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📊 Prediction Accuracy
75.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.0
Avg Position Diff
4
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.26+2.01vs Predicted
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2University of California at Berkeley0.74+0.03vs Predicted
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3University of Southern California0.90-1.28vs Predicted
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4Arizona State University-0.39-0.76vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.01Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.2610.8%1st Place
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2.03University of California at Berkeley0.7432.5%1st Place
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1.72University of Southern California0.9049.0%1st Place
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3.24Arizona State University-0.397.6%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 |
---|---|---|---|---|
Florence Duff | 10.8% | 15.0% | 36.1% | 38.0% |
Katherine Olsen | 32.5% | 39.0% | 21.4% | 7.2% |
Morgana Manti | 49.0% | 33.4% | 14.4% | 3.2% |
Sadie Hoberman | 7.6% | 12.7% | 28.1% | 51.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.