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📊 Prediction Accuracy
29.4%
Within 2 Positions
3.7
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Yale University3.33+4.70vs Predicted
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2Harvard University3.20+4.22vs Predicted
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3College of Charleston3.43+2.54vs Predicted
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4University of South Florida2.73+4.03vs Predicted
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5Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.37+0.58vs Predicted
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6University of Miami1.82+5.40vs Predicted
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7U. S. Naval Academy2.50+1.80vs Predicted
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8Santa Barbara City College-0.33+7.83vs Predicted
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9Georgetown University3.15-2.43vs Predicted
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10University of California at Santa Barbara2.23-0.29vs Predicted
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11Old Dominion University2.50-2.07vs Predicted
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12University of Hawaii2.14-1.87vs Predicted
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13Boston University2.97-5.85vs Predicted
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14Stanford University2.90-6.51vs Predicted
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15Marquette University0.84-1.06vs Predicted
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16University of Wisconsin2.24-6.17vs Predicted
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17U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.55-4.86vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.7Yale University3.330.1%1st Place
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6.22Harvard University3.200.1%1st Place
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5.54College of Charleston3.430.1%1st Place
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8.03University of South Florida2.730.1%1st Place
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5.58Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.370.1%1st Place
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11.4University of Miami1.820.0%1st Place
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8.8U. S. Naval Academy2.500.1%1st Place
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15.83Santa Barbara City College-0.330.0%1st Place
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6.57Georgetown University3.150.1%1st Place
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9.71University of California at Santa Barbara2.230.0%1st Place
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8.93Old Dominion University2.500.0%1st Place
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10.13University of Hawaii2.140.0%1st Place
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7.15Boston University2.970.1%1st Place
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7.49Stanford University2.900.1%1st Place
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13.94Marquette University0.840.0%1st Place
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9.83University of Wisconsin2.240.0%1st Place
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12.14U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.550.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Louisa Nordstrom | 12.1% | 10.8% | 12.1% | 7.3% | 9.5% | 9.4% | 7.0% | 8.5% | 6.8% | 5.0% | 4.6% | 3.0% | 2.7% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Nicholas Karnovsky | 10.0% | 10.1% | 9.1% | 9.3% | 8.2% | 8.6% | 8.5% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 6.3% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 3.9% | 1.4% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Gerald Williams | 11.6% | 12.1% | 11.7% | 11.2% | 9.5% | 7.9% | 7.5% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 4.6% | 3.0% | 1.7% | 1.3% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Sarah Streater | 6.5% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 6.0% | 7.8% | 8.8% | 8.2% | 7.6% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 3.7% | 1.4% | 0.4% |
| Trevor Long | 12.9% | 11.5% | 11.2% | 10.9% | 9.0% | 8.5% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 5.4% | 4.2% | 3.6% | 3.4% | 2.4% | 1.4% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Kyle Magno | 2.6% | 1.3% | 2.2% | 4.2% | 2.6% | 2.7% | 3.9% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 8.7% | 10.3% | 10.9% | 14.9% | 12.1% | 2.9% |
| Nicholas Gartner | 5.3% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 3.6% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 8.4% | 7.4% | 6.2% | 9.2% | 7.6% | 8.2% | 8.1% | 5.5% | 2.1% | 0.0% |
| Kate Madigan | 0.3% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 1.0% | 1.3% | 2.1% | 3.7% | 5.7% | 13.6% | 67.1% |
| Jack Marshall | 7.6% | 9.3% | 8.7% | 9.7% | 8.5% | 9.6% | 8.9% | 7.4% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 5.4% | 3.8% | 2.3% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Keenan Chung | 3.2% | 3.6% | 4.7% | 3.5% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 8.4% | 8.2% | 7.3% | 8.1% | 8.5% | 9.3% | 8.2% | 5.1% | 1.0% |
| Alec Chicoine | 4.6% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 4.5% | 7.4% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 8.0% | 7.0% | 8.6% | 9.1% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 3.1% | 0.5% |
| Michael Pacholski | 3.4% | 2.1% | 3.8% | 6.4% | 4.9% | 3.6% | 5.3% | 4.5% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 8.5% | 7.1% | 9.5% | 11.8% | 9.5% | 6.1% | 1.8% |
| Robby Gearon | 8.1% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 8.7% | 8.1% | 8.7% | 7.2% | 10.1% | 6.7% | 7.6% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 4.1% | 4.4% | 2.3% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Julia Lambert | 6.5% | 8.8% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 8.6% | 7.2% | 7.6% | 6.1% | 7.6% | 8.0% | 7.7% | 6.3% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 1.8% | 0.9% | 0.0% |
| Mason Chrabaszcz | 0.8% | 1.5% | 1.0% | 0.7% | 1.0% | 1.9% | 2.2% | 1.9% | 1.7% | 2.6% | 2.5% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 7.5% | 11.9% | 32.8% | 18.9% |
| Charlie Kutschenreuter | 3.3% | 2.9% | 4.1% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 6.7% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 7.4% | 7.7% | 8.2% | 9.4% | 9.2% | 8.5% | 8.7% | 4.5% | 1.3% |
| Cooper Siepert | 1.2% | 2.2% | 2.2% | 2.1% | 2.8% | 2.4% | 3.3% | 3.5% | 4.4% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 7.8% | 11.2% | 17.8% | 16.7% | 5.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.