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📊 Prediction Accuracy
21.1%
Within 2 Positions
4.8
Avg Position Diff
19
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1U. S. Naval Academy2.33+10.21vs Predicted
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2Stanford University2.92+6.67vs Predicted
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3St. Mary's College of Maryland2.49+7.54vs Predicted
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4Yale University2.67+5.70vs Predicted
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5George Washington University2.58+5.36vs Predicted
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6Roger Williams University2.36+4.90vs Predicted
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7University of Vermont2.58+3.12vs Predicted
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8Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.63+2.08vs Predicted
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9U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.45-2.69vs Predicted
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10Georgetown University2.76-0.83vs Predicted
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11Brown University3.18-3.58vs Predicted
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12Fordham University2.61-1.69vs Predicted
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13Cornell University2.11-1.11vs Predicted
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14College of Charleston3.37-7.13vs Predicted
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15Connecticut College2.47-4.57vs Predicted
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16Old Dominion University2.14-4.14vs Predicted
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17University of Virginia1.31-1.97vs Predicted
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18Eckerd College1.50-3.60vs Predicted
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19University of Rhode Island3.84-14.25vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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11.21U. S. Naval Academy2.330.0%1st Place
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8.67Stanford University2.920.1%1st Place
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10.54St. Mary's College of Maryland2.490.0%1st Place
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9.7Yale University2.670.0%1st Place
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10.36George Washington University2.580.0%1st Place
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10.9Roger Williams University2.360.0%1st Place
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10.12University of Vermont2.580.0%1st Place
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10.08Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.630.0%1st Place
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6.31U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.450.1%1st Place
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9.17Georgetown University2.760.1%1st Place
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7.42Brown University3.180.1%1st Place
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10.31Fordham University2.610.0%1st Place
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11.89Cornell University2.110.0%1st Place
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6.87College of Charleston3.370.1%1st Place
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10.43Connecticut College2.470.0%1st Place
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11.86Old Dominion University2.140.0%1st Place
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15.03University of Virginia1.310.0%1st Place
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14.4Eckerd College1.500.0%1st Place
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4.75University of Rhode Island3.840.2%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hannah Hughes | 3.0% | 3.2% | 3.7% | 3.5% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 4.1% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 4.6% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 8.2% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 6.4% | 5.9% |
| Maeve White | 6.3% | 5.4% | 7.1% | 6.0% | 7.5% | 6.0% | 5.0% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 5.2% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 4.4% | 4.6% | 3.1% | 2.5% | 0.7% |
| Greer Wattson | 4.1% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 4.0% | 4.4% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 4.6% | 5.4% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 5.1% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 3.4% |
| Katharina (KB) Knapp | 4.4% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 4.6% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 6.3% | 5.4% | 6.4% | 4.1% | 3.2% | 1.4% |
| Miranda Bakos | 3.1% | 4.2% | 3.9% | 4.4% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 3.7% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 4.8% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 4.0% | 2.6% |
| Kelsey Shakin | 4.1% | 3.2% | 5.6% | 3.5% | 5.0% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 5.6% | 4.9% | 4.6% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 7.5% | 5.7% |
| Lindsay Doyle | 4.8% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 4.1% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 7.7% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 4.2% | 2.6% |
| Bailey Carter | 4.5% | 5.3% | 4.4% | 4.4% | 5.0% | 3.6% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 7.7% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 4.8% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 5.0% | 4.6% | 2.3% |
| Dana Rohde | 11.3% | 11.5% | 9.2% | 8.2% | 6.8% | 10.9% | 7.2% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 5.0% | 4.2% | 3.8% | 2.6% | 1.8% | 2.0% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Rose Edwards | 5.4% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 6.6% | 5.1% | 7.1% | 5.4% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 3.4% | 4.8% | 1.8% | 1.3% |
| Hannah Steadman | 7.1% | 8.4% | 7.2% | 8.6% | 8.8% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 3.3% | 3.8% | 2.8% | 1.8% | 1.7% | 1.3% | 0.2% |
| Adelaide Ferguson | 4.3% | 3.6% | 4.3% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 8.0% | 5.0% | 7.6% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 3.8% | 2.3% |
| Sebby Turner | 2.7% | 2.8% | 4.3% | 2.8% | 2.6% | 4.1% | 5.0% | 4.2% | 3.0% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 4.6% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 8.8% | 8.8% | 9.4% | 5.8% |
| Alie Toppa | 9.1% | 8.3% | 7.5% | 10.9% | 7.1% | 9.7% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 4.3% | 3.7% | 3.4% | 2.1% | 1.2% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Ragna Agerup | 4.5% | 3.7% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 4.8% | 7.7% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 3.5% |
| Olivia Windemuller | 3.2% | 2.8% | 2.3% | 3.3% | 4.0% | 3.4% | 4.4% | 5.0% | 4.4% | 5.8% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 7.5% | 8.3% | 9.7% | 6.3% |
| Julia Gowell | 0.9% | 1.8% | 1.5% | 1.3% | 1.6% | 1.5% | 2.3% | 2.3% | 2.9% | 2.7% | 2.9% | 3.7% | 3.7% | 4.3% | 3.8% | 6.4% | 9.0% | 13.9% | 33.5% |
| Anna Huebschmann | 1.1% | 1.5% | 0.8% | 2.0% | 2.3% | 1.9% | 2.7% | 2.4% | 2.9% | 2.7% | 4.0% | 4.4% | 5.6% | 4.5% | 6.6% | 8.4% | 8.6% | 15.2% | 22.4% |
| Rachel Bryer | 16.1% | 14.6% | 13.2% | 14.0% | 8.2% | 7.7% | 6.9% | 5.1% | 4.0% | 3.4% | 2.3% | 1.0% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.