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📊 Prediction Accuracy
47.4%
Within 2 Positions
4.4
Avg Position Diff
19
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Virginia1.31+14.11vs Predicted
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2Georgetown University2.76+7.33vs Predicted
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3Cornell University2.11+9.19vs Predicted
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4Fordham University2.61+5.94vs Predicted
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5University of Rhode Island3.84+0.23vs Predicted
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6U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.45+0.39vs Predicted
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7U. S. Naval Academy2.33+4.23vs Predicted
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8Brown University3.18-0.29vs Predicted
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9Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.63+0.63vs Predicted
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10George Washington University2.58-0.02vs Predicted
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11Roger Williams University2.36+0.02vs Predicted
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12St. Mary's College of Maryland2.49-1.19vs Predicted
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13Old Dominion University2.14-1.20vs Predicted
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14Connecticut College2.47-3.27vs Predicted
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15College of Charleston3.37-8.29vs Predicted
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16Eckerd College1.50-1.54vs Predicted
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17University of Vermont2.58-6.94vs Predicted
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18Yale University2.67-8.47vs Predicted
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19Stanford University2.92-10.85vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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15.11University of Virginia1.310.0%1st Place
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9.33Georgetown University2.760.1%1st Place
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12.19Cornell University2.110.0%1st Place
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9.94Fordham University2.610.0%1st Place
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5.23University of Rhode Island3.840.1%1st Place
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6.39U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.450.1%1st Place
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11.23U. S. Naval Academy2.330.0%1st Place
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7.71Brown University3.180.1%1st Place
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9.63Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.630.0%1st Place
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9.98George Washington University2.580.0%1st Place
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11.02Roger Williams University2.360.0%1st Place
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10.81St. Mary's College of Maryland2.490.0%1st Place
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11.8Old Dominion University2.140.0%1st Place
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10.73Connecticut College2.470.0%1st Place
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6.71College of Charleston3.370.1%1st Place
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14.46Eckerd College1.500.0%1st Place
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10.06University of Vermont2.580.0%1st Place
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9.53Yale University2.670.0%1st Place
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8.15Stanford University2.920.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Julia Gowell | 1.5% | 0.9% | 1.5% | 1.3% | 1.1% | 1.6% | 1.6% | 2.3% | 2.5% | 3.6% | 3.2% | 4.3% | 3.0% | 4.7% | 4.4% | 6.4% | 8.0% | 15.3% | 32.8% |
| Rose Edwards | 5.2% | 4.5% | 6.4% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 5.1% | 7.4% | 5.0% | 6.4% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 3.3% | 1.2% |
| Sebby Turner | 2.5% | 3.7% | 2.9% | 3.7% | 3.9% | 3.2% | 2.9% | 3.6% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 6.3% | 7.6% | 7.6% | 11.2% | 9.2% | 8.7% |
| Adelaide Ferguson | 3.5% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 4.5% | 5.4% | 4.6% | 4.7% | 4.1% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 5.4% | 2.9% | 1.4% |
| Rachel Bryer | 12.8% | 13.6% | 11.6% | 11.5% | 9.9% | 9.8% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 4.3% | 3.4% | 2.5% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Dana Rohde | 12.5% | 9.2% | 9.5% | 9.6% | 7.4% | 8.4% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 2.7% | 3.1% | 2.3% | 2.4% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Hannah Hughes | 3.4% | 3.5% | 3.1% | 4.2% | 3.6% | 4.1% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 8.3% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 4.5% |
| Hannah Steadman | 8.3% | 8.3% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 7.9% | 7.2% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 4.3% | 3.9% | 2.6% | 2.1% | 2.6% | 1.6% | 0.2% |
| Bailey Carter | 4.6% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 6.4% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 4.4% | 1.7% |
| Miranda Bakos | 4.3% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 4.2% | 5.3% | 6.9% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 3.1% | 2.1% |
| Kelsey Shakin | 3.0% | 4.1% | 4.0% | 3.3% | 3.9% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 6.1% | 4.3% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 4.5% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 4.7% |
| Greer Wattson | 4.5% | 2.8% | 4.1% | 4.0% | 4.6% | 4.6% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 4.4% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 7.9% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 8.8% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 3.1% |
| Olivia Windemuller | 2.8% | 3.3% | 2.9% | 3.0% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 3.9% | 4.1% | 3.3% | 4.9% | 7.7% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 8.9% | 7.1% | 8.5% | 7.3% |
| Ragna Agerup | 4.1% | 3.5% | 3.7% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 7.2% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 5.3% | 3.5% |
| Alie Toppa | 10.6% | 10.3% | 10.1% | 8.0% | 8.4% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 4.1% | 4.5% | 3.6% | 3.2% | 2.6% | 1.8% | 0.4% | 1.0% | 0.2% |
| Anna Huebschmann | 1.2% | 0.9% | 2.2% | 2.0% | 2.0% | 1.7% | 3.1% | 2.9% | 2.4% | 2.3% | 3.7% | 4.1% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 7.8% | 9.8% | 14.8% | 24.6% |
| Lindsay Doyle | 3.2% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 5.0% | 1.9% |
| Katharina (KB) Knapp | 4.1% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 4.6% | 6.0% | 7.2% | 7.7% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 4.3% | 3.8% | 1.6% |
| Maeve White | 7.9% | 5.3% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 8.1% | 7.9% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 4.4% | 6.9% | 4.7% | 3.9% | 2.3% | 1.8% | 2.2% | 0.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.