%1st Place
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8.05University of Hawaii2.890.1%1st Place
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11.0University of Wisconsin2.080.0%1st Place
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7.21Stanford University3.170.1%1st Place
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5.74Harvard University3.600.1%1st Place
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11.0University of Miami2.080.0%1st Place
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8.33U. S. Merchant Marine Academy2.820.0%1st Place
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8.31Old Dominion University2.820.1%1st Place
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10.5Santa Barbara City College2.290.0%1st Place
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13.81Marquette University1.110.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Casey Klingler | 6.3% | 7.9% | 8.1% | 7.8% | 8.4% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 7.6% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 5.3% | 4.1% | 2.7% | 1.3% |
| William Logue | 10.0% | 9.4% | 10.0% | 9.9% | 8.2% | 8.6% | 7.4% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 3.0% | 2.1% | 1.4% | 0.6% |
| Ravi Parent | 9.1% | 8.0% | 7.3% | 8.9% | 7.0% | 9.0% | 8.1% | 8.1% | 7.4% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 3.6% | 2.3% | 2.0% | 0.6% |
| Alison Knoles | 1.9% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 2.9% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 6.1% | 5.1% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 11.7% | 10.9% | 13.2% | 8.7% |
| Kristopher Swanson | 6.4% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 8.2% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 8.2% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 7.9% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 4.5% | 2.5% | 0.7% |
| Charles Morano | 4.9% | 5.7% | 7.6% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 8.2% | 6.1% | 7.7% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 4.3% | 2.2% |
| Ty Ingram | 14.9% | 12.0% | 12.8% | 9.6% | 8.4% | 9.0% | 7.8% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 2.8% | 2.0% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Charles Eaton IV | 6.5% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 5.3% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 7.2% | 8.1% | 8.7% | 7.1% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 4.3% | 1.8% |
| Charles Bocklet | 2.8% | 2.8% | 2.6% | 4.0% | 3.0% | 2.5% | 3.7% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 9.0% | 10.2% | 11.8% | 14.4% | 11.0% |
| Jacob Rosenberg | 8.3% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 7.9% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 8.0% | 7.7% | 10.4% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 5.2% | 4.2% | 3.4% | 1.8% | 1.0% |
| Nick Sertl | 12.3% | 11.3% | 10.3% | 9.7% | 8.6% | 8.9% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 4.1% | 3.5% | 2.3% | 1.9% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Max Thompson | 2.9% | 3.3% | 2.2% | 2.0% | 4.0% | 4.1% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 9.4% | 12.8% | 13.1% | 13.2% |
| Max Neubelt | 4.3% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 8.1% | 7.3% | 8.0% | 6.9% | 7.6% | 7.1% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 1.5% |
| Dreugh Phillips | 5.1% | 6.4% | 5.4% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 5.5% | 8.1% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 7.9% | 7.7% | 7.8% | 6.7% | 4.2% | 2.1% |
| Silas Barton | 3.3% | 2.8% | 2.5% | 3.9% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 6.1% | 4.3% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 5.6% | 7.4% | 10.0% | 13.0% | 13.8% | 6.6% |
| Ryan Clulo | 1.0% | 1.0% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.7% | 1.4% | 2.3% | 1.9% | 3.2% | 2.8% | 3.9% | 4.9% | 8.4% | 16.1% | 48.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.