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📊 Prediction Accuracy
37.5%
Within 2 Positions
2.8
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Yale University3.33+4.46vs Predicted
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2University of South Florida2.73+5.46vs Predicted
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3Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.37+2.41vs Predicted
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4Georgetown University3.15+2.24vs Predicted
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5College of Charleston3.43+0.25vs Predicted
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6Harvard University3.20+0.09vs Predicted
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7Stanford University2.90+0.03vs Predicted
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8Santa Barbara City College-0.33+6.96vs Predicted
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9Boston University2.97-2.33vs Predicted
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10University of Miami1.82+0.64vs Predicted
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11University of California at Santa Barbara2.23-1.82vs Predicted
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12Old Dominion University2.50-3.68vs Predicted
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13University of Hawaii2.14-3.51vs Predicted
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14U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.55-2.74vs Predicted
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15Marquette University0.84-1.73vs Predicted
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16University of Wisconsin2.24-6.72vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.46Yale University3.330.1%1st Place
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7.46University of South Florida2.730.1%1st Place
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5.41Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.370.1%1st Place
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6.24Georgetown University3.150.1%1st Place
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5.25College of Charleston3.430.1%1st Place
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6.09Harvard University3.200.1%1st Place
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7.03Stanford University2.900.1%1st Place
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14.96Santa Barbara City College-0.330.0%1st Place
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6.67Boston University2.970.1%1st Place
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10.64University of Miami1.820.0%1st Place
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9.18University of California at Santa Barbara2.230.0%1st Place
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8.32Old Dominion University2.500.1%1st Place
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9.49University of Hawaii2.140.0%1st Place
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11.26U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.550.0%1st Place
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13.27Marquette University0.840.0%1st Place
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9.28University of Wisconsin2.240.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Louisa Nordstrom | 11.9% | 11.0% | 11.7% | 11.2% | 8.5% | 9.5% | 9.0% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 3.5% | 2.0% | 1.6% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Sarah Streater | 5.6% | 8.2% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 7.7% | 7.3% | 7.7% | 7.7% | 8.3% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 4.0% | 1.5% | 0.4% |
| Trevor Long | 13.1% | 11.1% | 9.4% | 9.9% | 11.2% | 9.3% | 9.7% | 8.4% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 3.2% | 2.5% | 1.9% | 0.8% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jack Marshall | 8.5% | 9.5% | 10.2% | 9.6% | 8.6% | 8.4% | 8.6% | 9.3% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 4.6% | 5.9% | 3.2% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.2% |
| Gerald Williams | 13.2% | 11.8% | 11.6% | 10.6% | 10.3% | 8.8% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 3.2% | 2.0% | 1.3% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Nicholas Karnovsky | 9.0% | 9.8% | 10.3% | 10.1% | 8.7% | 8.8% | 9.2% | 8.5% | 6.1% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 4.8% | 2.6% | 1.5% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Julia Lambert | 8.3% | 7.8% | 6.1% | 8.1% | 7.7% | 8.8% | 7.7% | 6.7% | 7.7% | 8.7% | 8.2% | 6.6% | 3.9% | 2.7% | 0.8% | 0.2% |
| Kate Madigan | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 0.8% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 3.3% | 6.0% | 14.2% | 67.4% |
| Robby Gearon | 8.0% | 8.8% | 8.7% | 7.4% | 9.1% | 8.7% | 7.2% | 9.0% | 7.2% | 8.5% | 5.8% | 4.3% | 3.5% | 2.3% | 1.4% | 0.1% |
| Kyle Magno | 2.9% | 3.0% | 3.5% | 2.5% | 2.3% | 2.9% | 4.8% | 3.5% | 5.5% | 7.1% | 9.0% | 9.9% | 13.9% | 15.9% | 10.7% | 2.6% |
| Keenan Chung | 4.2% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 4.2% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 7.3% | 7.7% | 9.7% | 10.4% | 11.0% | 8.9% | 5.0% | 1.2% |
| Alec Chicoine | 5.2% | 5.4% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 8.1% | 7.7% | 8.8% | 8.6% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 3.1% | 0.5% |
| Michael Pacholski | 2.9% | 2.7% | 4.4% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 7.7% | 9.3% | 8.1% | 10.1% | 10.3% | 10.8% | 6.0% | 1.2% |
| Cooper Siepert | 2.4% | 1.3% | 2.4% | 2.3% | 2.7% | 2.5% | 3.7% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 9.3% | 12.4% | 15.1% | 16.4% | 5.8% |
| Mason Chrabaszcz | 1.3% | 1.3% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 1.6% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 4.4% | 4.9% | 8.3% | 13.5% | 33.7% | 20.0% |
| Charlie Kutschenreuter | 3.3% | 3.5% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 6.1% | 5.2% | 6.4% | 9.3% | 6.7% | 10.3% | 10.0% | 9.6% | 9.4% | 6.1% | 0.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.