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📊 Prediction Accuracy
36.8%
Within 2 Positions
3.9
Avg Position Diff
19
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of South Florida4.17+5.52vs Predicted
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2Roger Williams University3.61+6.75vs Predicted
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3St. Mary's College of Maryland3.05+8.00vs Predicted
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4College of Charleston3.78+4.00vs Predicted
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5Tufts University3.37+4.91vs Predicted
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6Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.42+3.39vs Predicted
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7University of Miami3.69+1.44vs Predicted
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8Georgetown University4.74-3.14vs Predicted
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9Brown University3.98-1.90vs Predicted
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10U. S. Naval Academy3.33-0.25vs Predicted
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11University of Pennsylvania2.68+1.43vs Predicted
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12Texas A&M University at Galveston2.83+0.11vs Predicted
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13Old Dominion University3.67-4.72vs Predicted
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14Boston College4.43-8.35vs Predicted
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15Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.22-4.87vs Predicted
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16Queen's University0.43+1.75vs Predicted
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17University of Vermont2.55-4.24vs Predicted
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18Washington College0.57-0.39vs Predicted
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19SUNY Maritime College3.28-9.41vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.52University of South Florida4.170.1%1st Place
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8.75Roger Williams University3.610.1%1st Place
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11.0St. Mary's College of Maryland3.050.0%1st Place
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8.0College of Charleston3.780.1%1st Place
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9.91Tufts University3.370.0%1st Place
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9.39Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.420.1%1st Place
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8.44University of Miami3.690.1%1st Place
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4.86Georgetown University4.740.2%1st Place
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7.1Brown University3.980.1%1st Place
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9.75U. S. Naval Academy3.330.0%1st Place
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12.43University of Pennsylvania2.680.0%1st Place
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12.11Texas A&M University at Galveston2.830.0%1st Place
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8.28Old Dominion University3.670.1%1st Place
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5.65Boston College4.430.1%1st Place
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10.13Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.220.0%1st Place
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17.75Queen's University0.430.0%1st Place
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12.76University of Vermont2.550.0%1st Place
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17.61Washington College0.570.0%1st Place
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9.59SUNY Maritime College3.280.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Zachary Marks | 9.2% | 9.7% | 8.0% | 9.7% | 10.5% | 7.9% | 7.7% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 3.9% | 4.1% | 3.6% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 1.6% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Cameron Pimentel | 5.4% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 5.4% | 6.6% | 5.4% | 7.1% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 7.3% | 8.2% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 2.9% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| John Wallace | 3.0% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 2.8% | 3.0% | 3.7% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 6.5% | 8.0% | 9.0% | 8.4% | 10.3% | 8.9% | 3.0% | 0.3% |
| Erik Bowers | 6.9% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 5.5% | 6.9% | 7.6% | 7.6% | 6.9% | 8.3% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 3.4% | 2.5% | 1.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| William Hutchings | 3.1% | 3.7% | 4.3% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 7.2% | 5.1% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 8.6% | 7.4% | 7.6% | 6.2% | 4.5% | 1.0% | 0.3% |
| David Alfonso | 5.1% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 4.5% | 5.9% | 4.8% | 7.1% | 6.0% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 7.8% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 4.9% | 1.3% | 0.2% |
| David Hernandez | 5.9% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 4.8% | 7.0% | 8.5% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 4.8% | 3.5% | 1.7% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Chris Barnard | 16.0% | 13.6% | 13.8% | 11.5% | 8.9% | 7.8% | 6.9% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 3.5% | 3.3% | 1.7% | 1.0% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Colin Smith | 8.6% | 9.4% | 6.6% | 9.0% | 7.4% | 7.5% | 8.1% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 4.7% | 4.6% | 2.8% | 2.8% | 1.7% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Alejandro Ravelo | 4.1% | 4.1% | 5.0% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 7.0% | 4.7% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 5.3% | 4.4% | 2.1% | 0.0% |
| Michael Russom | 1.8% | 1.9% | 2.5% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 3.7% | 2.7% | 3.8% | 5.6% | 4.1% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 7.9% | 10.9% | 11.7% | 13.7% | 6.0% | 2.0% |
| Jonathan Atwood | 2.3% | 2.1% | 3.0% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 3.3% | 3.4% | 4.2% | 3.4% | 4.5% | 6.1% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 8.2% | 10.4% | 12.4% | 10.9% | 6.2% | 0.7% |
| Gavin Rudolph | 5.6% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 7.6% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 5.6% | 4.8% | 3.8% | 3.1% | 2.0% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Anne Haeger | 11.3% | 11.6% | 10.4% | 11.9% | 9.2% | 9.5% | 7.3% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 3.9% | 2.5% | 2.3% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Timothy Zacher | 4.9% | 3.3% | 4.4% | 4.3% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 7.7% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 8.3% | 1.5% | 0.5% |
| Joshua Brown | 0.2% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 1.2% | 0.7% | 1.0% | 1.9% | 2.0% | 2.8% | 6.0% | 29.4% | 52.1% |
| Steven Pelissier | 1.6% | 1.7% | 2.1% | 2.6% | 2.8% | 3.2% | 4.3% | 3.2% | 3.4% | 3.8% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 6.6% | 9.0% | 11.3% | 18.6% | 8.5% | 1.6% |
| Karl Kurland | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.4% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.7% | 1.1% | 1.3% | 2.1% | 2.4% | 3.4% | 6.4% | 37.6% | 42.0% |
| Randall Hartranft | 4.9% | 4.4% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 5.4% | 6.5% | 4.7% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 3.8% | 1.5% | 0.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.