← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
0.9
Avg Position Diff
4
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1University of Southern California0.90+0.70vs Predicted
-
2Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.26+1.04vs Predicted
-
3University of California at Berkeley0.74-0.99vs Predicted
-
4Arizona State University-0.39-0.75vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
1.7University of Southern California0.9049.1%1st Place
-
3.04Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.2610.0%1st Place
-
2.01University of California at Berkeley0.7432.8%1st Place
-
3.25Arizona State University-0.398.2%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 |
---|---|---|---|---|
Morgana Manti | 49.1% | 35.0% | 12.8% | 3.1% |
Florence Duff | 10.0% | 14.8% | 36.4% | 38.9% |
Katherine Olsen | 32.8% | 38.8% | 22.8% | 5.7% |
Sadie Hoberman | 8.2% | 11.4% | 28.1% | 52.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.