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📊 Prediction Accuracy
36.8%
Within 2 Positions
3.3
Avg Position Diff
19
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of South Florida4.17+5.47vs Predicted
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2Tufts University3.37+7.63vs Predicted
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3U. S. Naval Academy3.33+6.89vs Predicted
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4Georgetown University4.74+0.60vs Predicted
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5Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.42+4.70vs Predicted
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6College of Charleston3.78+1.97vs Predicted
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7University of Miami3.69+1.39vs Predicted
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8Brown University3.98-0.59vs Predicted
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9Roger Williams University3.61-0.46vs Predicted
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10University of Pennsylvania2.68+2.24vs Predicted
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11Old Dominion University3.67-2.58vs Predicted
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12Boston College4.43-6.23vs Predicted
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13U. S. Merchant Marine Academy3.02-2.14vs Predicted
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14Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.22-3.58vs Predicted
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15SUNY Maritime College3.28-5.09vs Predicted
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16University of Vermont2.55-3.24vs Predicted
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17Texas A&M University at Galveston2.83-5.26vs Predicted
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18Queen's University0.43-0.14vs Predicted
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19Washington College0.57-1.60vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.47University of South Florida4.170.1%1st Place
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9.63Tufts University3.370.0%1st Place
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9.89U. S. Naval Academy3.330.0%1st Place
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4.6Georgetown University4.740.2%1st Place
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9.7Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.420.0%1st Place
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7.97College of Charleston3.780.1%1st Place
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8.39University of Miami3.690.1%1st Place
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7.41Brown University3.980.1%1st Place
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8.54Roger Williams University3.610.1%1st Place
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12.24University of Pennsylvania2.680.0%1st Place
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8.42Old Dominion University3.670.1%1st Place
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5.77Boston College4.430.1%1st Place
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10.86U. S. Merchant Marine Academy3.020.0%1st Place
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10.42Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.220.0%1st Place
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9.91SUNY Maritime College3.280.0%1st Place
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12.76University of Vermont2.550.0%1st Place
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11.74Texas A&M University at Galveston2.830.0%1st Place
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17.86Queen's University0.430.0%1st Place
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17.4Washington College0.570.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Zachary Marks | 8.4% | 9.2% | 11.8% | 8.4% | 8.6% | 9.3% | 7.8% | 7.4% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 4.2% | 3.9% | 3.0% | 3.1% | 1.6% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| William Hutchings | 4.3% | 4.4% | 5.3% | 4.1% | 7.3% | 4.9% | 4.4% | 6.7% | 4.9% | 6.1% | 7.1% | 8.2% | 6.0% | 7.5% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 4.9% | 1.3% | 0.1% |
| Alejandro Ravelo | 4.1% | 6.2% | 3.6% | 4.1% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 5.0% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 7.6% | 6.7% | 4.9% | 2.0% | 0.2% |
| Chris Barnard | 15.8% | 13.9% | 15.1% | 11.9% | 10.5% | 7.7% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 4.7% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 0.8% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| David Alfonso | 3.7% | 3.4% | 4.9% | 6.2% | 4.2% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 7.2% | 8.5% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 4.1% | 0.9% | 0.4% |
| Erik Bowers | 7.7% | 6.9% | 5.3% | 7.5% | 7.6% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 7.5% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 7.3% | 3.7% | 3.8% | 2.2% | 2.8% | 0.2% | 0.2% |
| David Hernandez | 6.2% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 7.3% | 4.9% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 8.6% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 4.0% | 4.1% | 1.7% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Colin Smith | 8.4% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 8.2% | 6.1% | 7.5% | 7.9% | 7.7% | 7.2% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 4.2% | 3.8% | 3.1% | 1.8% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Cameron Pimentel | 5.7% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 7.3% | 8.2% | 5.0% | 7.5% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 7.1% | 4.6% | 3.7% | 2.0% | 0.9% | 0.0% |
| Michael Russom | 2.0% | 2.7% | 2.1% | 2.7% | 3.5% | 2.4% | 4.0% | 3.4% | 3.7% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 4.8% | 6.7% | 7.7% | 11.2% | 11.0% | 13.8% | 5.7% | 1.5% |
| Gavin Rudolph | 5.4% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 7.5% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 4.2% | 3.6% | 1.9% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Anne Haeger | 11.7% | 10.8% | 10.2% | 9.2% | 9.6% | 9.2% | 8.6% | 7.7% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 2.9% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Evan Siepert | 3.5% | 4.0% | 3.7% | 3.0% | 4.1% | 4.7% | 3.9% | 4.6% | 4.3% | 5.3% | 6.7% | 7.5% | 8.2% | 6.9% | 8.7% | 8.8% | 8.9% | 3.0% | 0.2% |
| Timothy Zacher | 4.2% | 3.5% | 2.8% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 3.6% | 5.7% | 4.7% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 7.7% | 7.1% | 8.5% | 7.6% | 6.6% | 2.2% | 0.1% |
| Randall Hartranft | 4.5% | 4.4% | 4.1% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 7.8% | 5.0% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 5.8% | 2.5% | 0.3% |
| Steven Pelissier | 1.7% | 1.8% | 2.7% | 2.2% | 2.6% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 3.6% | 4.3% | 3.3% | 4.2% | 5.2% | 7.0% | 7.9% | 9.4% | 12.4% | 15.3% | 9.4% | 1.3% |
| Jonathan Atwood | 2.3% | 2.2% | 3.8% | 2.8% | 3.6% | 3.9% | 4.4% | 3.9% | 4.9% | 4.1% | 6.2% | 4.2% | 7.3% | 7.7% | 9.2% | 11.2% | 12.0% | 5.9% | 0.4% |
| Joshua Brown | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.8% | 1.5% | 1.1% | 2.5% | 2.4% | 6.1% | 29.7% | 53.0% |
| Karl Kurland | 0.2% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 1.0% | 1.4% | 1.0% | 2.4% | 1.9% | 3.1% | 7.6% | 35.1% | 42.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.