← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
18.8%
Within 2 Positions
3.7
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1University of South Florida2.73+6.37vs Predicted
-
2Harvard University3.20+3.95vs Predicted
-
3Georgetown University3.15+3.13vs Predicted
-
4Old Dominion University2.50+4.49vs Predicted
-
5College of Charleston3.43+0.34vs Predicted
-
6University of California at Santa Barbara2.23+3.28vs Predicted
-
7Santa Barbara City College-0.33+8.01vs Predicted
-
8Yale University3.33-2.53vs Predicted
-
9Boston University2.97-2.31vs Predicted
-
10Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.37-4.50vs Predicted
-
11University of Hawaii2.14-1.52vs Predicted
-
12University of Miami1.82-1.50vs Predicted
-
13Stanford University2.90-6.05vs Predicted
-
14U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.55-2.79vs Predicted
-
15University of Wisconsin2.24-5.65vs Predicted
-
16Marquette University0.84-2.73vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
7.37University of South Florida2.730.1%1st Place
-
5.95Harvard University3.200.1%1st Place
-
6.13Georgetown University3.150.1%1st Place
-
8.49Old Dominion University2.500.0%1st Place
-
5.34College of Charleston3.430.1%1st Place
-
9.28University of California at Santa Barbara2.230.0%1st Place
-
15.01Santa Barbara City College-0.330.0%1st Place
-
5.47Yale University3.330.1%1st Place
-
6.69Boston University2.970.1%1st Place
-
5.5Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.370.1%1st Place
-
9.48University of Hawaii2.140.0%1st Place
-
10.5University of Miami1.820.0%1st Place
-
6.95Stanford University2.900.1%1st Place
-
11.21U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.550.0%1st Place
-
9.35University of Wisconsin2.240.0%1st Place
-
13.27Marquette University0.840.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sarah Streater | 5.1% | 7.9% | 8.7% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 7.9% | 7.0% | 8.5% | 8.3% | 7.7% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 3.5% | 1.1% | 0.1% |
| Nicholas Karnovsky | 11.1% | 10.5% | 10.2% | 10.0% | 8.0% | 7.9% | 7.3% | 8.4% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 3.3% | 2.4% | 1.3% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Jack Marshall | 10.8% | 9.6% | 7.8% | 8.7% | 9.7% | 8.9% | 8.3% | 9.2% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 3.0% | 2.3% | 1.7% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Alec Chicoine | 4.4% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 4.7% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 9.2% | 7.5% | 9.7% | 8.4% | 7.6% | 3.1% | 0.4% |
| Gerald Williams | 11.4% | 12.1% | 12.4% | 11.6% | 8.8% | 8.7% | 8.0% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 4.8% | 3.6% | 2.2% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Keenan Chung | 3.9% | 2.5% | 4.1% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 7.5% | 5.9% | 8.5% | 7.8% | 9.2% | 10.9% | 8.6% | 7.0% | 1.0% |
| Kate Madigan | 0.1% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 1.4% | 1.3% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 2.9% | 5.1% | 11.0% | 71.7% |
| Louisa Nordstrom | 12.6% | 11.1% | 10.7% | 10.9% | 10.0% | 8.6% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 5.3% | 3.6% | 3.0% | 2.0% | 0.7% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Robby Gearon | 7.9% | 9.3% | 7.5% | 8.9% | 9.0% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 7.4% | 7.9% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 5.2% | 2.9% | 2.2% | 1.4% | 0.0% |
| Trevor Long | 11.7% | 10.1% | 11.3% | 9.8% | 10.5% | 11.4% | 8.0% | 7.7% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 3.9% | 2.5% | 1.3% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Michael Pacholski | 4.4% | 3.6% | 4.2% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 3.4% | 4.5% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 9.9% | 11.0% | 11.5% | 10.9% | 6.0% | 1.3% |
| Kyle Magno | 3.2% | 2.0% | 2.8% | 3.1% | 3.2% | 3.4% | 6.3% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 9.3% | 11.9% | 14.2% | 11.5% | 3.5% |
| Julia Lambert | 6.6% | 8.9% | 7.6% | 7.1% | 8.0% | 8.2% | 8.5% | 8.4% | 8.5% | 8.3% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 4.4% | 2.3% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Cooper Siepert | 2.1% | 1.8% | 2.6% | 2.3% | 2.9% | 3.9% | 2.6% | 4.4% | 4.9% | 6.1% | 7.4% | 10.1% | 11.1% | 16.2% | 17.3% | 4.3% |
| Charlie Kutschenreuter | 4.0% | 4.0% | 2.6% | 3.2% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 7.5% | 8.5% | 12.4% | 10.9% | 9.3% | 5.3% | 0.8% |
| Mason Chrabaszcz | 0.7% | 1.0% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 1.3% | 1.0% | 1.8% | 2.2% | 3.2% | 2.0% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 9.5% | 15.1% | 34.3% | 16.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.