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📊 Prediction Accuracy
43.8%
Within 2 Positions
2.8
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Boston University2.97+5.59vs Predicted
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2College of Charleston3.43+3.24vs Predicted
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3Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.37+2.43vs Predicted
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4Yale University3.33+1.70vs Predicted
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5Georgetown University3.15+1.19vs Predicted
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6University of Hawaii2.14+3.60vs Predicted
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7Stanford University2.90+0.05vs Predicted
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8U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.55+3.22vs Predicted
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9Harvard University3.20-3.02vs Predicted
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10University of California at Santa Barbara2.23-0.71vs Predicted
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11University of Miami1.82-0.50vs Predicted
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12Marquette University0.84+1.15vs Predicted
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13University of South Florida2.73-5.49vs Predicted
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14Old Dominion University2.50-5.80vs Predicted
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15Santa Barbara City College-0.33+0.05vs Predicted
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16University of Wisconsin2.24-6.70vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.59Boston University2.970.1%1st Place
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5.24College of Charleston3.430.1%1st Place
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5.43Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.370.1%1st Place
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5.7Yale University3.330.1%1st Place
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6.19Georgetown University3.150.1%1st Place
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9.6University of Hawaii2.140.0%1st Place
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7.05Stanford University2.900.1%1st Place
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11.22U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.550.0%1st Place
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5.98Harvard University3.200.1%1st Place
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9.29University of California at Santa Barbara2.230.0%1st Place
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10.5University of Miami1.820.0%1st Place
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13.15Marquette University0.840.0%1st Place
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7.51University of South Florida2.730.1%1st Place
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8.2Old Dominion University2.500.1%1st Place
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15.05Santa Barbara City College-0.330.0%1st Place
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9.3University of Wisconsin2.240.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Robby Gearon | 7.9% | 9.7% | 8.1% | 8.4% | 9.2% | 8.1% | 7.6% | 8.0% | 8.8% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 2.2% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Gerald Williams | 14.0% | 12.0% | 11.5% | 11.0% | 9.0% | 9.2% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 4.6% | 3.4% | 2.7% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Trevor Long | 13.1% | 9.9% | 11.3% | 10.6% | 9.8% | 9.0% | 8.6% | 9.1% | 6.3% | 3.4% | 3.6% | 2.6% | 1.6% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Louisa Nordstrom | 10.3% | 11.8% | 10.6% | 8.8% | 10.7% | 9.4% | 8.5% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 4.0% | 2.6% | 2.2% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Jack Marshall | 9.4% | 9.6% | 9.9% | 9.9% | 7.7% | 8.5% | 8.2% | 8.8% | 5.8% | 7.9% | 5.4% | 4.4% | 3.3% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Michael Pacholski | 2.8% | 2.3% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 5.2% | 6.4% | 7.7% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 8.3% | 7.5% | 8.6% | 11.9% | 11.4% | 6.8% | 1.4% |
| Julia Lambert | 7.8% | 8.5% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 8.5% | 6.8% | 8.9% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 8.6% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 4.5% | 2.9% | 0.9% | 0.1% |
| Cooper Siepert | 1.9% | 2.3% | 2.4% | 3.1% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 2.7% | 4.0% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 8.8% | 12.4% | 18.2% | 14.8% | 5.6% |
| Nicholas Karnovsky | 10.4% | 10.3% | 9.8% | 9.9% | 8.7% | 8.2% | 9.4% | 8.1% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 2.5% | 2.8% | 2.0% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Keenan Chung | 4.4% | 4.6% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 7.9% | 10.0% | 9.6% | 11.4% | 11.9% | 7.4% | 5.0% | 0.9% |
| Kyle Magno | 3.0% | 2.5% | 3.1% | 3.4% | 3.7% | 4.8% | 3.6% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 6.0% | 8.9% | 9.5% | 12.2% | 16.4% | 11.2% | 2.6% |
| Mason Chrabaszcz | 0.7% | 0.7% | 1.2% | 1.3% | 1.5% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 1.8% | 2.4% | 2.1% | 5.2% | 7.3% | 7.6% | 12.4% | 32.7% | 19.1% |
| Sarah Streater | 5.2% | 6.3% | 8.0% | 7.6% | 6.7% | 7.9% | 6.5% | 9.0% | 8.7% | 7.8% | 8.4% | 7.5% | 4.9% | 4.3% | 1.2% | 0.0% |
| Alec Chicoine | 5.7% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 7.5% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 7.9% | 7.4% | 8.7% | 9.2% | 9.3% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 2.1% | 0.5% |
| Kate Madigan | 0.1% | 1.0% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.9% | 1.3% | 1.5% | 2.1% | 4.3% | 16.9% | 68.9% |
| Charlie Kutschenreuter | 3.3% | 4.0% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 9.4% | 7.2% | 9.3% | 9.8% | 10.6% | 9.0% | 6.0% | 0.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.